Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.42K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved (90d)
65
Trades (90d)
807
17,153 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$23.8K
$733.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$8.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Politics
47% 66% +$7,407
Other
40% 59% -$1,397
Crypto
6% 56% +$5,274
Sports
4% 65% +$1,086
Tech
3% 92% +$1,823
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,550 $2,072 90¢ $2.3K +$236 08-04 16:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,950 $1,507 15¢ $573 -$934 08-13 20:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -600 -$558 94¢ $-567 -$9 05-26 15:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -553 -$594 98¢ $-542 +$52 10-03 07:37
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $240 2¢ $470 +$230 07-27 02:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,100 $830 41¢ $450 -$381 08-18 13:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -449 -$459 98¢ $-442 +$17 07-14 18:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $347 94¢ $374 +$27 09-01 05:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 -$273 78¢ $-353 -$80 06-03 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +604 $306 55¢ $329 +$23 10-02 17:20
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -300 -$288 96¢ $-289 -$2 07-13 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,108 10¢ $285 -$824 09-02 19:49
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +204 $122 99¢ $201 +$79 10-26 11:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $240 54¢ $160 -$80 08-06 07:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 97¢ $146 +$13 06-04 10:14
US recession by end of 2026? No +124 $23 96¢ $119 +$95 05-27 22:50
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,171 $210 1¢ $118 -$92 09-04 12:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +500 $192 20¢ $100 -$92 07-25 04:20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,000 $236 2¢ $92 -$144 09-28 05:17
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,200 $117 7¢ $84 -$33 07-16 12:43
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$61 99¢ $-49 +$11 07-11 20:20
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +50 $41 92¢ $46 +$5 08-05 14:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +53 $40 84¢ $45 +$4 10-25 20:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -737 $12 6¢ $-41 -$52 09-25 23:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +36 $27 98¢ $36 +$9 09-04 09:22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +470 $45 8¢ $35 -$9 09-10 03:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,600 $399 2¢ $33 -$366 07-02 23:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 -$16 96¢ $-32 -$16 06-04 02:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +300 $138 11¢ $32 -$107 07-31 20:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -31 -$30 99¢ $-31 -$1 07-12 07:43