Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.10K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved (90d)
66
Trades (90d)
706
17,153 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.3K
$733.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$8.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Politics
47% 66% +$7,418
Other
40% 59% -$1,397
Crypto
6% 56% +$5,274
Sports
4% 65% +$1,086
Tech
3% 92% +$1,823
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,550 $2,072 92¢ $2.3K +$261 08-04 16:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,950 $1,507 15¢ $573 -$934 08-13 20:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -600 -$558 95¢ $-569 -$11 05-26 15:40
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -553 -$594 98¢ $-544 +$51 10-03 07:37
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $240 2¢ $470 +$230 07-27 02:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -449 -$459 98¢ $-442 +$16 07-14 18:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,100 $830 38¢ $424 -$407 08-18 13:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $347 95¢ $380 +$33 09-01 05:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 -$273 84¢ $-376 -$103 06-03 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +604 $306 55¢ $332 +$26 10-02 17:20
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -300 -$288 98¢ $-294 -$6 07-13 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,108 8¢ $255 -$854 09-02 19:49
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +204 $122 99¢ $201 +$79 10-26 11:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $240 66¢ $196 -$44 08-06 07:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 98¢ $146 +$13 06-04 10:14
US recession by end of 2026? No +124 $23 96¢ $119 +$96 05-27 22:50
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,171 $210 1¢ $118 -$92 09-04 12:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +500 $192 16¢ $82 -$109 07-25 04:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,200 $117 6¢ $66 -$51 07-16 12:43
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,000 $236 2¢ $62 -$174 09-28 05:17
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$61 99¢ $-49 +$11 07-11 20:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -737 $12 6¢ $-48 -$59 09-25 23:30
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +50 $41 94¢ $47 +$6 08-05 14:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +53 $40 84¢ $45 +$4 10-25 20:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +36 $27 97¢ $35 +$9 09-04 09:22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +470 $45 8¢ $35 -$9 09-10 03:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 -$16 96¢ $-32 -$16 06-04 02:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +300 $138 11¢ $32 -$107 07-31 20:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -31 -$30 99¢ $-31 -$1 07-12 07:43
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -100 -$68 30¢ $-29 +$39 07-25 09:56