Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-20

last 11-10 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

59% 68% -$36

Other

34% 62% +$95

Sports

6% 36% -$19

Crypto

2% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	39	$187	135	135	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$143	93	93	+0	open	—	11-03 13:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	7	$49	110	110	+0	open	—	11-03 13:10
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	10	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$9	09-19 23:35
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	2	$40	46	0	+46	Yes	+$6	08-04 15:52
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$36	48	0	+48	No	-$36	09-23 15:01
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	19	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	13	$36	93	26	+68	Yes	+$32	08-12 16:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	4	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	11-03 13:10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	6	$29	64	0	+64	Yes	+$10	09-14 16:23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	6	$28	82	0	+82	Atlanta Braves	+$6	08-28 01:18
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	8	$27	45	45	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-18 00:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$27	48	33	+16	Yes	+$2	10-23 19:57
Tusk out by December 31?	14	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	8	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	6	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	11-04 04:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	5	$23	26	26	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$23	47	0	+47	Yes	-$1	08-03 23:45
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	+$2	08-04 15:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	6	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 03:32
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	9	$18	28	0	+28	No	-$3	07-31 19:31
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	5	$18	42	0	+42	Yes	-$18	08-12 19:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	4	$18	21	0	+21	Yes	+$3	09-15 18:05
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$17	27	0	+27	Yes	+$9	10-26 15:27
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	9	$17	28	8	+19	Yes	+$16	09-10 19:02
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$16	282	0	+282	No	-$16	06-26 11:06
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	11-05 11:52
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$15	22	0	+22	Yes	-$15	10-27 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 18:27:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x13f302…
11-05 11:52:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x087c1e…
11-05 11:52:37	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe6770f…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xd3c28d…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	37	8¢	$3	0xcb0cee…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xbfc999…
11-05 11:52:37	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb4de81…
11-05 11:52:37	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xaffca2…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x9931b7…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x980950…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x811915…
11-05 11:52:37	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	41	29¢	$12	0x7bec64…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x6bad31…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x67e3e1…
11-05 11:52:37	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x63ada1…
11-05 11:52:37	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5fd41d…
11-05 11:52:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x55b16e…
11-05 11:52:37	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x4d4129…
11-05 11:52:37	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x49cb9f…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3effbc…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3b1eab…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x3164e8…
11-05 11:52:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x24dc4c…
11-05 11:52:37	Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x224515…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x210f30…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x1eb7af…
11-05 11:52:37	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	13	88¢	$11	0x1ea808…
11-05 11:52:37	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x1af886…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x12bb0a…
11-05 11:52:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x09a3e8…
11-05 11:52:37	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x026bf2…
11-05 11:47:25	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcb1244…
11-05 11:24:31	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x86afb7…
11-05 10:38:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa9e949…
11-05 10:37:07	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x7a711a…
11-05 10:31:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xb175eb…
11-05 10:11:42	Will Geraldo Alckmin be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x261793…
11-05 09:48:43	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2a0508…
11-05 09:42:33	Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5cc66d…
11-05 09:33:22	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x257ece…
11-05 09:29:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xbab636…
11-05 09:28:00	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa54a02…
11-05 09:20:57	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x55b910…
11-05 09:20:54	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x0db713…
11-05 09:18:16	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x7368fb…
11-05 09:05:13	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xa9af92…
11-05 08:58:54	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe452bc…
11-05 08:58:52	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8dd4ff…
11-05 08:58:51	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb2da42…
11-05 08:58:49	Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x74ddcb…
11-05 08:21:18	Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2c2d8f…
11-05 07:40:39	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xfcf1b6…
11-05 07:40:37	Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb588c5…
11-05 07:40:36	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xda6731…
11-05 07:40:33	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x8d7ee4…
11-05 07:32:49	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xc9fd3d…
11-05 07:32:48	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1b5076…
11-05 07:21:25	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x514227…
11-05 07:01:39	Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x46b1ea…
11-05 06:05:54	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xc3f7c7…
11-05 05:08:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6509be…
11-05 05:08:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x137b94…
11-05 05:01:03	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x14ae4b…
11-05 05:01:00	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x13a3cb…
11-05 05:00:57	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x3fa061…
11-05 05:00:57	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x24d999…
11-05 05:00:51	Will Wellington César Lima e Silva be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x07ae27…
11-05 04:11:19	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd37b30…
11-05 03:07:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbf057c…
11-05 02:58:12	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x99c493…
11-05 02:58:12	Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6c4ce1…
11-05 01:18:27	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x24a3bb…
11-04 22:41:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1e8513…
11-04 21:56:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb0cd98…
11-04 21:56:04	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x6290da…
11-04 21:56:04	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x19938c…
11-04 21:56:01	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba5212…
11-04 21:56:01	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0fa5e1…
11-04 21:55:58	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3ede4c…
11-04 21:55:58	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x1236d6…
11-04 21:34:19	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xe9002a…
11-04 20:40:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x3476b9…
11-04 20:22:10	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x99bcd2…
11-04 19:30:22	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x708c72…
11-04 17:41:19	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1da746…
11-04 17:36:16	Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x95ef96…
11-04 16:56:58	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x257f0b…
11-04 13:10:33	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2f8459…
11-04 12:20:10	Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd38c90…
11-04 12:20:07	Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe55206…
11-04 11:37:01	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x50c2af…
11-04 10:28:36	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x721320…
11-04 10:04:45	Tusk out by December 31?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9154a0…
11-04 09:41:28	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x43779d…
11-04 09:20:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x5a0fb6…
11-04 06:58:34	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2b437d…
11-04 06:36:40	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3b7851…
11-04 06:31:13	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x93744f…
11-04 05:30:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x2a016d…
11-04 05:29:00	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0x81f5af…