Free-Gondola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

20.1%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$237

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 07-04 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 33% +$0

Crypto

11% — —

Tech

9% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	80¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-20 03:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 04:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 03:36
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 07:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 06:45
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:47
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-27 06:35
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-26 07:28
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 04:50
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:20
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 06:45
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 07:00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:35
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:13
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 06:57
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 04:30
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 03:24
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 03:01
will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:00
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-02 07:29
highest temperature in madrid on march 30 2026 14corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 04:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:25:05	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x22cad0…
07-04 07:07:17	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5e450…
07-03 06:53:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x885582…
07-03 06:35:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0be6a4…
07-02 07:29:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9a5bd3…
07-02 07:28:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10b00f…
07-02 07:20:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c57a8…
07-02 07:12:22	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb26ca0…
07-01 08:22:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x52d62b…
07-01 08:09:52	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf38ca1…
06-30 02:13:23	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x286217…
06-30 01:58:52	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66acb7…
06-29 08:10:08	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78f183…
06-29 08:08:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x944895…
06-29 07:43:26	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba210d…
06-29 07:16:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5322b9…
06-27 06:55:14	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d6865…
06-27 06:54:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x11865a…
06-27 06:40:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcc06ba…
06-27 06:35:04	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7e5b0…
06-26 02:40:23	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x822a79…
06-26 02:39:19	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8387c…
06-26 02:26:32	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27adaf…
06-26 02:17:47	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4537a…
06-25 08:06:19	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d6b0a…
06-25 08:05:50	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc59fe1…
06-25 07:46:46	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc97fc6…
06-25 07:42:32	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0df7a7…
06-24 08:05:46	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x188c6b…
06-24 07:41:14	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3113ed…
06-23 07:38:53	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb00f0f…
06-23 07:38:08	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48e3f9…
06-23 07:18:11	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e8505…
06-23 07:08:59	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f45b9…
06-22 02:41:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b4845…
06-22 02:31:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x153268…
06-21 08:15:44	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb5bbd9…
06-21 08:13:20	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x70de55…
06-21 07:55:43	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2a7f7…
06-21 07:50:07	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb99b30…
06-18 07:13:47	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x97d925…
06-18 06:50:29	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf760b2…
06-17 03:15:31	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f999d…
06-17 03:14:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x95bf71…
06-17 02:52:37	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dbf54…
06-17 02:37:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd2247c…
06-16 07:33:43	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8eb6c7…
06-16 07:14:15	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c227a…
06-12 08:00:25	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6fad84…
06-12 07:41:43	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x778a4c…
06-11 07:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7f04e9…
06-11 06:59:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7dd84a…
06-10 07:45:55	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9331df…
06-10 07:25:16	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75c87e…
06-09 07:38:13	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x82341f…
06-09 07:28:52	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3627c0…
06-06 07:20:34	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe7a0d…
06-06 07:05:01	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5bb32…
06-05 07:58:42	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46f31a…
06-05 07:56:21	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2eec2e…
06-05 07:29:36	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc30f8b…
06-05 07:26:06	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82632d…
06-04 08:58:04	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe91a96…
06-04 08:53:22	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4b1e7…
06-03 03:13:02	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0268eb…
06-03 02:43:12	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf5e9e0…
06-02 06:48:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x27c7f4…
06-02 06:15:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e2593…
06-01 08:13:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3be3c2…
06-01 07:59:41	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d02ca…
05-30 09:29:22	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1b8256…
05-30 09:28:52	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1fcbe0…
05-30 07:16:36	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6baefe…
05-30 07:10:23	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd8e859…
05-29 06:45:54	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3cc587…
05-29 06:43:31	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e95db…
05-29 06:27:30	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a12fb…
05-28 07:09:31	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x42174b…
05-28 06:53:51	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4100c…
05-27 07:37:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3d86e…
05-27 07:36:28	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4342bf…
05-27 07:21:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb9bc6…
05-27 07:11:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x055e3d…
05-25 07:31:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5622aa…
05-25 07:13:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa2871…
05-21 07:22:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x17e3dd…
05-21 07:12:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85d404…
05-20 07:31:37	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa14e36…
05-20 07:05:08	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb7ce15…
05-19 06:43:08	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbe0ab6…
05-19 04:53:03	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb253a6…
05-18 09:45:49	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x342aec…
05-18 06:46:45	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4e1bf…
05-15 06:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf753b…
05-15 06:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd983f0…
05-14 06:36:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1075bd…
05-14 06:09:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1853e7…
05-13 06:57:00	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb6d0ad…
05-13 06:37:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64d998…
05-11 04:40:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2bb4b8…