Realized P&L
-$324
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
24.9%
Resolved
252
Trades
2,331
lifetime
Volume
$7.36K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$104
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-21 11:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
49% 7% $-169
Crypto
32% 4% $-78
Politics
10% 3% $-53
Sports
7% 8% $-24
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +42 $2 44¢ $19 +$17 07-07 02:32
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +15 $2 49¢ $8 +$6 07-17 11:50
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +22 $2 29¢ $6 +$4 07-05 05:00
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +18 $2 32¢ $6 +$4 06-23 10:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +18 $2 32¢ $6 +$4 06-20 03:48
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? No +16 $2 33¢ $5 +$3 07-10 16:04
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +17 $2 28¢ $5 +$3 07-21 11:47
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +20 $2 18¢ $4 +$2 07-08 02:09
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +17 $2 20¢ $3 +$1 07-04 08:37
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +67 $2 $3 +$1 07-04 00:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? No +17 $2 19¢ $3 +$1 07-09 07:47
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +85 $2 $3 +$1 07-15 05:03
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +22 $2 12¢ $3 +$1 07-11 08:25
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? No +15 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 07-03 10:12
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +17 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 07-15 10:06
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +17 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 07-15 05:40
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +18 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 07-08 10:00
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +24 $2 $2 +$0 07-04 00:01
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Something +23 $2 $2 $-0 07-04 00:01
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? No +56 $2 $2 $-0 07-04 00:01
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +20 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 07-01 14:39
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +15 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 07-21 11:39
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +16 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 07-14 20:50
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No +44 $2 $2 $-0 06-21 10:35
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +22 $2 $2 $-0 07-04 00:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +9 $2 17¢ $2 $-0 07-20 17:15
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Something +24 $2 $1 $-1 07-04 00:01
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? No +21 $2 $1 $-1 07-04 00:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +22 $2 $1 $-1 07-05 00:00
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No +19 $2 $1 $-1 07-14 00:00