0x992582b6e2b75b1cb17fcb150e912b9a402bbaa3 0x992582…2bbaa3 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$211
Unrealized P&L
+$138
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
70
Trades
313
lifetime
Volume
$10.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$650
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 14:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
52% 69% +$75
Other
47% 79% +$121
Tech
0% 50% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes — +204 $135 82¢ $168 +$32 11-04 17:21
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +210 $79 65¢ $136 +$57 10-17 21:26
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -68 -$65 98¢ $-66 -$2 10-27 14:49
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -49 -$50 99¢ $-49 +$1 10-06 13:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +50 $23 91¢ $46 +$23 10-27 18:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +51 $44 90¢ $45 +$1 10-29 16:12
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -43 -$43 98¢ $-42 +$1 10-07 16:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +38 $32 88¢ $33 +$1 09-01 06:40
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -29 -$29 98¢ $-28 +$1 10-27 14:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $11 45¢ $11 +$0 10-06 19:41
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $9 +$0 10-27 18:14
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +34 $1 18¢ $6 +$5 10-13 12:54
EU dissolves before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 10-20 10:28
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 10-27 14:49
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 85¢ $2 $0 09-13 16:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 10-27 14:50
Plague pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-27 14:48
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +1 -$13 91¢ $1 +$14 10-27 14:48
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Yes +2 -$1 56¢ $1 +$2 11-04 07:30