Wavy-Bourgeoisie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-28 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 33% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	17	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 01:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-31 08:47
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 03:13
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-17 03:32
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:02
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 07:25
chatgpt full outage by february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:21
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 01:36
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:10
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 07:20
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:20
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 06:39
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 07:43
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-28 07:25
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:11
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 06:57
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 06:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 04:30
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 06:29
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:00
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:43:09	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf7d02e…
07-28 07:26:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x209c75…
07-27 09:02:34	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbed7d6…
07-27 09:02:15	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70e3c0…
07-27 08:55:48	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ebbe0…
07-27 08:52:28	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2df581…
07-25 07:22:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c9d1f…
07-25 07:09:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87e912…
07-24 03:23:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x939608…
07-24 03:07:51	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc9afa…
07-22 07:49:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x02bd05…
07-22 07:49:42	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf2529f…
07-22 07:44:31	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x907ed2…
07-22 07:40:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4048a…
07-21 03:27:15	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2d27eb…
07-21 03:26:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6fc6a0…
07-21 03:02:36	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x849fff…
07-21 02:35:42	Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94c227…
07-20 07:22:57	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5a70ff…
07-20 06:47:21	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf268c1…
07-18 07:49:09	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6aa174…
07-18 07:35:12	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf865b…
07-17 03:32:06	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x24bd4b…
07-17 03:11:06	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x403716…
07-16 07:36:07	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x669b45…
07-16 07:21:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9810f9…
07-15 07:21:44	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac0cf3…
07-15 07:10:34	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb390d3…
07-14 02:50:58	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x642de6…
07-14 02:49:59	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62689d…
07-14 02:22:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8921d0…
07-14 02:19:47	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56df32…
07-13 07:18:17	will trump speak to mark carney in july 20260626154217437	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x198be1…
07-13 06:52:35	will trump speak to mark carney in july 20260626154217437	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fa933…
07-11 02:37:29	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x92c381…
07-11 02:34:43	bitcoin above 54k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9f112…
07-11 02:11:17	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3efacc…
07-11 02:06:32	bitcoin above 54k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae84d3…
07-10 07:38:47	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5878bf…
07-10 07:22:28	fda approves outlook therapeutics ons 5010 07 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc92b90…
07-09 02:25:31	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf6657a…
07-09 02:07:53	will polymarket mindshare hit 75 by december 31 20260630144203053	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x988c00…
07-08 07:44:10	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe833b6…
07-08 07:43:29	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x225005…
07-08 07:21:40	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x061db8…
07-08 07:16:32	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea3613…
07-07 00:38:47	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd5648d…
07-07 00:25:50	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05be97…
07-06 07:20:14	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x876a67…
07-06 07:09:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x718780…
07-04 07:23:35	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe33d57…
07-04 07:08:16	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cc9aa…
07-03 06:53:29	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7eb33f…
07-03 06:34:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7665f…
07-02 07:29:05	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x30323c…
07-02 07:28:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x205e9a…
07-02 07:20:25	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x538c89…
07-02 07:12:25	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xca7582…
07-01 08:23:04	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2962c2…
07-01 08:09:55	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f150e…
06-30 02:11:49	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc96729…
06-30 01:58:53	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0832cc…
06-29 08:10:23	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb81a5…
06-29 08:08:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4c389d…
06-29 07:43:34	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x276587…
06-29 07:16:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62ecf0…
06-27 06:55:14	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfb2657…
06-27 06:54:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x79ae0b…
06-27 06:41:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf89db4…
06-27 06:35:02	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c2744…
06-26 02:40:23	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba019a…
06-26 02:39:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9132f1…
06-26 02:26:38	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfa968a…
06-26 02:17:47	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5c5e9…
06-25 08:06:28	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa92a97…
06-25 08:05:52	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe6d4d4…
06-25 07:46:47	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7df514…
06-25 07:42:38	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb086b5…
06-24 08:06:55	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe418e6…
06-24 07:41:17	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x63ba53…
06-23 07:38:49	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1df7e3…
06-23 07:37:40	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf311f…
06-23 07:18:19	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19b84d…
06-23 07:08:50	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa4910…
06-22 02:41:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x334c3e…
06-22 02:31:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75164c…
06-21 08:15:46	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93153a…
06-21 08:13:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25754a…
06-21 07:54:49	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d3208…
06-21 07:50:01	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x141ec7…
06-18 07:13:29	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5eff99…
06-18 06:50:20	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfb91ec…
06-17 03:15:33	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x407bee…
06-17 03:14:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf1f813…
06-17 02:52:49	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8d80a…
06-17 02:37:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3f4419…
06-16 07:33:43	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2617fa…
06-16 07:14:07	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ecfd8…
06-12 08:00:31	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd76ef…
06-12 07:41:43	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54744a…