Realized P&L
+$15.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.65K
Hit rate
77.4%
Resolved
742
Trades
17,333
lifetime
Volume
$748.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$8.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Politics
47% 67% +$7,897
Other
40% 59% -$908
Crypto
6% 56% +$5,274
Sports
4% 65% +$1,086
Tech
3% 92% +$1,823
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,550 $2,072 82¢ $2.1K +$6 08-04 16:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,950 $1,507 16¢ $652 -$855 08-13 20:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -600 -$558 94¢ $-562 -$4 05-26 15:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -553 -$594 97¢ $-537 +$58 10-03 07:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -449 -$459 98¢ $-441 +$18 07-14 18:57
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $240 2¢ $390 +$150 07-27 02:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,100 $830 35¢ $388 -$443 08-18 13:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $347 86¢ $346 -$1 09-01 05:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,108 12¢ $345 -$764 09-02 19:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +604 $306 53¢ $320 +$14 10-02 17:20
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -300 -$288 97¢ $-292 -$4 07-13 18:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 -$273 54¢ $-241 +$32 06-03 00:17
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $396 20¢ $205 -$191 10-04 03:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $240 66¢ $200 -$40 08-06 07:39
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +204 $122 97¢ $199 +$77 10-26 11:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,000 $236 4¢ $162 -$74 09-28 05:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 95¢ $143 +$9 06-04 10:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +150 $112 94¢ $140 +$28 10-22 03:40
US recession by end of 2026? No +124 $23 93¢ $115 +$92 05-27 22:50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -737 $12 15¢ $-111 -$122 09-25 23:30
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,171 $210 1¢ $100 -$110 09-04 12:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +500 $192 18¢ $92 -$99 07-25 04:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,200 $117 6¢ $78 -$39 07-16 12:43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,600 $399 4¢ $65 -$334 07-02 23:49
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +470 $45 13¢ $61 +$16 09-10 03:20
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$61 98¢ $-49 +$12 07-11 20:20
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 08-05 14:13
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -100 -$68 36¢ $-35 +$33 07-25 09:56
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +300 $138 12¢ $35 -$104 07-31 20:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 -$16 92¢ $-31 -$15 06-04 02:13