Realized P&L
+$9.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.27K
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
624
Trades
7,061
lifetime
Volume
$595.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$28.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Politics
44% 78% +$2,409
Other
41% 91% +$5,708
Pop-Culture
13% 92% +$2,000
Crypto
2% 100% +$82
Sports
0% 35% -$326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +7,424 $6,748 97¢ $7.2K +$420 10-20 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +7,355 $6,488 86¢ $6.3K -$163 10-20 23:00
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,472 $3,926 86¢ $3.9K -$57 10-23 19:35
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,181 $976 97¢ $1.1K +$173 09-18 03:03
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,404 $1,107 38¢ $914 -$194 10-22 15:03
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +2,033 $902 37¢ $752 -$149 10-22 15:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,000 $570 62¢ $617 +$47 07-29 06:37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,300 -$711 16¢ $-530 +$182 08-14 05:39
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $458 34¢ $517 +$59 10-15 06:32
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +43,131 $564 1¢ $474 -$90 10-26 20:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +747 $493 62¢ $460 -$34 10-03 10:39
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +704 $465 62¢ $433 -$32 10-02 22:11
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +444 $419 95¢ $424 +$5 10-25 07:02
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +544 $382 72¢ $392 +$10 10-18 10:02
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $270 1¢ $362 +$92 09-03 13:49
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,446 -$339 2¢ $362 +$701 08-24 11:43
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +709 $320 48¢ $337 +$17 10-27 08:04
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +333 $328 97¢ $324 -$4 10-20 20:52
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +412 $322 78¢ $324 +$2 10-15 14:50
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +390 $308 78¢ $306 -$1 10-14 08:22
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +444 $264 68¢ $304 +$40 08-05 15:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,522 $326 8¢ $299 -$26 10-08 04:18
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +700 $235 38¢ $269 +$34 09-07 15:22
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +300 $253 85¢ $256 +$3 07-27 13:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,057 $309 6¢ $249 -$59 07-16 20:50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,902 $107 8¢ $247 +$140 10-09 17:15
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +254 $228 96¢ $243 +$15 10-27 08:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $150 12¢ $237 +$87 09-19 08:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,750 -$246 5¢ $-235 +$11 08-04 19:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -561 -$252 38¢ $-215 +$38 08-17 21:12