Realized P&L
-$1.09K
Unrealized P&L
+$145
Hit rate
47.5%
Resolved
3,023
Trades
3,813
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$205
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 11-06 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
55% 7% -$1,226
Crypto
22% 7% +$390
Politics
13% 11% -$114
Sports
6% 13% -$51
Tech
3% 8% -$69
Pop-Culture
1% 8% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +22 $2 88¢ $19 +$17 09-22 15:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +18 $2 87¢ $16 +$14 09-23 04:24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +18 $2 88¢ $16 +$14 09-30 21:36
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +18 $2 88¢ $15 +$13 09-30 21:30
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +18 $2 81¢ $15 +$13 08-05 12:15
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? No +15 $2 65¢ $10 +$8 08-05 18:47
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? No +17 $2 55¢ $9 +$7 10-15 08:07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +25 $2 36¢ $9 +$7 10-29 06:26
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 No +17 $2 45¢ $7 +$5 08-18 14:30
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +24 $2 31¢ $7 +$5 08-19 11:32
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +17 $2 43¢ $7 +$5 10-27 00:38
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +20 $2 32¢ $6 +$4 08-25 18:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +17 $2 34¢ $6 +$4 09-24 17:49
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? No +43 $2 13¢ $6 +$4 10-22 05:35
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +18 $2 30¢ $6 +$4 09-14 10:10
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +9 $2 58¢ $5 +$3 07-20 17:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +17 $2 30¢ $5 +$3 08-11 08:38
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +16 $2 29¢ $5 +$3 08-06 10:47
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? No +17 $2 27¢ $4 +$2 10-17 01:05
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No +17 $2 24¢ $4 +$2 10-30 01:24
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? No +25 $2 15¢ $4 +$2 10-25 02:59
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? No +35 $2 9¢ $3 +$1 10-12 05:57
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +16 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 09-28 12:46
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +19 $2 16¢ $3 +$1 08-18 04:33
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No +17 $2 17¢ $3 +$1 11-05 19:12
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +33 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 08-24 23:16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +18 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 10-24 09:23
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No — +17 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 10-17 13:17
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No — +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 10-21 03:59
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +17 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 11-05 19:24