Unnatural-Insulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$623

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

2,291

Trades

8,546

lifetime

Volume

$79.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$261

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-24 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Other

63% 57% +$1,174

Crypto

26% 62% -$398

Politics

6% 56% +$37

Sports

3% 43% -$120

Tech

1% 67% -$33

Pop-Culture

0% 62% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 311 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+80	$56	84¢	$67	+$11	07-28 23:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+50	$41	96¢	$48	+$7	07-16 05:54
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+60	$39	80¢	$48	+$9	06-13 23:48
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	No	+30	$27	96¢	$29	+$2	07-30 07:40
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	+20	$18	98¢	$20	+$1	07-21 00:11
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+20	$19	98¢	$20	+$1	07-26 07:07
will mark rutte visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126047	Yes	+19	$17	52¢	$10	-$7	08-01 10:52
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+40	$12	16¢	$6	-$6	06-09 08:40
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	+20	$5	29¢	$6	+$0	07-11 01:56
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+20	$7	20¢	$4	-$3	06-02 22:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+50	$9	4¢	$2	-$7	07-16 05:10
will donald trump visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126060	Yes	+30	$3	4¢	$1	-$1	07-30 12:04
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-28 23:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	75	$1.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Up	-$5	08-12 11:47
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC	73	$1.0K	2,114	0	+2,114	Up	-$9	08-12 03:49
will ewy dip to 174 in june 2026	47	$990	1,307	486	+821	No	-$384	06-29 14:13
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	69	$957	2,557	1,698	+859	open	—	10-26 23:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC	48	$937	1,833	350	+1,483	Up	+$5	08-11 11:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC	73	$844	2,114	409	+1,704	Down	-$16	08-12 15:45
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 04:00 UTC	90	$775	1,795	301	+1,494	Up	+$3	08-17 07:58
will ewy dip to 172 in june 2026	32	$762	1,253	203	+1,050	No	-$44	06-29 14:12
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	69	$684	1,412	55	+1,357	Up	+$8	08-17 15:54
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	30	$669	1,084	130	+955	No	+$4	07-29 18:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 00:00 UTC	28	$639	1,073	59	+1,013	Down	+$1	08-18 03:50
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	44	$634	1,180	0	+1,180	Up	-$3	08-16 15:59
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?	35	$548	460	237	+223	No	+$49	06-03 18:39
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	35	$529	972	0	+972	Down	+$8	08-10 11:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 04:00 UTC	28	$522	934	250	+684	Down	-$2	08-11 07:40
will ewy dip to 170 in june 2026	22	$513	849	152	+697	No	+$107	06-28 14:48
will ewy dip to 168 in june 2026	24	$473	1,003	50	+953	No	+$182	06-25 19:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-18 12:00 UTC	58	$445	1,415	643	+773	Up	$0	08-18 15:57
will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	11	$430	278	198	+80	Yes	+$6	08-03 13:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	6	$427	220	220	+0	No	+$6	04-20 13:47
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $220 in July?	10	$425	242	242	+0	No	+$50	07-24 01:56
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 04:00 UTC	49	$416	1,181	329	+852	Down	-$4	08-16 07:59
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $203 Week of June 15 2026?	2	$381	400	0	+400	Yes	+$19	06-15 12:45
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	9	$371	350	150	+200	Yes	+$29	07-06 00:43
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?	12	$362	770	0	+770	Yes	-$116	07-26 15:17
Will LØS Win the Shortest Game in CBLOL 2026 Split 2?	14	$349	298	218	+80	Yes	+$22	08-10 16:33
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	17	$346	705	260	+445	Up	-$1	08-11 23:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 00:00 UTC	90	$346	1,492	1,288	+205	Down	-$9	08-19 03:39
ewy up or down on april 17 2026	9	$335	312	254	+58	Up	-$38	04-17 14:56
Will Team Vitality qualify for EWC 2026?	31	$313	321	133	+188	No	+$45	05-06 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:46:47	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x5c3fd1…
10-26 23:46:45	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0fb584…
10-24 22:58:56	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x02f347…
10-24 22:58:54	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xf677b3…
10-24 22:58:35	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x18b8b4…
10-24 22:58:20	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	41	47¢	$19	0xfc1ece…
09-17 02:58:10	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	41	45¢	$18	0x7a28f2…
09-14 12:46:55	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x9a0323…
09-14 04:47:24	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x02ef56…
09-14 04:47:10	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x21d29e…
09-14 04:41:57	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0xecfd0d…
09-13 12:55:10	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xedacfe…
09-13 09:18:54	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x5ace43…
09-13 09:15:46	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x961c51…
09-13 08:46:48	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x9e98d9…
09-10 23:36:19	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x20e170…
09-09 19:15:06	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0x00d2f9…
09-09 12:09:58	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x14ac43…
09-09 07:52:36	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x546f25…
09-09 07:50:00	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xba8a86…
09-09 07:49:49	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x5bc575…
09-05 11:44:16	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0xb96ccd…
08-29 07:14:18	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x1f7f59…
08-26 15:59:27	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x9c6556…
08-25 07:39:24	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x1f3cba…
08-25 07:38:49	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xda9009…
08-25 03:31:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	139	0¢	$0	0x13bf7d…
08-25 03:00:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x41e91b…
08-25 02:50:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcb7c04…
08-25 02:48:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb86ffc…
08-25 02:48:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x34f628…
08-25 02:47:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xf46750…
08-25 02:46:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x9b42a8…
08-25 02:38:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x49fadf…
08-25 02:38:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x430f6f…
08-25 02:38:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x38136d…
08-25 02:36:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xdab0a9…
08-25 02:36:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe0db1a…
08-25 02:36:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd4abd7…
08-25 02:30:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8aab36…
08-25 02:30:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe30d47…
08-25 02:30:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3290cc…
08-25 02:30:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5f3876…
08-25 02:28:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4cda08…
08-25 02:28:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x2fbf77…
08-25 02:28:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xffd441…
08-25 02:28:06	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ae9f2…
08-25 02:28:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xaa1851…
08-25 02:28:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x2fda3a…
08-25 02:27:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0a7f55…
08-25 02:27:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc4bb50…
08-25 02:18:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x183f66…
08-25 02:18:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x724593…
08-25 02:17:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcb76ad…
08-24 19:54:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x80832c…
08-24 19:54:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9c6169…
08-24 19:54:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x028efa…
08-24 19:54:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf25cb9…
08-24 19:53:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x9cf9da…
08-24 19:52:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd998a4…
08-24 19:52:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xcecc42…
08-24 19:51:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x4d41ad…
08-24 19:51:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xaff61b…
08-24 19:51:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0xebaee6…
08-24 19:51:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1bb5ce…
08-24 19:51:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc76c3b…
08-24 17:23:09	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa4c4f7…
08-24 15:44:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x48b672…
08-24 15:21:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbfe84d…
08-24 15:21:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6ff19f…
08-24 15:20:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6fa60d…
08-24 15:20:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xab6e1c…
08-24 15:12:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xbb2075…
08-24 15:12:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xded00f…
08-24 13:11:48	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3a2433…
08-24 12:37:21	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by August 31?	No	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x5d6848…
08-24 11:52:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0xb3ec0c…
08-24 11:26:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc6cfe6…
08-24 11:26:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xf4e723…
08-24 11:24:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bcfa3…
08-24 11:24:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xe2cd4f…
08-24 11:22:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x374bdf…
08-24 11:22:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x8c3a50…
08-24 11:22:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3d7a93…
08-24 11:22:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x29e639…
08-24 11:20:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x1b7481…
08-24 11:20:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x012015…
08-24 11:20:36	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6a475e…
08-24 11:20:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf72708…
08-24 11:19:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x079d53…
08-24 09:23:00	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x3d1728…
08-24 07:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xf9e503…
08-24 07:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x790079…
08-24 07:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x218dcd…
08-24 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x543592…
08-24 07:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe47ba0…
08-24 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xeec20c…
08-24 07:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xa71f5d…
08-24 07:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x8f03b0…
08-24 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd1dd78…