Realized P&L
+$2.05K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.03K
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
12,479
lifetime
Volume
$544.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$5.59K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 20:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
49% 92% +$1,876
Other
43% 100% +$20
Crypto
5% 100% +$152
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,839 $1,353 82¢ $1.5K +$146 06-12 08:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,821 $-1,011 57¢ $-1047 $-36 06-06 05:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +700 $87 50¢ $353 +$266 06-11 17:26
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -350 $-338 97¢ $-338 +$0 05-30 22:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 $-273 72¢ $-326 $-53 06-03 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $310 44¢ $304 $-5 06-11 13:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $187 96¢ $192 +$5 05-29 04:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -20,688 $-469 $-176 +$293 06-12 06:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +9,598 $381 $163 $-218 06-12 08:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,462 $-249 11¢ $-154 +$95 05-28 20:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -180 $-144 80¢ $-143 +$1 06-03 07:42
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 92¢ $138 +$4 06-04 10:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -550 $-156 22¢ $-121 +$36 06-11 17:30
US recession by end of 2026? No -124 $-100 82¢ $-102 $-2 05-27 22:50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +96 $82 99¢ $95 +$13 06-06 08:47
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -100 $-87 90¢ $-90 $-3 06-06 23:52
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -61 $-60 99¢ $-60 +$0 06-03 07:41
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -50 $-48 97¢ $-49 $-1 06-04 02:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -3,706 $-69 $-44 +$25 06-11 17:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $44 11¢ $44 $-1 06-14 03:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +139 $29 30¢ $41 +$12 06-12 04:10
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +3,300 $30 $28 $-2 06-05 15:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +34 $-414 64¢ $22 +$436 06-12 16:16
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +94 $13 20¢ $18 +$5 06-10 06:28
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 $-16 48¢ $-16 +$0 06-04 02:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -699 $-24 $-12 +$12 06-11 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -61 $-15 16¢ $-9 +$5 05-28 03:26
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 22¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 06:53
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-1 99¢ $0 +$1 06-11 16:44