Harmless-Repeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$318

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-04 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-0

Politics

27% 33% +$0

Tech

15% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	80¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-20 10:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-13 08:48
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-17 04:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-14 06:53
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-15 08:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 06:46
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 07:20
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 04:30
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 18 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 07:20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-09 03:36
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:37
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 07:29
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 09:53
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:20
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 06:59
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 03:47
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:35
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:35
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-30 04:37
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-25 03:46
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-28 06:46
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:13
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 06:56
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:25:05	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc2e29c…
07-04 07:07:20	Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b69e6…
07-03 06:53:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5282c5…
07-03 06:34:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4416c8…
07-02 07:29:01	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc716c3…
07-02 07:28:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabcdff…
07-02 07:20:22	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x871dcf…
07-02 07:12:19	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf81a6…
07-01 08:22:56	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xea307f…
07-01 08:09:53	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x391b8b…
06-30 02:13:23	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe9bdb…
06-30 01:58:50	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e9206…
06-29 08:10:07	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa376c0…
06-29 08:08:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf2ac36…
06-29 07:43:25	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7fd47…
06-29 07:16:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc5d3ac…
06-27 06:55:13	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4eadfe…
06-27 06:54:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5f5684…
06-27 06:40:35	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x525c93…
06-27 06:35:01	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf8cef…
06-26 02:40:23	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x77dfaf…
06-26 02:39:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3dce7b…
06-26 02:26:31	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0a0fe1…
06-26 02:17:49	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7efbf7…
06-25 08:06:20	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa0bb77…
06-25 08:05:47	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8dc311…
06-25 07:46:35	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x918f3f…
06-25 07:42:31	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63cacb…
06-24 08:05:40	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9224d6…
06-24 07:41:17	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x56ae5e…
06-23 07:38:47	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x40e484…
06-23 07:38:07	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0d9e2…
06-23 07:18:22	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe20de0…
06-23 07:08:43	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5587fb…
06-22 02:41:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c69dd…
06-22 02:31:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e3099…
06-21 08:15:44	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x877d26…
06-21 08:13:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x056b49…
06-21 07:55:23	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd72fe7…
06-21 07:50:02	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a7c65…
06-18 07:13:26	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb810f8…
06-18 06:50:25	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e1911…
06-17 03:15:31	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe07ad1…
06-17 03:14:18	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe7e8db…
06-17 02:52:36	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcab4de…
06-17 02:37:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb8206…
06-16 07:33:43	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xab527d…
06-16 07:14:13	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6f363…
06-12 07:58:43	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2d3970…
06-12 07:41:39	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d235b…
06-11 07:22:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0ff7b…
06-11 07:00:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72be40…
06-10 07:45:54	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf45a3c…
06-10 07:25:13	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1879db…
06-09 07:38:12	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x018a5d…
06-09 07:28:55	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4be12f…
06-06 07:20:31	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe26299…
06-06 07:04:58	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4465b…
06-05 07:58:40	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2dc74e…
06-05 07:56:18	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d2664…
06-05 07:30:04	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb442a7…
06-05 07:26:30	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf199f2…
06-04 08:58:03	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd56173…
06-04 08:53:19	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x450b0c…
06-03 03:13:01	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x46f674…
06-03 02:43:10	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e44eb…
06-02 06:48:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x869031…
06-02 06:15:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd79372…
06-01 08:13:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc06c81…
06-01 07:58:54	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x367f09…
05-30 09:29:20	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x110014…
05-30 09:28:28	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x01147b…
05-30 07:16:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x284417…
05-30 07:10:23	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5898b2…
05-29 06:45:49	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb29717…
05-29 06:43:29	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc2f5c2…
05-29 06:27:26	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1fdd9…
05-28 07:09:29	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbdd735…
05-28 06:53:51	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc98b2…
05-27 07:35:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf7404f…
05-27 07:35:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1beea3…
05-27 07:20:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e5f46…
05-27 07:11:25	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd4d83…
05-25 07:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x434301…
05-25 07:13:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82cb9b…
05-20 07:31:34	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x54daa2…
05-20 07:05:03	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x470dbd…
05-19 06:43:01	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xae663f…
05-19 04:51:15	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x54f384…
05-18 09:45:49	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xec5d3d…
05-18 06:46:38	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f656a…
05-15 06:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0f1b…
05-15 06:08:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1379c8…
05-14 06:36:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x58ef06…
05-14 06:09:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xea4559…
05-13 06:56:56	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x85b721…
05-13 06:35:56	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7bc8c9…
05-11 04:40:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe2480d…
05-11 04:18:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x588d44…
05-09 08:00:15	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe86a0…