Realized P&L (7d)
-$7.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.96K
Hit rate
4.5%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
153
7,623 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17.7K
$656.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$19.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
47% 69% -$7,690
Other
39% 92% +$6,111
Pop-Culture
12% 92% +$2,000
Crypto
2% 100% +$82
Sports
0% 35% -$326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5,221 $5,030 100¢ $5.2K +$186 11-11 20:33
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,555 $3,515 100¢ $3.5K +$35 11-13 16:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,000 $1,648 85¢ $1.7K +$43 11-14 08:52
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +1,111 $1,067 96¢ $1.1K +$2 11-09 18:00
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? No +1,053 -$1,369 77¢ $811 +$2,180 11-11 11:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,000 $570 63¢ $628 +$58 07-29 06:37
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,062 $510 52¢ $557 +$47 11-12 20:40
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +43,131 $564 1¢ $518 -$47 10-26 20:35
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,500 $458 32¢ $487 +$29 10-15 06:32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,500 $412 6¢ $484 +$71 11-09 23:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,300 -$711 15¢ $-483 +$228 08-14 05:39
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +2,606 $52 18¢ $459 +$407 10-14 07:49
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +90,000 $190 0¢ $405 +$215 10-26 20:38
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,446 -$339 2¢ $386 +$725 08-24 11:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,155 -$217 18¢ $-378 -$161 09-05 14:24
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25,000 $270 2¢ $375 +$105 09-03 13:49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,750 -$246 5¢ $-254 -$8 08-04 19:26
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,057 $364 5¢ $235 -$129 11-09 19:52
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -9,946 -$268 2¢ $-224 +$44 11-14 15:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +300 $253 74¢ $221 -$32 07-27 13:55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -561 -$252 37¢ $-208 +$44 08-17 21:12
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +134,000 $134 0¢ $201 +$67 11-09 21:17
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +17,117 $162 1¢ $180 +$18 10-29 20:35
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,200 -$50 15¢ $-178 -$127 05-09 06:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $150 7¢ $149 -$1 09-19 08:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +1,953 $138 7¢ $133 -$5 11-14 19:40
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +2,000 $240 6¢ $122 -$118 08-27 14:40
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $20 2¢ $112 +$92 10-26 20:43
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,295 -$84 2¢ $-99 -$14 09-29 20:03
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 10-14 03:17