Spry-Netbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.1%

Resolved

Trades

14,019

lifetime

Volume

$629.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-14 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

50% 92% +$1,876

Other

42% 100% +$20

Crypto

5% 100% +$152

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	308	$16.2K	29,406	28,056	+1,350	open	—	03-28 13:23
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	178	$16.0K	23,435	19,863	+3,572	open	—	03-09 16:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	137	$13.3K	9,422	6,594	+2,828	open	—	03-16 06:23
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	92	$12.2K	9,590	9,590	+0	open	—	02-19 16:24
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	64	$10.9K	8,981	2,054	+6,927	open	—	01-23 20:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$10.7K	8,000	3,000	+5,000	open	—	02-20 06:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	38	$10.7K	6,017	6,667	-650	open	—	04-30 17:08
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	27	$10.4K	7,149	3,977	+3,172	open	—	04-27 10:07
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	5	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-30 03:20
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	27	$7.9K	6,375	2,491	+3,884	open	—	03-30 17:01
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	22	$7.9K	5,424	2,500	+2,924	open	—	01-31 13:40
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	30	$7.8K	11,000	3,200	+7,800	open	—	02-20 17:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	88	$7.3K	21,444	19,029	+2,415	open	—	03-25 21:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$6.5K	8,432	5,432	+3,000	open	—	04-04 03:43
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	7	$6.5K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	01-26 10:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	46	$6.4K	9,140	5,166	+3,974	open	—	06-03 09:42
japanese snap election called by january 31 2026	12	$6.3K	6,347	0	+6,347	open	—	01-24 03:53
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	313	$6.2K	13,498	15,441	-1,942	open	—	03-28 21:30
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	13	$5.8K	2,812	3,450	-638	open	—	03-27 16:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	15	$5.7K	3,900	2,827	+1,073	open	—	04-09 02:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	28	$5.7K	6,105	1,717	+4,388	open	—	04-07 22:56
will the us next strike iran on january 18 2026 et 229	4	$5.5K	4,000	1,500	+2,500	open	—	01-21 07:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	18	$5.4K	4,800	1,500	+3,300	open	—	04-07 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	80	$5.4K	7,228	6,250	+978	Yes	+$1,386	05-09 14:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	18	$5.3K	2,837	2,987	-150	open	—	04-27 21:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	25	$5.2K	6,400	5,400	+1,000	open	—	08-12 12:44
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$5.1K	2,700	2,800	-100	open	—	03-29 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	12	$5.0K	1,839	3,714	-1,875	open	—	06-16 15:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	35	$5.0K	2,300	3,306	-1,006	open	—	04-19 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$4.8K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	05-22 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 15:20:48	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xbe504a…
08-14 15:15:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	66	64¢	$42	0x869f64…
08-14 15:08:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1288b6…
08-14 12:50:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x22569c…
08-14 12:48:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x38c509…
08-14 12:28:15	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xe12047…
08-14 12:28:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	281	50¢	$140	0x58318e…
08-14 12:21:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xdb27b4…
08-14 09:59:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0x1bfd8d…
08-14 08:56:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	450	66¢	$297	0x3ac8e0…
08-14 08:21:13	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0x1f46d5…
08-14 08:21:03	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0x8bf27b…
08-14 08:02:27	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xa8d176…
08-14 08:00:57	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x0baef5…
08-14 08:00:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf136c8…
08-14 08:00:18	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaaee82…
08-14 07:56:54	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$382	0x1a52f3…
08-14 05:06:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	37¢	$36	0x83367a…
08-13 18:50:19	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0xbb1342…
08-13 17:40:21	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb3c037…
08-13 16:40:15	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x69f463…
08-13 16:13:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x383dc4…
08-13 16:10:43	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xa1d69d…
08-13 16:09:09	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xceb2f8…
08-13 15:40:13	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x24e7a1…
08-13 09:53:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	86¢	$215	0x03d2f1…
08-13 08:55:49	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xc4888e…
08-13 07:08:45	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0xd655d0…
08-13 02:20:40	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	95¢	$378	0x04b0ea…
08-12 20:15:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	25¢	$212	0x2ef409…
08-12 18:28:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x6967fe…
08-12 16:20:52	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8794f5…
08-12 15:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	250	99¢	$247	0x0c715a…
08-12 12:44:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0xe3eb18…
08-12 10:56:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x8aafe6…
08-12 09:41:24	will tucker carlson announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241666	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xdfb2bd…
08-12 06:27:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x742a69…
08-12 04:38:01	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$9	0x240f14…
08-12 03:02:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x5fbff0…
08-12 00:05:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0xd4013a…
08-11 18:27:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4f7457…
08-11 18:17:57	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x74850c…
08-11 18:00:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xe057e4…
08-11 17:06:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	28¢	$64	0xa2f3d0…
08-11 17:06:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x5c1a8d…
08-11 16:40:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x99827e…
08-11 16:05:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	360	12¢	$43	0xde87dd…
08-11 15:29:39	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x8a6dd9…
08-11 14:24:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	Yes	BUY	493	14¢	$69	0xdabe4d…
08-11 14:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0xe700c7…
08-11 14:16:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c9fa8…
08-11 13:52:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	340	13¢	$44	0xeaadec…
08-11 13:22:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0x319707…
08-11 13:19:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x95b7a5…
08-11 13:15:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xf2e9f9…
08-11 13:01:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	800	19¢	$152	0x5350a6…
08-11 09:28:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x4354b2…
08-11 09:12:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x30b16b…
08-11 07:02:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf4097b…
08-11 06:47:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0x1e8d8d…
08-11 06:30:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xc86f5c…
08-11 05:30:51	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x70b880…
08-11 05:08:06	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xafd907…
08-11 04:43:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xef53bf…
08-11 04:37:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x0fdb54…
08-11 03:43:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4be41d…
08-11 02:37:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xfb1390…
08-11 02:18:22	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x9daf50…
08-11 01:42:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4da822…
08-11 01:00:51	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x1ac966…
08-10 16:56:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x06122a…
08-10 15:12:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	188	54¢	$101	0xc1b324…
08-10 14:40:03	will tucker carlson announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241666	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x691961…
08-10 13:23:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2587d2…
08-10 12:22:31	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 11 17	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf9295d…
08-10 11:51:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xb94b5f…
08-10 10:17:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x4db6a2…
08-10 08:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	188	52¢	$98	0x234ad3…
08-10 05:39:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf1a1b8…
08-10 04:04:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	250	91¢	$228	0x571f03…
08-10 03:11:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0abb2f…
08-10 03:00:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf07aa…
08-10 02:55:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8fa18a…
08-10 02:35:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa64118…
08-10 00:08:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	283	53¢	$150	0xacec6f…
08-10 00:00:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x817845…
08-09 23:44:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0x64ddd3…
08-09 20:35:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	750	50¢	$375	0x798397…
08-09 15:36:51	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,187	0xbcb9d2…
08-08 18:52:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	56	66¢	$37	0x685200…
08-08 17:15:16	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$591	0x6dfb0d…
08-08 17:11:15	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$592	0xca8fff…
08-08 15:48:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	56	61¢	$34	0xa56383…
08-08 09:23:33	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xa598d4…
08-08 09:22:31	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x3476bc…
08-08 03:32:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	182	2¢	$4	0x2caa52…
08-08 01:17:27	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8ce5b0…
08-07 16:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	224	49¢	$110	0xa141d9…
08-07 16:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	159	49¢	$78	0x664421…
08-07 16:20:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	192	49¢	$94	0x35f52e…