Defenseless-Placement 0x275cfe…d86090
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$246
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$65.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$8.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
51% 100% +$6
Politics
43% 40% $-252
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -616 $-610 100¢ $-616 $-6 06-12 21:00
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? No -588 $-582 100¢ $-586 $-4 06-11 16:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -514 $-509 100¢ $-514 $-4 06-16 23:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -474 $-470 100¢ $-474 $-4 06-15 03:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -432 $-428 100¢ $-431 $-3 06-12 02:01
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -383 $-379 100¢ $-382 $-3 06-14 21:18
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -342 $-339 100¢ $-342 $-3 06-08 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -267 $-265 99¢ $-265 $-1 06-21 18:32
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +263 $236 94¢ $246 +$10 06-21 19:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +280 $232 86¢ $242 +$10 06-12 21:26
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +243 $231 98¢ $238 +$7 06-07 03:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +271 $236 88¢ $237 +$1 06-22 04:34
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +258 $237 92¢ $237 +$0 06-22 10:11
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +246 $231 96¢ $236 +$5 06-08 21:50
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +260 $231 91¢ $235 +$4 06-11 16:09
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +250 $235 94¢ $235 +$0 06-16 06:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +251 $236 94¢ $235 $-1 06-27 21:55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +262 $236 90¢ $235 $-1 06-27 18:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +290 $235 80¢ $234 $-1 06-20 08:59
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +256 $232 90¢ $231 $-1 06-29 08:11
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +249 $217 92¢ $228 +$11 05-28 20:33
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +283 $232 80¢ $228 $-4 06-29 20:00
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -234 $-231 97¢ $-227 +$5 06-06 14:43
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +254 $236 89¢ $225 $-11 06-22 04:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +231 $217 96¢ $222 +$5 05-28 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +263 $237 82¢ $217 $-20 06-26 12:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +252 $217 86¢ $216 $-1 05-28 20:31
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? No -216 $-214 99¢ $-215 $-0 06-03 23:11
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +218 $209 96¢ $209 +$0 06-03 04:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +214 $200 96¢ $204 +$4 05-29 09:35