Wavy-Bourgeoisie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$283

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-03 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 33% +$0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	80¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	17	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-31 08:47
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 03:13
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:02
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:25
chatgpt full outage by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:21
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 01:36
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:10
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:20
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 06:39
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 07:43
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-28 07:25
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:11
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 06:57
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 06:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 04:30
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 06:29
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:00
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 07:15
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 07:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:23:35	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe33d57…
07-04 07:08:16	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cc9aa…
07-03 06:53:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7eb33f…
07-03 06:34:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7665f…
07-02 07:29:05	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x30323c…
07-02 07:28:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x205e9a…
07-02 07:20:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x538c89…
07-02 07:12:25	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca7582…
07-01 08:23:04	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2962c2…
07-01 08:09:55	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f150e…
06-30 02:11:49	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc96729…
06-30 01:58:53	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0832cc…
06-29 08:10:23	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb81a5…
06-29 08:08:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4c389d…
06-29 07:43:34	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x276587…
06-29 07:16:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62ecf0…
06-27 06:55:14	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb2657…
06-27 06:54:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79ae0b…
06-27 06:41:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf89db4…
06-27 06:35:02	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c2744…
06-26 02:40:23	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba019a…
06-26 02:39:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9132f1…
06-26 02:26:38	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfa968a…
06-26 02:17:47	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5c5e9…
06-25 08:06:28	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa92a97…
06-25 08:05:52	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6d4d4…
06-25 07:46:47	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7df514…
06-25 07:42:38	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb086b5…
06-24 08:06:55	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe418e6…
06-24 07:41:17	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x63ba53…
06-23 07:38:49	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1df7e3…
06-23 07:37:40	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf311f…
06-23 07:18:19	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19b84d…
06-23 07:08:50	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa4910…
06-22 02:41:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x334c3e…
06-22 02:31:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75164c…
06-21 08:15:46	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93153a…
06-21 08:13:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25754a…
06-21 07:54:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d3208…
06-21 07:50:01	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x141ec7…
06-18 07:13:29	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5eff99…
06-18 06:50:20	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfb91ec…
06-17 03:15:33	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x407bee…
06-17 03:14:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf1f813…
06-17 02:52:49	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8d80a…
06-17 02:37:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f4419…
06-16 07:33:43	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2617fa…
06-16 07:14:07	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ecfd8…
06-12 08:00:31	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd76ef…
06-12 07:41:43	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54744a…
06-11 07:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7672bc…
06-11 07:02:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfc001…
06-10 07:46:15	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7708f0…
06-10 07:25:16	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbfe680…
06-09 07:38:16	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf8e6df…
06-09 07:28:42	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e8cf1…
06-06 07:20:36	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1484d4…
06-06 07:05:09	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaee10a…
06-05 07:58:54	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd3b1a1…
06-05 07:56:28	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd5689e…
06-05 07:29:48	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd77208…
06-05 07:26:18	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb59690…
06-04 08:58:03	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x639c2b…
06-04 08:53:30	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8844de…
06-03 03:13:55	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcc6270…
06-03 02:43:42	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcccfc7…
06-02 06:48:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6da66…
06-02 06:15:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98b237…
06-01 08:13:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3eed20…
06-01 07:59:03	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x362cb6…
05-30 09:29:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4b6276…
05-30 09:28:30	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae7463…
05-30 07:16:33	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c3fa5…
05-30 07:10:18	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfae420…
05-29 06:45:54	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x54eda7…
05-29 06:43:32	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8374ac…
05-29 06:27:33	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c1b82…
05-28 07:09:31	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe67102…
05-28 06:53:54	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf6efa…
05-27 07:36:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ef8c2…
05-27 07:36:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1b83b8…
05-27 07:21:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe6ddc…
05-27 07:13:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3f97d…
05-25 07:31:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8e00a…
05-25 07:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa693bc…
05-20 07:31:41	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec7eb1…
05-20 07:05:15	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x295e1d…
05-19 06:42:57	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3effe4…
05-19 04:51:01	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa42983…
05-18 09:45:54	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd2e0ed…
05-18 06:46:58	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17d231…
05-15 06:27:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6160ac…
05-15 06:08:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc86260…
05-14 06:36:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x552fbb…
05-14 06:10:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc2f326…
05-13 06:57:02	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x33d337…
05-13 06:37:47	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa1cbec…
05-11 04:40:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d8638…
05-11 04:18:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf44eb…
05-09 08:00:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2729d3…