Realized P&L
+$397
Unrealized P&L
+$319
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
323
Trades
996
lifetime
Volume
$119.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$8.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
46% 83% -$45
Politics
45% 81% -$25
Sports
4% 100% +$198
Crypto
3% 100% +$187
Tech
2% 86% +$76
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +385 $350 96¢ $368 +$18 05-01 09:14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -376 -$321 97¢ $-364 -$43 05-20 21:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -370 -$314 96¢ $-355 -$41 05-20 21:12
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -344 -$283 98¢ $-335 -$52 07-07 12:34
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +322 $242 96¢ $308 +$66 08-01 10:58
Will Alberta join the US? No -307 -$304 99¢ $-304 $0 07-02 21:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +309 $253 92¢ $285 +$32 10-18 14:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +290 $235 94¢ $274 +$39 06-20 08:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +289 $251 94¢ $272 +$20 10-18 14:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +286 $217 94¢ $270 +$53 05-21 02:56
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +288 $252 94¢ $269 +$18 10-18 14:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +329 $253 82¢ $268 +$15 10-18 14:34
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +283 $232 94¢ $267 +$35 06-29 20:00
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +288 $220 92¢ $267 +$47 10-18 14:39
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +291 $253 92¢ $266 +$13 10-18 14:40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +266 $253 99¢ $263 +$10 10-18 14:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +271 $236 97¢ $263 +$27 06-22 04:34
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +270 $243 97¢ $263 +$20 07-13 07:48
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +263 $250 99¢ $259 +$9 10-18 14:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +274 $252 92¢ $254 +$1 10-18 14:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +277 $252 92¢ $253 +$1 10-18 14:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +277 $252 92¢ $253 +$1 10-18 14:35
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +277 $252 92¢ $253 +$1 10-18 14:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +275 $253 92¢ $253 +$0 10-18 14:35
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +260 $231 97¢ $253 +$22 06-11 16:09
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +262 $236 96¢ $252 +$16 06-27 18:55
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +294 $253 86¢ $252 -$1 10-18 14:38
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +277 $252 90¢ $251 -$1 10-18 14:39
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +288 $253 87¢ $250 -$3 10-18 14:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +272 $253 92¢ $249 -$4 10-18 14:36