Realized P&L
+$2.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$174
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
13,097
lifetime
Volume
$580.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$7.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-04 07:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
51% 92% +$1,876
Other
42% 100% +$20
Crypto
4% 100% +$152
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,600 $1,376 88¢ $1.4K +$24 06-19 20:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,256 39¢ $1.2K $-86 06-26 06:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,821 $-1,011 62¢ $-1120 $-109 06-06 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +500 $476 98¢ $489 +$13 07-02 20:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,500 $930 18¢ $462 $-467 07-02 05:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 $-273 81¢ $-364 $-91 06-03 00:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $304 84¢ $334 +$30 06-21 13:03
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -399 $-327 82¢ $-325 +$2 06-29 20:00
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +250 $236 97¢ $242 +$6 06-25 05:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +205 $135 90¢ $183 +$48 07-03 18:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +163 $99 100¢ $162 +$64 06-30 15:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -180 $-144 86¢ $-155 $-11 06-03 07:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 94¢ $141 +$7 06-04 10:14
US recession by end of 2026? No -124 $-100 90¢ $-112 $-12 05-27 22:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +200 $94 52¢ $105 +$11 06-28 03:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +2,800 $141 $102 $-39 06-25 16:42
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -100 $-87 96¢ $-96 $-9 06-06 23:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,462 $-249 $-95 +$154 05-28 20:15
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? No +204 $80 46¢ $95 +$15 06-29 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $104 24¢ $94 $-10 06-18 15:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +77 $73 96¢ $74 +$1 06-15 12:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +300 $60 24¢ $72 +$12 06-27 18:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -50 $-42 89¢ $-44 $-2 06-18 22:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -243 $-38 12¢ $-30 +$8 06-19 17:00
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -50 $-32 45¢ $-23 +$9 06-16 04:17
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +100 $25 22¢ $22 $-2 06-18 14:54
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 $-16 68¢ $-22 $-6 06-04 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2,636 $-272 $-7 +$266 06-29 12:26
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-31 06:53
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -170 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-29 06:41