Handmade-Spur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.7%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$325

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% $-0

Politics

30% 25% +$0

Crypto

12% 0% $-0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-01 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 07:53
chatgpt full outage by february 28	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-13 01:35
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-13 08:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 08:20
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 08:22
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 09:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-18 07:03
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 03:13
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 06:58
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 06:18
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 06:17
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 01:27
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 06:27
tsla up or down on february 24 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-24 06:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-22 03:28
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 03:13
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 08:43
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:04
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:30
will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 08:04
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 20 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 03:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 02:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-07 04:38
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 03:54
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:33
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:40:03	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x922ba2…
07-24 02:26:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x587b18…
07-23 08:22:18	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x982a99…
07-23 08:05:49	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9426cd…
07-22 08:04:22	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xddffe6…
07-22 08:03:07	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3598bf…
07-22 07:59:00	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b8437…
07-22 07:56:43	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4b1f4c…
07-21 03:44:52	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41d7e8…
07-20 07:54:01	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x84386b…
07-20 07:42:24	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x867962…
07-18 08:31:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9c7ca4…
07-18 08:10:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61af84…
07-17 02:50:21	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1d65fa…
07-17 02:49:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa1fe7a…
07-17 02:30:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5eb1b…
07-17 02:24:43	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6dfa2b…
07-16 08:16:07	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4447f0…
07-16 07:56:49	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5b0fc…
07-15 07:53:55	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6e247…
07-15 07:41:37	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70d876…
07-14 03:31:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0eb02c…
07-14 03:18:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e7c4e…
07-13 08:01:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9ffa68…
07-13 08:00:41	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1d9ec8…
07-13 07:37:04	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd71446…
07-13 07:27:59	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x33b82c…
07-11 03:23:37	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x85a142…
07-11 03:01:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3f420…
07-10 08:14:08	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9dc907…
07-10 08:13:26	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf82ec6…
07-10 07:53:02	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x593aa9…
07-10 07:50:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5f599…
07-08 08:21:26	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e7032…
07-08 08:20:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x42f2d1…
07-08 07:58:31	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x672938…
07-08 07:54:49	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4777a8…
07-07 01:30:59	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x63a7fa…
07-07 01:30:28	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x61569e…
07-07 01:15:49	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4bd355…
07-07 00:48:58	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77a243…
07-06 07:50:53	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1a18ac…
07-06 07:49:07	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1217cf…
07-06 07:35:08	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56a886…
07-06 07:30:52	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13d243…
07-04 07:58:01	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9ab07…
07-04 07:33:11	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1046f6…
07-03 07:29:53	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9fa4e5…
07-03 07:15:46	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b7d65…
07-02 07:51:52	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6928e…
07-02 07:51:17	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x29bd41…
07-02 07:42:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab3318…
07-02 07:37:05	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1f7bc…
07-01 09:04:56	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce53bf…
07-01 08:51:35	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad441a…
06-30 02:49:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ca930…
06-30 02:38:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa518af…
06-29 08:49:53	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x308723…
06-29 08:49:17	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d196d…
06-29 08:34:08	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89e7f4…
06-29 08:22:38	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed4fd…
06-27 07:50:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9b567…
06-27 07:10:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x598cfa…
06-26 03:21:35	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe44b44…
06-26 03:20:43	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9050ae…
06-26 02:54:41	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4dd24d…
06-26 02:49:22	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec15ca…
06-24 08:37:04	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf51e68…
06-24 08:36:28	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87b231…
06-24 08:20:23	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa0368…
06-24 08:16:53	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c83fa…
06-23 08:36:23	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x997faf…
06-23 08:35:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2046e8…
06-23 08:10:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53e7f3…
06-23 08:04:49	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc6a41…
06-22 03:29:47	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcee168…
06-22 03:28:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0361f5…
06-22 03:13:26	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8b56cc…
06-22 03:03:52	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7ab51a…
06-21 09:08:34	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2bcdbb…
06-21 09:07:32	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee8502…
06-21 08:46:04	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4de52…
06-21 08:43:02	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b03ae…
06-18 07:48:38	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ffd3c…
06-18 07:32:25	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12e526…
06-17 02:26:48	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x567e13…
06-17 02:26:16	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90b921…
06-17 02:11:42	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x347d94…
06-17 02:05:46	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25f930…
06-12 08:33:57	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb67d08…
06-12 08:33:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d6352…
06-12 08:19:37	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa043ba…
06-12 08:15:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x685c40…
06-11 07:54:12	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x468837…
06-11 07:34:36	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8fd478…
06-10 08:41:18	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c4c70…
06-10 08:20:24	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf235bb…
06-09 08:22:48	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ff049…
06-09 08:06:48	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb794f1…
06-08 07:51:49	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xea532e…