Wry-Register — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

465

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$479

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-20 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

85% 36% +$37

Politics

15% 44% -$63

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+200	$174	92¢	$183	+$9	09-07 04:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+123	$115	98¢	$122	+$7	05-15 22:55
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+106	$99	98¢	$103	+$5	05-20 23:51
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+70	$65	97¢	$68	+$2	05-19 17:59
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,400	$25	0¢	$4	-$22	06-28 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	30	$5.1K	2,683	2,747	-64	Yes	+$108	03-09 02:13
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$3.1K	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$2	01-17 04:41
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	22	$2.4K	3,153	3,343	-191	Yes	-$47	05-14 08:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	39	$1.9K	1,988	1,988	+0	Yes	-$85	06-20 09:12
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	15	$1.8K	0	1,869	-1,869	No	-$45	05-12 02:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	5	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-26 11:45
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	36	$1.4K	1,949	1,949	+0	Yes	-$69	05-17 21:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$101	05-14 17:23
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	14	$1.2K	1,013	1,013	+0	No	+$93	01-23 09:33
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	6	$1.0K	538	538	-0	Yes	-$11	03-08 19:08
nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	4	$586	314	314	+0	Yes	+$4	02-13 14:02
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	27	$533	1,504	1,504	+0	No	+$9	05-17 23:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	8	$433	255	255	+0	open	—	08-31 03:41
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for france by feburary 1	7	$414	365	292	+73	No	+$31	01-20 00:10
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	8	$365	249	249	+0	open	—	05-25 02:54
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	6	$348	188	188	+0	open	—	05-12 03:13
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	25	$327	1,766	1,766	+0	No	+$107	05-17 21:38
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	3	$325	250	250	+0	open	—	08-31 12:03
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	19	$243	3,080	3,080	+0	No	$0	01-30 19:15
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	2	$225	188	188	+0	No	-$86	05-14 17:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$223	125	125	+0	No	+$23	05-12 03:12
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$210	155	155	+0	No	-$1	01-21 22:13
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	3	$200	137	137	+0	No	-$8	01-20 00:13
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the united kingdom by feburary 1	4	$199	140	140	+0	No	+$6	01-19 23:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$174	200	0	+200	open	—	09-07 04:16
kristi noem out by march 31	3	$170	111	111	+0	Yes	+$15	01-30 19:14
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	14	$159	368	368	+0	No	-$14	03-08 22:39
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	2	$157	187	0	+187	open	—	05-19 18:40
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$144	86	86	+0	No	-$2	05-16 05:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$143	98	98	+0	No	+$0	03-19 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 17:42:03	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	192	1¢	$2	0x526d7e…
09-15 18:29:54	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	192	16¢	$31	0x040512…
09-07 04:16:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa75f8e…
09-07 04:15:52	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x422848…
08-31 12:03:55	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	No	SELL	250	63¢	$158	0xaaca0d…
08-31 03:42:16	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x100df1…
08-31 03:41:22	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x5b7676…
08-31 03:41:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	255	87¢	$222	0x2a235b…
06-28 08:43:40	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xa20415…
06-28 08:39:56	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x574631…
06-28 08:36:37	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x4cab75…
06-28 08:07:49	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xed48a2…
06-28 05:32:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0xc98e8d…
06-28 05:25:32	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0xf99870…
06-28 04:08:52	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x49001a…
06-28 02:18:32	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6a5fb2…
06-28 01:14:41	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x46c384…
06-27 22:31:16	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x11b43e…
06-27 22:27:02	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xbd809b…
06-27 22:24:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xf7f741…
06-27 22:22:25	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xb7438b…
06-27 21:39:04	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x35c16f…
06-27 21:27:01	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x32d2a2…
06-27 21:23:56	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0x446b6e…
06-27 19:52:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x6c3e28…
06-27 19:21:26	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x2a6361…
06-27 19:17:32	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x43bbf9…
06-27 16:49:35	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0x566df6…
06-27 16:32:38	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x1d8a85…
06-26 12:08:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x444b96…
06-26 12:02:20	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xdf87ef…
06-26 12:01:40	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xef3393…
06-26 11:46:02	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x653b19…
06-26 11:45:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x1965d5…
06-26 11:42:17	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x7834da…
06-26 11:23:31	tread fdv above 400m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0xdb28d4…
06-26 11:23:05	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xa19965…
06-26 11:15:11	tread fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0x7757b1…
06-26 11:14:58	tread fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x25daa1…
06-20 09:12:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	42¢	$37	0x763913…
05-25 02:54:13	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	62	73¢	$45	0x7e378b…
05-25 02:53:57	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x3e45cc…
05-25 02:53:52	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0x8f0952…
05-25 02:53:48	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0xb242e5…
05-25 02:53:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xeb7eed…
05-25 02:51:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	844	98¢	$827	0xb36dee…
05-25 02:46:24	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	900	98¢	$882	0xbdafab…
05-23 03:46:06	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x486cc4…
05-23 03:46:04	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	53	44¢	$23	0x744c0d…
05-20 23:51:49	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xd2b4b5…
05-19 18:40:03	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0xdb3883…
05-19 17:59:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xdfd263…
05-18 03:13:49	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xedae92…
05-17 23:23:01	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0xd0d207…
05-17 23:22:00	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	697	11¢	$77	0x6e3b8b…
05-17 23:08:38	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xbcd1ca…
05-17 21:43:49	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	12¢	$67	0x590160…
05-17 21:38:48	Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$5	0x4838f4…
05-17 21:37:19	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	56¢	$152	0x54ebe3…
05-17 20:17:13	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xfc99f4…
05-17 19:52:05	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	56¢	$42	0x8c53cc…
05-17 19:38:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0xebc381…
05-17 19:32:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x8ec138…
05-17 19:28:01	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	154	84¢	$129	0x4f457f…
05-17 19:21:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xddf344…
05-17 19:20:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	84¢	$86	0x37eded…
05-17 19:11:50	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x5f40d8…
05-17 18:44:41	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x5a020b…
05-17 18:44:34	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x2ce4fe…
05-17 17:01:59	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	31¢	$27	0xdd28ee…
05-17 03:33:31	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa14dff…
05-17 02:41:06	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x2bb5ed…
05-17 02:39:12	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xaf04c4…
05-17 02:37:18	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	52¢	$47	0xece9f7…
05-17 02:37:18	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	52¢	$107	0xec08a7…
05-16 13:17:53	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb5c29a…
05-16 13:14:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	34¢	$58	0xeb80e0…
05-16 11:21:55	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	27¢	$24	0x1ff00f…
05-16 05:26:03	Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	86	83¢	$71	0xd7bbfa…
05-16 02:20:10	Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0x74f240…
05-16 00:13:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x121a3b…
05-16 00:13:53	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	0¢	$1	0xcaf9c0…
05-16 00:05:57	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$1	0xd8abd1…
05-16 00:04:06	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x86dea5…
05-16 00:04:05	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x06a5ca…
05-15 23:58:36	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xb9e8cf…
05-15 23:54:27	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	51¢	$31	0xfa335f…
05-15 23:43:47	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x7d57b7…
05-15 23:43:47	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$5	0x444e91…
05-15 23:41:16	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$66	0x22c3f5…
05-15 23:35:28	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0x4c7539…
05-15 23:33:01	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x0657a9…
05-15 23:25:01	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	49¢	$32	0x1db7a4…
05-15 22:55:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	123	93¢	$115	0x97c584…
05-15 21:53:30	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	46¢	$63	0xfb391a…
05-15 09:01:47	Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	9¢	$21	0x7e3c25…
05-14 23:17:25	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	341	43¢	$146	0xfd1378…
05-14 23:16:21	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	43¢	$87	0x25e1be…
05-14 23:00:43	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	43¢	$60	0x1976e0…
05-14 23:00:22	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1d81fd…