Acidic-Thongs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

128

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-03 02:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

83% 30% -$247

Politics

12% 49% -$87

Sports

3% 20% -$65

Tech

2% 25% -$12

Crypto

0% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	Yes		+86	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	08-16 21:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	2	$917	460	460	+0	No	+$3	01-20 10:06
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 17 2026	1	$456	456	0	+456	No	+$0	01-18 04:58
will davos be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	12	$329	549	649	-100	Yes	+$85	02-15 01:14
will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	4	$199	165	41	+124	Yes	-$123	01-23 04:28
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	8	$163	500	351	+149	Yes	+$1	02-05 00:28
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	5	$126	226	10	+216	No	-$111	02-12 12:48
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	10	$103	420	0	+420	No	-$103	02-10 01:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$100	222	222	+0	No	+$20	02-04 12:31
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	8	$81	231	170	+61	Yes	-$12	02-12 05:19
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	4	$72	50	50	+0	No	+$4	01-28 09:05
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	69	$61	17,043	0	+17,043	No	-$61	02-16 16:48
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	5	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 10:18
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$37	165	10	+155	No	-$32	02-03 05:26
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-25 16:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$34	0	60	-60	Yes	-$26	01-30 02:45
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	8	$30	4,226	0	+4,226	No	-$30	01-21 01:45
will elon be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 982	8	$26	211	211	+0	Yes	+$2	02-01 11:09
will trump say middle east during meeting with netanyahu	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	-$3	02-11 00:30
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	22	$22	2,491	2,491	+0	No	+$2	02-12 17:04
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:45
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 22 be less than 1500000	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-20 05:54
will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on january 23 2026	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-20 10:07
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$17	28	28	+0	No	-$2	05-14 12:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$14	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	02-13 07:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$13	1,533	1,200	+333	Yes	-$1	02-01 04:22
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	01-25 00:18
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-14 10:06
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$9	06-02 10:09
will microsoft be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 327	4	$10	200	83	+117	Yes	+$6	01-31 23:20
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 65 89	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	01-21 03:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 02:28:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe8e6c3…
09-03 02:28:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9b9141…
09-03 02:28:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x39c596…
09-03 01:57:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4bbc66…
09-03 01:57:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7777fb…
09-03 01:57:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2bb469…
09-03 01:27:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x62213b…
09-03 01:27:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc658ec…
09-03 01:27:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x269646…
09-03 01:15:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5411b8…
09-03 01:15:57	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe8550a…
09-03 01:15:57	will donald trump publicly insult someone on september 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x74cff5…
08-16 21:23:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xa74398…
07-28 03:58:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 29 2026 20260724221849660	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff3338…
07-28 03:58:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 26 2026 20260724221849657	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xce93c2…
07-28 03:28:45	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 3 2026 20260724221849634	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x644a13…
07-28 03:28:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 2 2026 20260724221849633	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa4dcf2…
07-28 03:28:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 1 2026 20260724221849632	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc9e59…
07-01 06:29:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 26 2026 20260630182730904	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71a36b…
07-01 05:59:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 21 2026 20260630182730899	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4ffb98…
07-01 05:59:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7a9c0f…
07-01 05:59:17	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9e386…
06-28 02:28:55	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x957288…
06-25 14:28:23	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaabbe1…
06-23 10:03:53	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x384b93…
06-20 02:29:13	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x155950…
06-12 02:30:30	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1d3db0…
06-09 14:30:10	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf0c883…
06-09 05:42:01	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in june 2026	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8967e6…
06-09 02:18:37	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x2e612d…
06-08 22:50:19	Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x960760…
06-08 22:45:09	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xa68902…
06-08 22:45:09	Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x5329eb…
06-08 19:57:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4262d2…
06-08 19:27:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb77f44…
06-08 17:16:46	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe7179a…
06-08 17:04:55	will apple announce ios 27 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x6a9d8a…
06-08 16:57:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6e611c…
06-08 16:27:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4213d0…
06-08 16:20:24	Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x751b94…
06-08 14:57:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x501865…
06-08 11:33:30	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 82.5	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xee44ca…
06-08 11:15:36	Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x41cc07…
06-08 11:05:34	will trump meet with keir starmer in june 2026	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xfcc66f…
06-08 11:02:28	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x30f1a1…
06-08 10:49:15	Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1b4748…
06-08 10:47:06	Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xc67aac…
06-08 10:42:39	Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe0f0bf…
06-08 10:36:45	Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x1e4084…
06-08 08:58:52	Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xff72b4…
06-08 08:48:31	Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfe846c…
06-08 08:37:01	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x97e0de…
06-08 02:58:37	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x462177…
06-08 02:45:18	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x18e887…
06-02 10:22:46	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x23e187…
06-02 10:09:16	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b8e0…
05-17 04:32:59	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x7db34d…
05-17 04:32:33	Will the NYSE choose Base?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xfe8e42…
05-16 12:07:53	Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc418a4…
05-16 12:06:46	Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5247a0…
05-16 12:06:43	Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?	No	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x077014…
05-16 11:59:41	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xac3e18…
05-16 00:11:59	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x0a9afd…
05-16 00:01:48	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xab1687…
05-15 04:43:57	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4fac20…
05-15 04:40:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x35bfc5…
05-15 04:38:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x97634f…
05-15 03:14:57	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x03f7d0…
05-15 03:11:33	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x990e6c…
05-15 03:01:38	Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc24296…
05-15 02:53:12	Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa3ad6a…
05-15 02:51:34	Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xdc6c25…
05-15 02:45:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xcab768…
05-14 13:28:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcfcbfe…
05-14 13:28:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc20f90…
05-14 13:28:14	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6c4d56…
05-14 13:27:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47b98e…
05-14 13:23:07	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6f54a1…
05-14 13:12:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa06e3d…
05-14 12:39:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd3dd14…
05-14 12:32:45	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x004a13…
05-14 12:26:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xcce1ad…
05-14 11:13:01	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xec6407…
05-14 10:29:00	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x0832d9…
05-14 10:19:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x090ea6…
05-14 10:15:52	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7b285c…
05-14 10:06:13	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5856af…
05-14 10:03:34	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x94fdde…
05-14 09:57:51	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2d873f…
05-14 09:50:39	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa0c0fb…
05-14 07:27:58	Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa26924…
05-14 03:36:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x539778…
05-14 03:36:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x0237ab…
05-14 03:13:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb0ee8d…
05-14 02:33:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x08f3f4…
05-14 00:26:25	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb33681…
05-14 00:22:23	Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x58e636…
05-14 00:12:21	Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x81d03f…
05-14 00:02:21	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc30213…
05-13 04:38:01	Will Joe Mitchell be the Republican Nominee for IA-02?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x631150…