Elastic-Sleep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$593

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$64.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$277

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-12 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 0% $-22

Other

43% 0% $-571

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$3.9K	3,249	3,249	+0	open	—	06-10 20:29
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	3	$3.6K	1,805	1,805	+0	open	—	03-19 07:04
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$2.2K	1,113	1,113	+0	open	—	02-26 13:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$2.0K	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	02-17 11:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,381	1,381	+0	open	—	06-14 21:42
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.9K	990	990	+0	open	—	04-13 18:12
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	2	$1.9K	1,637	1,637	+0	open	—	06-22 10:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	4	$1.8K	2,556	2,556	+0	open	—	06-14 10:25
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	2	$1.8K	909	909	+0	open	—	03-22 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.8K	3,913	3,913	+0	open	—	06-14 10:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$1.8K	1,059	1,059	+0	open	—	06-14 10:25
andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	2	$1.8K	904	904	+0	open	—	06-22 13:39
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	2	$1.8K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	06-26 11:46
will romuald wadagni be the next president of benin	2	$1.8K	902	902	+0	open	—	04-14 00:09
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	2	$1.8K	949	949	+0	Yes	$-22	03-16 00:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	2	$1.8K	1,014	1,014	+0	open	—	06-27 00:39
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	2	$1.8K	2,188	2,188	+0	open	—	06-22 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$1.7K	1,398	1,398	+0	open	—	06-15 10:57
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	2	$1.7K	922	922	+0	open	—	07-26 10:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$1.7K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	04-10 14:07
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$1.7K	3,462	3,462	+0	open	—	04-10 14:07
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	2	$1.6K	927	927	+0	open	—	06-22 22:54
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	3,333	3,333	+0	open	—	02-17 14:50
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	2	$1.2K	907	907	+0	Yes	$-571	04-27 00:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$1.1K	3,823	3,823	+0	open	—	02-17 18:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$996	613	613	+0	open	—	03-02 20:14
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	2	$995	507	507	+0	open	—	07-26 14:27
will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	2	$992	513	513	+0	open	—	07-26 14:27
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$989	0	3,337	-3,337	open	—	06-16 09:52
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	2	$965	501	501	+0	open	—	07-27 15:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:14:27	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x8e3ce7…
08-04 18:07:02	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	352	98¢	$345	0xf71cb5…
08-04 18:07:02	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,305	3¢	$132	0x3681a5…
08-04 11:21:03	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,305	4¢	$159	0xfdf973…
08-03 22:26:11	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	352	100¢	$350	0x5385a3…
08-01 11:12:08	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	109	22¢	$25	0x870bd3…
07-31 16:16:41	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x417283…
07-31 16:01:53	will trump say russia during cabinet meeting 20260727172357450	Yes	SELL	52	54¢	$28	0xd96e0b…
07-31 15:58:00	will trump say russia during cabinet meeting 20260727172357450	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa9423c…
07-31 15:50:54	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	SELL	78	40¢	$31	0x1dfc26…
07-31 15:48:36	will trump say fed or federal reserve during cabinet meeting 20260727172357446	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xd9c291…
07-31 11:24:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	51	88¢	$45	0xc400bf…
07-31 11:24:23	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xdaf076…
07-31 11:24:21	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0x28a314…
07-30 22:56:11	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0xc5c324…
07-30 22:56:11	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x508915…
07-30 19:14:51	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	51	44¢	$23	0xa9e9ea…
07-30 17:55:57	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xbb1d4f…
07-30 17:55:42	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7f0ec0…
07-30 17:48:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	51¢	$20	0xb29d01…
07-30 17:30:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x656364…
07-30 17:29:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe82bee…
07-30 17:27:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	51¢	$20	0x4e6ab6…
07-30 17:25:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd98344…
07-30 17:25:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x08c24c…
07-30 17:24:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	51¢	$20	0xcfa140…
07-30 17:18:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd3756f…
07-30 17:18:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3b028a…
07-30 17:15:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x93053b…
07-30 17:15:42	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xc6edcf…
07-30 17:15:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf8f20a…
07-30 15:06:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6b1189…
07-30 15:06:47	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x61490f…
07-30 15:06:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d6530…
07-30 14:59:05	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xf5d354…
07-30 14:59:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xd8db42…
07-30 14:59:05	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa561e0…
07-30 14:42:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd182d9…
07-30 14:42:29	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x60cf75…
07-30 14:42:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x38d8b6…
07-30 14:29:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	50¢	$95	0x3093f6…
07-30 14:25:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x7c5a80…
07-30 14:24:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x09564e…
07-30 14:00:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	50¢	$48	0xcf2814…
07-30 13:56:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0xe95e8c…
07-30 13:52:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	50¢	$49	0xe7ca05…
07-30 13:49:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4dd369…
07-30 09:46:38	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	425	74¢	$314	0xd56fb7…
07-30 09:46:06	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,116	5¢	$108	0x55d0b6…
07-30 09:12:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	73¢	$310	0x8ea888…
07-30 09:12:00	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,116	8¢	$169	0x52d53d…
07-28 15:42:58	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	SELL	716	16¢	$112	0x1b65a9…
07-28 15:42:32	NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	Yes	BUY	716	17¢	$122	0x0f5058…
07-28 13:30:02	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x59e1b6…
07-28 12:40:46	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x086018…
07-28 12:40:44	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	6¢	$12	0xfbbd56…
07-28 12:40:37	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26,316	1¢	$143	0x58623e…
07-28 07:29:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	22¢	$43	0xa82009…
07-28 07:28:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26,316	2¢	$500	0x406d1d…
07-27 23:51:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	176	83¢	$146	0xab9ba0…
07-27 20:09:18	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x753018…
07-27 15:23:57	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	SELL	501	93¢	$465	0x654f3f…
07-27 15:17:22	moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x3b59b5…
07-26 20:22:42	Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?	Yes	SELL	499	5¢	$23	0x533597…
07-26 18:15:49	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0xdcefb6…
07-26 14:57:22	Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?	Yes	BUY	499	6¢	$32	0x78b9aa…
07-26 14:27:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	507	98¢	$495	0xc61c01…
07-26 14:27:54	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	SELL	513	96¢	$492	0xc3bd75…
07-26 14:27:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	503	95¢	$478	0xf4980c…
07-26 14:16:49	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	Yes	BUY	513	97¢	$500	0xf8a324…
07-26 14:16:49	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	503	97¢	$486	0x79d11f…
07-26 14:16:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0xa0e202…
07-26 10:53:16	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	758	2¢	$12	0x311460…
07-26 10:53:16	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	922	90¢	$831	0x10a6d2…
07-26 10:11:57	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	922	98¢	$900	0x37161d…
07-06 23:42:53	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	508	74¢	$375	0x11917c…
07-03 09:19:43	will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	508	78¢	$398	0xfbfa4c…
06-27 00:39:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	1,014	86¢	$868	0x2611f0…
06-27 00:32:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	1,014	89¢	$900	0xda249d…
06-26 11:46:19	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1,002	89¢	$893	0xd847b6…
06-24 18:43:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1,002	90¢	$900	0x528fc3…
06-23 21:52:01	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	758	39¢	$294	0x38b927…
06-23 10:29:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,157	7¢	$81	0xd91969…
06-23 07:57:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,157	8¢	$93	0x9634d3…
06-22 22:54:53	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	927	78¢	$722	0x2df7e7…
06-22 22:36:16	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	927	97¢	$900	0xe679a1…
06-22 13:39:14	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	904	99¢	$893	0x464881…
06-22 13:38:29	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	BUY	904	100¢	$900	0x98595c…
06-22 10:15:19	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,637	60¢	$976	0xfd8d4a…
06-22 10:15:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,188	39¢	$856	0xfc1afa…
06-22 09:53:01	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,637	55¢	$900	0xa7232b…
06-22 09:53:01	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,188	41¢	$900	0x0811ee…
06-20 21:44:13	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	SELL	237	95¢	$226	0xd47f83…
06-20 13:06:47	will jd vance have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	237	40¢	$94	0xa6ff8f…
06-19 13:51:01	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	165	4¢	$6	0xe4b71c…
06-19 13:48:14	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	165	4¢	$7	0x8e4458…
06-16 09:52:09	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	3,337	30¢	$989	0xd7eab1…
06-15 11:22:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	900,000	0¢	$900	0x795141…
06-15 10:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,398	60¢	$839	0x5f7962…
06-15 10:57:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	14,754	0¢	$44	0x57586f…