Little-Sill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$319

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-24 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 25% +$0

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	-0	open	—	03-01 02:01
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 07:42
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 07:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:50
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-13 08:01
Human moon landing in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-08 08:20
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-26 08:22
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-17 07:15
will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 09:07
bitcoin above 60k on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-30 06:19
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-01 06:42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-22 03:28
us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-23 03:24
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-01 08:43
nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 06:40
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 20 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 03:04
will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-16 08:04
highest temperature in warsaw on march 30 2026 7corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-30 06:19
will the us tariff rate on china be less than 5 on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 08:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 02:54
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-01 09:05
chatgpt full outage by february 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 01:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 07:47
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	03-07 04:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 07:42
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-21 03:54
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-12 08:33
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-09 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 02:40:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa077fa…
07-24 02:26:04	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1t cny 20260722211138920	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9ec59…
07-23 08:22:31	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd9540c…
07-23 08:05:49	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6fec1…
07-22 08:04:22	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a4dad…
07-22 08:03:09	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x21663b…
07-22 07:59:00	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc286d2…
07-22 07:56:45	will nick begich iii advance from the ak al primary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24a543…
07-21 03:46:16	trump media x tae technologies merger closed by july 31 20260629151200479	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5fe16…
07-20 07:54:03	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d6aaa…
07-20 07:42:19	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x546052…
07-18 08:31:42	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb7028a…
07-18 08:10:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb6251…
07-17 02:50:22	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce5f15…
07-17 02:49:45	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0658cb…
07-17 02:30:39	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ea4ca…
07-17 02:24:42	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b8e9e…
07-16 08:16:08	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x250e0b…
07-16 07:56:47	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x58dfb1…
07-15 07:53:55	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33c79f…
07-15 07:41:38	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11aab9…
07-14 03:31:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb80789…
07-14 03:17:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38f4f2…
07-13 08:01:20	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe54a75…
07-13 07:59:02	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd33825…
07-13 07:37:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96818a…
07-13 07:28:01	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1b151…
07-11 03:23:37	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb4492d…
07-11 03:01:46	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd76650…
07-10 08:14:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8322ca…
07-10 08:13:16	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e767d…
07-10 07:52:58	Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6930ff…
07-10 07:50:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84881c…
07-08 08:21:26	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x56ca21…
07-08 08:20:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa77343…
07-08 07:58:35	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9fce64…
07-08 07:54:47	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa852a8…
07-07 01:30:59	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x79410b…
07-07 01:30:29	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc33bed…
07-07 01:15:44	Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e663b…
07-07 00:49:05	xrp above 0pt6 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c0b4e…
07-06 07:50:55	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9af421…
07-06 07:49:10	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x131177…
07-06 07:34:43	will the ethereum volatility index hit 100 by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9993f5…
07-06 07:30:52	bitcoin above 52k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32e3c9…
07-04 07:58:04	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7d86f7…
07-04 07:33:11	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x905d30…
07-03 07:29:55	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd1b19e…
07-03 07:15:44	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc468a2…
07-02 07:51:52	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2622ef…
07-02 07:51:16	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b0c16…
07-02 07:42:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd6675f…
07-02 07:37:04	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8788bc…
07-01 09:05:02	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc04534…
07-01 08:51:29	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b7439…
06-30 02:49:53	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x011faa…
06-30 02:38:32	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x627c40…
06-29 08:49:56	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6709bb…
06-29 08:49:17	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb733c9…
06-29 08:34:10	will trump speak to mark rutte in july 20260626154217435	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x446724…
06-29 08:22:46	will 1 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228786	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3261…
06-27 07:50:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c7bcd…
06-27 07:10:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62c24c…
06-26 03:21:35	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x63affa…
06-26 03:20:41	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3bd8ff…
06-26 02:54:34	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x84ec91…
06-26 02:49:20	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22b2b1…
06-24 08:37:28	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b7c6e…
06-24 08:37:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7c2543…
06-24 08:20:32	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95bc91…
06-24 08:16:52	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x001300…
06-23 08:36:25	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x647ba9…
06-23 08:35:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0aa037…
06-23 08:08:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x391f93…
06-23 08:05:32	Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0afe08…
06-22 03:29:47	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf35b9a…
06-22 03:28:19	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0ce87e…
06-22 03:13:25	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33f2a8…
06-22 03:03:53	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb525b0…
06-21 09:08:35	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x840002…
06-21 09:07:37	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x59bee1…
06-21 08:46:07	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x822b42…
06-21 08:42:55	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4167ef…
06-18 07:48:40	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x80e645…
06-18 07:32:32	will usd reach 2pt0m iranian rials by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6b687…
06-17 02:26:46	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xce21cf…
06-17 02:26:16	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe93515…
06-17 02:11:42	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bd004…
06-17 02:05:46	xrp above 0pt6 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb10bab…
06-12 08:33:55	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x11e34b…
06-12 08:33:12	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3dc6c0…
06-12 08:19:34	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0aff1…
06-12 08:15:18	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8200d9…
06-11 07:54:09	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd546fa…
06-11 07:34:34	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x74d730…
06-10 08:41:19	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa83708…
06-10 08:20:22	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8fe91…
06-09 08:22:49	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdeebec…
06-09 08:06:51	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e6c2e…
06-08 07:51:49	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x899505…