Realized P&L
+$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
6,996
Trades
129,308
lifetime
Volume
$165.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$2
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 09-06 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
65% 43% +$1,042
Politics
19% 50% +$763
Crypto
8% 45% +$154
Sports
7% 47% +$68
Tech
1% 45% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 54% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -2 $0 21¢ $-0 -$1 05-15 04:53
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +1 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 06-24 01:31
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +3 $3 7¢ $0 -$2 07-29 08:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 35¢ $0 +$0 08-04 13:28
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +4 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-07 15:19
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-03 12:21
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-22 10:42
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 $0 05-04 02:37
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +1 -$3 8¢ $0 +$3 07-23 14:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-13 10:32
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +0 -$1 90¢ $0 +$1 07-29 13:09
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 06-28 02:49
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +0 -$1 10¢ $0 +$1 06-21 03:10
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-17 10:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +0 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 06-19 02:22