Constant-Builder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

Trades

320

lifetime

Volume

$320

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 33% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:12
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 07:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-13 08:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 08:20
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-22 03:28
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 08:22
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-09 06:49
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 09:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:22
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 03:59
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 07:59
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:59
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-01 02:11
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 18 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 08:12
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 08:28
bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 23 2026 neg0pt22	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 02:58
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 07:12
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:48
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 08:44
will mrbeasts next video get less than 76 million views on day 6	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 07:37
will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 06:52
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:05
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 04:38
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:33
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:52
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 04:43
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-20 07:54
Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	04-25 06:54
nvda close above 175 on march 11 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:40:18	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b571d…
07-24 02:26:10	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9247fb…
07-23 08:22:37	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x73f41d…
07-23 08:05:58	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf2210…
07-22 08:32:45	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe45b31…
07-22 08:14:00	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7315ae…
07-21 03:44:24	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e6dab…
07-20 07:54:04	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0ac31e…
07-20 07:42:30	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2f1ee3…
07-18 08:31:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcff0cf…
07-18 08:10:54	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x240d60…
07-17 02:50:27	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x44eea0…
07-17 02:49:51	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd17a0…
07-17 02:30:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9de167…
07-17 02:24:43	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x112485…
07-16 08:16:08	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x532aa2…
07-16 07:56:49	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf8d93…
07-15 07:54:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe2a5f9…
07-15 07:41:58	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8be45f…
07-14 03:31:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb2f251…
07-14 03:19:05	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7fd89e…
07-13 08:01:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x848900…
07-13 07:59:10	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7f8ab3…
07-13 07:37:08	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83efa5…
07-13 07:28:01	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdf7ab0…
07-11 03:23:43	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc5cd4e…
07-11 03:01:55	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3ec15e…
07-10 08:14:46	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbe7f13…
07-10 08:13:29	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x38588f…
07-10 07:53:22	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x893866…
07-10 07:50:38	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ec9a9…
07-08 08:21:29	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x819d0b…
07-08 08:20:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc4872d…
07-08 07:59:22	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5fd71f…
07-08 07:54:55	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcdbd67…
07-07 01:31:07	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9534fc…
07-07 01:30:29	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x379308…
07-07 01:16:05	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd30964…
07-07 00:49:08	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5e0ae…
07-06 07:51:05	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe58f87…
07-06 07:49:10	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcc2a9f…
07-06 07:35:13	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce7310…
07-06 07:31:01	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51a593…
07-04 07:49:10	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x88a753…
07-04 07:33:10	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5ab0d…
07-03 07:29:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f78c4…
07-03 07:15:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb3168d…
07-02 07:51:55	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f145b…
07-02 07:51:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0d2d61…
07-02 07:43:02	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc42368…
07-02 07:37:10	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8baad…
07-01 09:05:02	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd9d3f4…
07-01 08:51:43	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc749a4…
06-30 02:49:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7d347…
06-30 02:38:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20a1ce…
06-29 08:49:59	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5a6b06…
06-29 08:49:20	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd50725…
06-29 08:34:16	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe01829…
06-29 08:22:50	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x161a8d…
06-27 07:50:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4c0cb…
06-27 07:10:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58d097…
06-26 03:21:37	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x421070…
06-26 03:20:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3dbaa…
06-26 02:54:44	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29b437…
06-26 02:49:29	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81b884…
06-24 08:37:10	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3be0b…
06-24 08:36:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf539e7…
06-24 08:20:31	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2e928…
06-24 08:16:59	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xff6fa8…
06-23 08:36:26	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee8736…
06-23 08:35:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x968c3e…
06-23 08:09:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d8109…
06-23 08:05:02	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x187f4f…
06-22 03:29:49	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4934f1…
06-22 03:28:22	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9e2e0…
06-22 03:13:32	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61fa49…
06-22 03:04:02	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf2fa16…
06-21 09:08:37	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x471779…
06-21 09:07:37	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9e7df…
06-21 08:46:13	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf63a2c…
06-21 08:43:07	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0df6df…
06-18 07:48:41	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x73825b…
06-18 07:32:44	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb20e0f…
06-17 02:26:49	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x59c899…
06-17 02:26:18	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a0837…
06-17 02:11:51	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x984eae…
06-17 02:05:58	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f3282…
06-12 08:33:57	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x249fc0…
06-12 08:33:22	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa536d1…
06-12 08:19:46	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30a8a6…
06-12 08:16:30	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef5aa3…
06-11 07:54:15	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3fed51…
06-11 07:37:01	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x912ec4…
06-10 08:41:19	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8da113…
06-10 08:20:46	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65b156…
06-09 08:22:49	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x52c898…
06-09 08:07:31	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0f1af…
06-08 07:51:51	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec433f…
06-08 07:38:45	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x614d76…
06-06 07:49:51	Will Richard Pan advance from the CA-06 primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe7dc5c…