Glorious-Quince — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$316

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-0

Politics

29% 25% +$0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:45
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:03
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-26 08:24
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$-0	04-09 06:18
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 07:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 07:26
chatgpt full outage by february 28	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 01:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-13 08:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 08:20
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-14 01:39
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 08:22
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 09:07
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 10:34
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-16 07:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-03 03:30
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:27
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 20% and 25%?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 10:35
tsla up or down on february 24 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 06:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-22 03:28
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-01 08:43
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 08:25
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:33
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:26
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 06:34
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 00:31
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-20 07:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:40:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa135aa…
07-24 02:26:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5be415…
07-23 08:22:24	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x947b72…
07-23 08:05:40	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc85f8…
07-22 08:04:19	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4665f…
07-22 08:03:03	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x19a2c8…
07-22 07:58:58	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x496322…
07-22 07:56:40	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f507c…
07-21 03:44:48	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca0c13…
07-20 07:53:57	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8c5810…
07-20 07:42:18	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b6a45…
07-18 08:31:39	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4aab4…
07-18 08:10:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x747036…
07-17 02:50:19	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13b950…
07-17 02:49:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5fd95e…
07-17 02:30:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e1a0d…
07-17 02:24:42	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c2d74…
07-16 08:16:05	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa2c10c…
07-16 07:56:44	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91fb90…
07-15 07:53:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb628e…
07-15 07:41:26	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x849dbc…
07-14 03:31:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06343d…
07-14 03:18:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x011ea0…
07-13 08:01:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe95b10…
07-13 08:00:43	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbedcd1…
07-13 07:37:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cd781…
07-13 07:27:50	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x80dd84…
07-11 03:23:34	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfbe1cb…
07-11 03:01:38	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x686cbc…
07-10 08:14:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3628e7…
07-10 08:13:16	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x83c496…
07-10 07:52:56	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcc871…
07-10 07:50:28	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfe02bc…
07-08 08:21:28	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xda4a75…
07-08 08:20:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x314a59…
07-08 07:58:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfdfe12…
07-08 07:54:46	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcac207…
07-07 01:31:01	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x80daff…
07-07 01:30:28	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x085206…
07-07 01:15:46	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18411a…
07-07 00:48:58	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9669f3…
07-06 07:51:02	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4f0bed…
07-06 07:49:23	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e035d…
07-06 07:35:07	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf4c166…
07-06 07:30:47	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ac12c…
07-04 07:57:58	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4d4a7f…
07-04 07:33:10	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4335ed…
07-03 07:29:52	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc3dec…
07-03 07:15:43	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3589c7…
07-02 07:51:50	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c4fa7…
07-02 07:51:16	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe14ef6…
07-02 07:42:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27962e…
07-02 07:37:04	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ab2de…
07-01 09:04:53	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4da722…
07-01 08:51:28	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe12a4e…
06-30 02:49:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf13507…
06-30 02:38:29	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e6c95…
06-29 08:49:50	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb8392a…
06-29 08:49:17	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x584287…
06-29 08:34:07	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x901fce…
06-29 08:22:32	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa3c1d…
06-27 07:50:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3f440d…
06-27 07:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef772e…
06-26 03:21:34	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4d862c…
06-26 03:20:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaee0bd…
06-26 02:54:38	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x048db0…
06-26 02:49:20	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb51301…
06-24 08:37:04	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x417750…
06-24 08:36:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0d677…
06-24 08:20:31	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd43dcf…
06-24 08:16:47	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a1d13…
06-23 08:36:20	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4310dd…
06-23 08:35:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51e51b…
06-23 08:08:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6d32f…
06-23 08:04:49	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0c1600…
06-22 03:29:44	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2215d…
06-22 03:28:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71967a…
06-22 03:13:23	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbea763…
06-22 03:03:53	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb949f4…
06-21 09:08:32	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd2ed09…
06-21 09:07:37	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81b0d9…
06-21 08:46:05	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedd19b…
06-21 08:42:55	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x41a763…
06-18 07:48:38	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0e801f…
06-18 07:32:17	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1551fc…
06-17 02:26:45	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf22863…
06-17 02:26:13	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ea6e1…
06-17 02:11:40	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61f6e9…
06-17 02:05:45	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62842e…
06-12 08:33:54	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb1bc52…
06-12 08:33:10	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcb8039…
06-12 08:19:39	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a05d8…
06-12 08:15:18	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb648d9…
06-11 07:54:12	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc70b4a…
06-11 07:36:21	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb46063…
06-10 08:41:16	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a3769…
06-10 08:20:28	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x863701…
06-09 08:22:46	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4a646c…
06-09 08:06:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x82af1c…
06-08 07:51:46	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x89a37c…