Realized P&L
-$324
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
24.9%
Resolved
252
Trades
2,242
lifetime
Volume
$7.10K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$281
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-30 18:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
49% 7% $-169
Crypto
33% 4% $-78
Politics
10% 3% $-53
Sports
6% 8% $-24
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -39 $-35 97¢ $-38 $-2 06-12 09:20
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No -30 $-27 100¢ $-30 $-3 06-08 12:16
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-2 06-27 07:50
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -18 $-17 98¢ $-18 $-1 06-23 16:17
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No -17 $-15 99¢ $-17 $-1 06-08 12:19
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -17 $-15 95¢ $-16 $-1 06-23 22:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-1 06-14 00:14
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-1 06-24 23:35
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-14 02:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -10 $-9 100¢ $-10 $-1 06-16 05:58
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 +$0 06-25 08:45
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? No -13 $-12 68¢ $-9 +$3 06-29 20:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June? No -9 $-8 100¢ $-9 $-1 05-28 12:21
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 $-1 06-11 12:02
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -8 $-8 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-26 08:35
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -8 $-8 96¢ $-8 $-0 06-30 17:25
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +18 $2 43¢ $8 +$6 06-23 10:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +160 $2 $8 +$6 06-28 02:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-30 18:30
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $0 91¢ $5 +$4 06-29 14:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +18 $2 24¢ $4 +$2 06-20 03:48
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +17 $2 24¢ $4 +$2 06-07 21:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +67 $2 $2 +$0 06-22 11:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +40 $2 $2 $-0 06-25 08:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +17 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 06-27 08:32
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? No +41 $2 $2 $-0 06-22 13:17
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +54 $2 $1 $-1 06-20 03:48
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +16 $2 $1 $-1 06-12 16:40
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +17 $2 $1 $-1 06-24 13:15
Will the Milwaukee Brewers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-30 12:41