Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,262
Trades
105
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$6,084
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-18
last 08-04 09:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $98
vs crowd: 4% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $16 | $127 | $111 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $37 | $667 | $630 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $7 | $681 | $674 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $8 | $5 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $98 | $98 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $10 | $8 |
| Median | 5 | $7 | $644 | $636 |
| Below median | 9 | $28 | $49 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $8 | $48 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| unranked | 7 | $6 | $632 | $626 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | +600 | $589 | $589 | 1 | 07-01 20:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +254 | $8 | $11 | 3 | 07-07 01:57 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +252 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 07-07 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +98 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $8 | 4 | 06-30 22:39 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 08-04 09:57 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-30 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-18 08:15 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 08-04 09:57 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $2 | 6 | 06-30 22:39 |
| Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-30 22:40 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-04 09:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:57:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x0f6fb8… |
| 08-04 09:57:18 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x0f6fb8… |
| 08-04 09:57:18 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x0f6fb8… |
| 08-04 09:57:18 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0f6fb8… |
| 08-04 09:57:18 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x0f6fb8… |
| 07-21 05:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6288cf… |
| 07-21 05:22:27 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6288cf… |
| 07-21 05:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6288cf… |
| 07-07 11:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba1b8d… |
| 07-07 11:03:07 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 131 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xba1b8d… |
| 07-07 11:03:07 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 156 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xba1b8d… |
| 07-07 08:27:44 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc1824b… |
| 07-07 08:27:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc1824b… |
| 07-07 01:57:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69d02a… |
| 07-07 01:57:19 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 122 | 98¢ | $120 | 0x69d02a… |
| 07-07 01:57:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x69d02a… |
| 07-07 00:20:04 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17f39b… |
| 07-07 00:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x17f39b… |
| 07-07 00:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 91 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x17f39b… |
| 07-06 21:14:50 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb89c5f… |
| 07-06 21:14:50 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb89c5f… |
| 07-02 15:41:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b1cb8… |
| 07-02 15:41:08 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b1cb8… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-02 01:06:17 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 113 | 98¢ | $110 | 0x8064ac… |
| 07-01 22:06:50 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x28991c… |
| 07-01 22:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x28991c… |
| 07-01 22:06:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xbf3381… |
| 07-01 22:06:43 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbf3381… |
| 07-01 21:38:58 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa20282… |
| 07-01 21:38:58 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa20282… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 600 | 98¢ | $589 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 147 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 238 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 07-01 20:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd60cc0… |
| 06-30 22:45:32 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x941756… |
| 06-30 22:45:32 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x941756… |
| 06-30 22:44:20 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf689aa… |
| 06-30 22:44:20 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf689aa… |
| 06-30 22:42:44 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xc7d0e9… |
| 06-30 22:42:44 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc7d0e9… |
| 06-30 22:42:38 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc681f9… |
| 06-30 22:42:38 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc681f9… |
| 06-30 22:42:14 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x25a212… |
| 06-30 22:42:14 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x25a212… |
| 06-30 22:41:50 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7b2e90… |
| 06-30 22:41:50 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $33 | 0x7b2e90… |
| 06-30 22:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x026c57… |
| 06-30 22:41:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x026c57… |
| 06-30 22:40:37 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01dd4b… |
| 06-30 22:40:37 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01dd4b… |
| 06-30 22:40:05 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf86821… |
| 06-30 22:40:05 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf86821… |
| 06-30 22:39:52 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf76c6f… |
| 06-30 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf76c6f… |
| 06-30 22:39:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2552d2… |
| 06-30 22:39:41 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2552d2… |
| 06-30 22:39:35 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4f8796… |
| 06-30 22:39:35 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4f8796… |
| 06-30 22:39:35 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4f8796… |
| 06-30 22:39:31 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x199c26… |
| 06-30 22:39:31 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x199c26… |
| 06-30 22:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb23e5… |
| 06-30 22:39:23 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb23e5… |
| 06-30 22:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 98 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x24e257… |
| 06-30 22:39:23 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x24e257… |
| 06-30 22:39:22 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x56d73e… |
| 06-30 22:39:22 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x56d73e… |
| 06-30 22:39:20 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x487ca0… |
| 06-30 22:39:20 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x487ca0… |
| 06-30 22:39:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8461ab… |
| 06-30 22:39:19 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8461ab… |
| 06-30 22:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 118 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x856248… |
| 06-30 22:39:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc36705… |
| 06-30 22:39:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x856248… |
| 06-30 22:39:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc36705… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 343 | 4¢ | $15 | 0x3a4ca8… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x55262c… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 135 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x3a4ca8… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3a4ca8… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 498 | 96¢ | $476 | 0x3a4ca8… |
| 06-30 22:39:14 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x55262c… |
| 06-30 20:47:10 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4cabee… |
| 06-30 20:47:10 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4cabee… |
| 06-29 16:21:50 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x7b0b1a… |
| 06-29 16:21:50 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b0b1a… |
| 06-29 16:21:50 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x7b0b1a… |
| 06-29 05:07:17 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeee1ad… |
| 06-29 05:07:17 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeee1ad… |
| 06-19 00:08:25 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | SELL | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe259f1… |
| 06-19 00:08:25 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe259f1… |