Defenseless-Placement 0x275cfe…d86090
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$246
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
217
lifetime
Volume
$45.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$208
Open exposure
$6.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 05:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
56% 100% +$6
Politics
37% 40% $-252
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -342 $-339 98¢ $-336 +$3 06-08 21:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -322 $-319 98¢ $-315 +$3 06-10 05:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +260 $231 96¢ $248 +$17 06-08 02:40
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +258 $222 90¢ $234 +$12 05-29 16:37
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +249 $217 94¢ $234 +$17 05-28 20:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +242 $231 96¢ $232 +$1 06-05 07:02
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +246 $231 94¢ $232 +$1 06-08 21:50
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +247 $222 94¢ $231 +$9 05-31 08:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +251 $231 92¢ $230 $-1 06-06 14:45
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +243 $231 93¢ $226 $-5 06-07 03:37
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -234 $-231 97¢ $-226 +$5 06-06 14:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +248 $231 90¢ $222 $-9 06-08 11:45
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +231 $217 95¢ $220 +$3 05-28 20:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +231 $217 95¢ $219 +$2 05-28 20:31
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30? No -216 $-214 99¢ $-215 $-1 06-03 23:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +252 $217 84¢ $213 $-4 05-28 20:31
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +218 $209 95¢ $208 $-1 06-03 04:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +214 $200 94¢ $202 +$2 05-29 09:35
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? No -196 $-194 99¢ $-195 $-1 06-07 19:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +197 $185 95¢ $187 +$2 06-02 07:09
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +247 $222 76¢ $186 $-36 05-29 16:37
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +219 $184 84¢ $185 +$1 06-01 04:37
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +174 $165 96¢ $166 +$1 05-29 20:35
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +157 $135 92¢ $144 +$9 05-28 20:30
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +151 $133 88¢ $134 +$1 06-08 15:18
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +166 $131 78¢ $130 $-1 05-31 14:35
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +121 $116 98¢ $119 +$3 06-03 17:07
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +123 $97 88¢ $108 +$11 06-02 07:11
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +118 $103 92¢ $108 +$5 06-03 04:14
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +104 $95 90¢ $93 $-2 05-28 20:35