Realized P&L (7d)
-$979
Unrealized P&L
-$2.48K
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
4
17,337 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$176
$748.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$8.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Politics
47% 66% +$7,407
Other
40% 59% -$1,397
Crypto
6% 56% +$5,274
Sports
4% 65% +$1,086
Tech
3% 92% +$1,823
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,550 $2,072 88¢ $2.2K +$159 08-04 16:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -600 -$558 96¢ $-574 -$16 05-26 15:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,950 $1,507 15¢ $573 -$934 08-13 20:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -553 -$594 98¢ $-541 +$54 10-03 07:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +1,100 $830 41¢ $452 -$379 08-18 13:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -449 -$459 98¢ $-441 +$18 07-14 18:57
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20,000 $240 2¢ $410 +$170 07-27 02:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +400 $347 92¢ $366 +$19 09-01 05:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -450 -$273 76¢ $-344 -$71 06-03 00:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +604 $306 54¢ $323 +$17 10-02 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,000 $1,108 11¢ $315 -$794 09-02 19:49
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -300 -$288 96¢ $-288 +$0 07-13 18:30
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +204 $122 99¢ $201 +$79 10-26 11:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $240 58¢ $176 -$64 08-06 07:39
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +150 $134 98¢ $146 +$13 06-04 10:14
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,000 $236 3¢ $122 -$114 09-28 05:17
US recession by end of 2026? No +124 $23 96¢ $118 +$95 05-27 22:50
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,171 $210 1¢ $118 -$92 09-04 12:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +500 $192 18¢ $87 -$104 07-25 04:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +1,200 $117 6¢ $78 -$39 07-16 12:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -737 $12 8¢ $-55 -$67 09-25 23:30
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -50 -$61 99¢ $-49 +$11 07-11 20:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,600 $399 3¢ $44 -$355 07-02 23:49
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +50 $41 84¢ $42 +$1 08-05 14:13
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +470 $45 8¢ $40 -$5 09-10 03:20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No — +53 $40 69¢ $36 -$4 10-25 20:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +36 $27 97¢ $35 +$8 09-04 09:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +300 $138 12¢ $35 -$104 07-31 20:48
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -100 -$68 34¢ $-34 +$34 07-25 09:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -33 -$16 97¢ $-32 -$16 06-04 02:13