Joyous-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-02 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-0

Politics

22% 33% $-0

Crypto

17% 0% $-0

Tech

13% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-1	$-1	80¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 06:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	10	$10	5	5	-0	open	—	01-16 09:20
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-30 04:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-10 03:26
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	02-13 01:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 02:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-03 03:10
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-17 04:08
nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 03:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-06 06:51
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 03:23
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:13
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 02:29
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 03:53
bitcoin above 84k on january 20	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-16 09:19
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:11
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 08:37
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:35
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 07:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 21	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 04:36
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-04 08:58
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 04:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 04:08
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 06:59
bitcoin above 58k on march 1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-26 10:05
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 07:35
will project hail mary 3rd weekend box office be less than 35m	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-06 04:49
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:35
bitcoin above 58k on february 27	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-25 09:58
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-30 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 07:29:02	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8f1a28…
07-02 07:28:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x734204…
07-02 07:20:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf84134…
07-02 07:12:23	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a94e8…
07-01 08:23:25	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfd330c…
07-01 08:09:53	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1427a9…
06-30 02:13:23	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb69bfc…
06-30 01:58:50	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e7217…
06-29 08:10:16	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x157a1b…
06-29 08:08:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5272ca…
06-29 07:43:26	israeli forces enter choukine by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc861ae…
06-29 07:21:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x562a6c…
06-27 06:55:13	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x25d3e4…
06-27 06:54:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d102d…
06-27 06:40:38	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2ed91…
06-27 06:35:04	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x628ca9…
06-26 02:40:22	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x74010c…
06-26 02:39:19	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6a249…
06-26 02:26:32	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ad9fa…
06-26 02:17:47	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873 821	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a5184…
06-25 08:06:23	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x74157e…
06-25 08:05:50	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x943905…
06-25 07:46:35	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8bd220…
06-25 07:42:23	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c1d90…
06-24 08:05:44	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcb9484…
06-24 07:41:08	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9467ae…
06-23 07:38:41	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2412a3…
06-23 07:38:08	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabb172…
06-23 07:18:10	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x107a2a…
06-23 07:09:08	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa274a2…
06-22 02:41:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54ca15…
06-22 02:31:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb52854…
06-21 08:15:44	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b3e74…
06-21 08:13:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x838daf…
06-21 07:55:19	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24fcf2…
06-21 07:50:02	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xabc647…
06-18 07:13:29	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x20a0de…
06-18 06:50:26	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda4e22…
06-17 03:15:31	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x710384…
06-17 03:14:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x146fa8…
06-17 02:52:36	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4bec7b…
06-17 02:37:30	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f54de…
06-16 07:34:49	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec6a24…
06-16 07:14:13	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in june	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f5072…
06-12 08:00:25	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x172e36…
06-12 07:41:43	will curvance launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x593f19…
06-11 07:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x32dee9…
06-11 07:00:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x798db0…
06-10 07:45:54	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x67b6a2…
06-10 07:25:16	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1d9e19…
06-09 07:38:13	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x55ef5b…
06-09 07:28:46	will ink launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dafb0…
06-06 07:21:04	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3740f0…
06-06 07:04:58	Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa56e0f…
06-05 07:58:40	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92ade0…
06-05 07:56:19	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ea235…
06-05 07:30:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xece066…
06-05 07:26:04	bitcoin above 74k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c09a5…
06-04 08:58:06	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f3dd1…
06-04 08:54:00	Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa0f19…
06-03 03:13:02	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x51b475…
06-03 02:43:12	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05976c…
06-02 06:48:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x376c4a…
06-02 06:15:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf34d65…
06-01 08:13:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67046d…
06-01 07:58:54	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce9ac1…
05-30 09:29:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6eadc1…
05-30 09:28:28	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb36a1…
05-30 07:16:40	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c8829…
05-30 07:10:29	Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb665d8…
05-29 06:45:49	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfe086a…
05-29 06:43:31	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8dd82f…
05-29 06:27:28	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c39b0…
05-28 07:09:27	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec4d64…
05-28 06:53:51	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa5c448…
05-27 07:36:28	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02c386…
05-27 07:35:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b74f3…
05-27 07:21:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x633d50…
05-27 07:11:32	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f916a…
05-25 07:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedcdfd…
05-25 07:13:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5fc614…
05-20 07:31:35	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x257a12…
05-20 07:05:08	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xda17cf…
05-19 06:42:55	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8e4ff…
05-19 04:51:15	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7bcb8a…
05-18 09:45:50	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x50411f…
05-18 06:46:59	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68fdd2…
05-15 06:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x660f77…
05-15 06:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe91124…
05-14 06:37:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x20016e…
05-14 06:10:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x73c923…
05-13 06:56:56	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe6257c…
05-13 06:37:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe309f6…
05-11 04:40:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac2527…
05-11 04:18:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef5032…
05-09 08:00:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x75e01e…
05-09 07:38:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ced55…
05-07 06:50:51	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66382a…
05-07 06:26:17	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1042e6…
05-05 02:33:18	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x7b9ea9…