Gleeful-Box — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

117,219

lifetime

Volume

$150.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-07 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

67% 27% $-32

Politics

17% 60% +$6

Crypto

9% 20% $-9

Sports

8% 67% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 444 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	911	$2.0K	5,773	5,775	-2	open	—	03-31 18:04
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	508	$1.3K	4,334	4,334	+0	open	—	03-24 19:53
us strikes iraq by february 28	928	$1.3K	6,511	6,482	+29	open	—	03-03 21:58
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	828	$1.2K	10,339	10,339	+0	open	—	04-12 22:22
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	624	$1.1K	9,122	8,987	+135	open	—	03-17 11:51
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	669	$1.0K	7,511	7,511	+0	open	—	04-12 22:50
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	417	$963	4,448	4,448	+0	open	—	03-10 07:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	423	$854	4,038	4,074	-36	open	—	05-28 19:41
us forces enter iran by march 7	416	$848	4,482	4,482	+0	open	—	03-07 05:06
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	423	$822	4,489	4,488	+0	open	—	03-06 16:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	381	$813	2,854	2,854	+0	open	—	03-13 17:14
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	288	$755	1,304	1,315	-11	open	—	05-28 13:10
ethereum above 2100 on march 3	328	$629	2,907	2,907	+0	open	—	03-03 14:45
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	291	$610	1,871	1,871	+0	open	—	04-02 21:52
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	322	$592	3,978	3,978	+0	open	—	04-03 05:54
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	276	$591	3,490	3,470	+20	open	—	03-23 11:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	633	$568	8,672	8,760	-87	open	—	05-19 02:04
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	251	$558	1,238	1,238	+0	open	—	04-09 15:09
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	363	$547	3,743	3,732	+11	open	—	04-12 14:32
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	320	$536	2,206	2,206	+0	open	—	03-03 16:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	243	$473	3,059	3,059	+0	open	—	06-26 21:38
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 17c	355	$443	2,068	2,066	+1	open	—	04-07 13:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	223	$439	1,654	1,654	+0	open	—	04-21 16:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	262	$437	3,942	3,936	+6	open	—	05-25 22:56
bitboy convicted	194	$427	843	843	+0	open	—	03-31 16:30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	252	$395	2,097	2,130	-33	open	—	05-15 23:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	261	$393	1,485	1,485	+0	open	—	04-21 13:28
will turkey strike iran by march 31	252	$385	2,290	2,290	+0	open	—	03-24 15:47
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	298	$376	4,011	4,011	+0	open	—	03-09 08:36
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	300	$372	3,601	3,601	+0	open	—	04-12 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 17:01:06	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb908f7…
08-07 06:26:39	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe1fc1f…
08-07 01:57:13	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd3a914…
08-06 04:09:11	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xe86242…
08-06 03:47:56	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xab32f0…
08-06 03:23:39	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x5d5f40…
08-06 01:47:17	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xd79a4f…
08-06 00:27:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xbcd009…
08-05 23:56:32	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	No	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x2edd5b…
08-05 23:51:24	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xfa26d7…
08-05 23:25:15	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	31	6¢	$2	0xa90cfd…
08-05 23:18:12	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x3b0de3…
08-05 22:43:20	will gavin newsom announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241605	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x7b2f6d…
08-05 22:22:45	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x9c8397…
08-05 22:22:33	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x7dcb37…
08-05 21:49:17	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd3b381…
08-05 20:37:50	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xba770a…
08-05 20:33:02	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x6336fd…
08-05 20:29:27	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xb42d22…
08-05 20:15:15	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x0113ab…
08-05 20:02:29	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xfeab61…
08-05 19:45:57	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$2	0x4bca77…
08-05 19:31:08	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x36dcfa…
08-05 19:12:26	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xb2c96e…
08-05 19:09:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0xf8bf6c…
08-05 19:06:02	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x738560…
08-05 19:02:15	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xc8c64e…
08-05 18:47:06	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x8d04a4…
08-05 16:50:08	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x89752a…
08-05 16:43:12	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0xe0f015…
08-05 16:19:27	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x1c06fa…
08-05 15:59:30	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x1253b0…
08-05 11:07:06	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xb35616…
08-05 11:04:14	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x94a609…
08-05 09:36:15	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0xbc9c5d…
08-05 09:22:33	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x4f85d4…
08-05 08:31:45	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xa72bb6…
08-05 08:30:00	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x76f6e7…
08-05 08:28:42	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x3c1ae5…
08-05 08:19:09	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9cc3cf…
08-05 05:31:26	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x5dd6a4…
08-05 05:22:06	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x48e37d…
08-05 03:47:48	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x4a07af…
08-05 03:46:35	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x32f3c2…
08-04 20:58:38	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf be time person of the year 2026	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x4c2dd1…
08-04 20:00:15	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf be time person of the year 2026	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x0276db…
08-04 19:55:09	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf be time person of the year 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf72620…
08-04 18:19:11	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$4	0x7840db…
08-04 18:18:36	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xa27dc7…
08-04 11:37:09	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xac65da…
08-04 06:01:59	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xd5ec13…
08-04 06:01:59	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xca77c9…
08-03 23:57:14	Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x997b2e…
08-03 23:47:26	Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x51a4ed…
08-03 23:47:24	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x58395f…
08-03 10:45:20	will trump praise jon rahm in august 20260728221212349	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xbc17d3…
08-03 10:08:36	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xb96172…
08-03 10:08:26	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x53037d…
08-02 15:42:17	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xdb1867…
08-02 13:44:44	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xb0b5cb…
08-02 09:38:23	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x72f2ff…
08-02 04:59:47	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x25acb5…
08-02 04:57:32	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x6072de…
08-02 04:57:20	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x0eb999…
08-02 04:48:03	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$1	0xfb8856…
08-02 04:48:03	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x79cff6…
08-02 02:35:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x14e390…
08-02 02:29:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x2332be…
08-02 02:24:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x205183…
08-02 02:21:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x9d5bba…
08-02 02:21:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x44dc50…
08-02 02:21:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x93322b…
08-02 02:21:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf05d7b…
08-02 00:47:08	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xf8d322…
08-02 00:47:08	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x5f0af2…
08-02 00:41:54	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x31e98d…
08-02 00:41:23	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x4ec443…
08-01 21:57:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x085aee…
08-01 19:38:05	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x81b29a…
08-01 19:31:32	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x8c0e30…
08-01 19:19:21	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x4024f0…
08-01 19:11:27	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xcffda3…
08-01 19:11:26	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x8381fe…
08-01 19:11:08	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	66	6¢	$4	0x8fe4d0…
08-01 19:11:00	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb6d39c…
08-01 17:57:20	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x82b15a…
08-01 03:36:57	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x73428a…
07-31 21:17:41	will trump praise jon rahm in august 20260728221212349	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xbfa622…
07-31 20:59:00	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x7beca2…
07-31 15:18:53	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xb90b04…
07-31 14:54:27	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf9bdae…
07-31 14:49:23	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x246930…
07-31 14:47:54	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x0a1171…
07-31 14:03:38	iran leadership change by august 31	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x6ac353…
07-31 14:03:21	iran leadership change by august 31	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc43feb…
07-31 14:02:27	iran leadership change by august 31	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x8f57db…
07-31 10:08:57	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x96f2ba…
07-31 10:05:54	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xc40139…
07-31 07:48:06	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x695945…
07-31 07:47:59	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xbdb6f0…