Snarling-Stepson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$299

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-03 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 33% +$0

Crypto

10% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	80¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 06:28
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 06:28
chatgpt full outage by february 28	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 01:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 07:42
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 07:15
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 07:15
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:27
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:57
tsla up or down on february 24 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 06:23
us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	3	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	02-23 03:16
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:21
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 06:40
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:34
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 07:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:40
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:26
highest temperature in warsaw on march 22 2026 5corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 08:25
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:26
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:13
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 06:57
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 02:24
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 06:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 25	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 00:31
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:25:11	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4b0c08…
07-04 07:07:19	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8580f1…
07-03 06:54:08	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe6e05f…
07-03 06:35:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbc10ed…
07-02 07:29:05	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdfb75f…
07-02 07:28:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5edfa7…
07-02 07:20:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba80d9…
07-02 07:12:31	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6c2060…
07-01 08:23:05	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0d5ee3…
07-01 08:09:50	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x335e8a…
06-30 02:13:28	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45f0f5…
06-30 01:58:55	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbf96f1…
06-29 08:10:20	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x678e61…
06-29 08:08:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd1fa41…
06-29 07:43:26	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0727e9…
06-29 07:16:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x887f1a…
06-27 06:55:16	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67faed…
06-27 06:54:41	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8435f6…
06-27 06:41:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9860e6…
06-27 06:35:10	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x141435…
06-26 02:40:25	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa1b4f…
06-26 02:39:40	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf5b4cf…
06-26 02:26:40	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65328b…
06-26 02:18:04	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ff300…
06-25 08:06:29	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6426bf…
06-25 08:05:52	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd2656…
06-25 07:47:31	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x842786…
06-25 07:42:44	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c61b9…
06-24 08:05:44	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf7f15…
06-24 07:42:02	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x03bf99…
06-23 07:38:50	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd6ba73…
06-23 07:38:08	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa1318…
06-23 07:18:25	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c871b…
06-23 07:08:56	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x761838…
06-22 02:41:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x43e838…
06-22 02:31:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6823c5…
06-21 08:15:47	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49dd0a…
06-21 08:13:22	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xad26d1…
06-21 07:55:44	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x411d13…
06-21 07:50:08	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9bcdda…
06-18 07:13:32	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7af6fe…
06-18 06:50:44	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe10292…
06-17 03:15:34	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x983f50…
06-17 03:14:21	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0ad1ab…
06-17 02:53:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12f64d…
06-17 02:37:40	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x22aacd…
06-16 07:33:43	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcb80b5…
06-16 07:14:15	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe367de…
06-12 08:00:46	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a63dd…
06-12 07:41:46	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03e1a4…
06-11 07:22:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45ae9a…
06-11 07:02:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa3f12e…
06-10 07:44:51	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf97f8…
06-10 07:25:24	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x70f404…
06-09 07:38:16	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfc5c11…
06-09 07:29:00	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc279ab…
06-06 07:21:09	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfabdd1…
06-06 07:05:13	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x064642…
06-05 07:58:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7d53a…
06-05 07:56:27	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4db5d3…
06-05 07:31:00	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca8ef8…
06-05 07:26:39	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2a9f1…
06-04 08:58:10	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5972bb…
06-04 08:53:51	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b6d9e…
06-03 03:13:13	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d5610…
06-03 02:43:42	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x577be6…
06-02 06:51:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ea575…
06-02 06:15:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd060f…
06-01 08:13:10	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a3c72…
06-01 07:59:04	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ada15…
05-30 09:29:27	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5b7d34…
05-30 09:28:54	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x32e2c9…
05-30 07:16:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdc29c9…
05-30 07:10:37	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0831c5…
05-29 06:45:56	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b6c07…
05-29 06:43:32	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x159e85…
05-29 06:27:33	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x98e583…
05-28 07:09:29	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x960271…
05-28 06:53:58	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x743904…
05-27 07:38:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec4576…
05-27 07:34:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x434796…
05-27 07:21:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0ebd…
05-27 07:13:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcf9d0…
05-25 07:31:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x439a9d…
05-25 07:13:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6a014…
05-20 07:31:41	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc566d2…
05-20 07:05:20	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7d1608…
05-19 06:42:59	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8c1485…
05-19 04:51:25	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x224e53…
05-18 09:45:56	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa5dec…
05-18 06:47:08	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c854e…
05-15 06:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8284c1…
05-15 06:08:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bfdea…
05-14 06:37:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9f1c2f…
05-14 06:10:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd0c4ac…
05-13 06:57:00	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd79fb…
05-13 06:37:47	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1ea44a…
05-11 04:40:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x077afc…
05-11 04:18:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30fa3b…
05-09 08:00:27	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x788304…