Irresponsible-Transmission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$230

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-14 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

66% 42% +$39

Politics

34% 100% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No		+5	$4	81¢	$4	+$0	09-03 08:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$1.0K	550	550	+0	open	—	07-09 11:17
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$1.0K	535	535	+0	open	—	07-11 05:07
will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	2	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$0	07-11 02:13
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	3	$949	530	530	+0	open	—	05-24 05:59
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$912	480	480	+0	open	—	05-19 08:16
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	2	$884	465	465	+0	open	—	05-23 03:23
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	2	$879	475	475	+0	No	+$5	05-23 01:02
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	2	$840	438	438	+0	No	+$4	07-14 02:06
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	2	$828	455	455	+0	No	+$0	07-14 05:03
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	2	$701	375	375	+0	No	+$0	06-22 11:09
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	2	$693	365	365	+0	open	—	06-22 09:26
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	1	$470	500	0	+500	Over	+$30	05-24 06:10
Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	1	$459	483	0	+483	AC Monza	+$24	05-19 08:24
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	1	$442	475	0	+475	Sydney FC	+$33	05-23 04:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$207	300	300	+0	No	+$3	05-08 03:58
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	4	$158	930	930	+0	No	+$9	08-08 06:03
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	5	$139	990	990	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:44
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	4	$133	920	920	+0	No	-$5	08-08 02:54
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$121	745	745	+0	No	+$0	04-16 03:09
col1 ad1 llf 2026 03 25 spread away 2pt5	1	$72	73	0	+73	América de Cali	+$1	03-25 09:42
Spread: IK Start (-2.5)	2	$48	970	0	+970	Vålerenga Fotball	-$48	05-25 02:48
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	09-03 08:56
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-14 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 05:54:05	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x102eea…
09-03 08:56:54	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe37f85…
08-08 06:03:09	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	SELL	455	9¢	$41	0x5ae1ba…
08-08 06:02:49	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	SELL	475	9¢	$43	0x0ccb9d…
08-08 03:23:33	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	BUY	475	8¢	$38	0x351052…
08-08 03:23:31	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	Yes	BUY	455	8¢	$36	0x26691d…
08-08 02:54:39	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	470	7¢	$33	0x65acf6…
08-08 02:54:15	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	450	7¢	$32	0x5c6ff5…
08-08 02:09:36	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	470	8¢	$35	0x99a19d…
08-08 02:09:33	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	450	8¢	$34	0x81b29f…
07-14 05:03:02	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	455	91¢	$414	0xce7b9a…
07-14 03:24:22	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	455	91¢	$414	0xde0239…
07-14 02:06:47	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	438	96¢	$422	0xe0325c…
07-14 01:12:28	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	438	96¢	$418	0xe7b67b…
07-11 05:07:35	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	535	94¢	$503	0x038d6d…
07-11 02:18:31	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	535	94¢	$503	0x9bd97a…
07-11 02:13:49	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	SELL	545	92¢	$501	0xd2d22a…
07-11 01:18:35	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by september 30 2026 20260706174556070	No	BUY	545	92¢	$501	0x0475d9…
07-09 11:17:47	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	550	91¢	$500	0x9a0cbd…
07-09 07:38:52	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	550	92¢	$506	0xdeeea6…
06-22 11:09:29	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	375	94¢	$351	0x6090d9…
06-22 09:32:46	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	375	94¢	$351	0x33ea95…
06-22 09:26:07	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	365	95¢	$347	0x5293e2…
06-22 08:36:29	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	365	95¢	$346	0x231a9e…
05-25 02:48:16	Spread: IK Start (-2.5)	IK Start	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x19c769…
05-25 02:47:07	Spread: IK Start (-2.5)	IK Start	BUY	470	5¢	$24	0xd1c4e3…
05-25 02:44:02	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x7e2a18…
05-25 02:42:55	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	490	7¢	$34	0x8cbad8…
05-25 02:42:31	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	480	7¢	$34	0x99be6f…
05-25 02:01:58	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	510	7¢	$36	0x70a5b4…
05-25 02:01:46	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	480	7¢	$34	0x67c068…
05-24 06:10:10	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x48bd7f…
05-24 05:59:28	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xa6507b…
05-24 05:59:01	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	SELL	510	89¢	$454	0xd1319f…
05-24 02:36:10	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	BUY	530	90¢	$477	0x11d2bd…
05-23 04:02:05	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Sydney FC	BUY	475	93¢	$442	0xae360e…
05-23 03:23:01	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	465	95¢	$442	0xe57158…
05-23 02:13:47	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	465	95¢	$442	0x4fb886…
05-23 01:02:58	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	475	93¢	$442	0x4a9c76…
05-20 01:58:39	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0xf26392…
05-19 08:24:10	Spread: SS Juve Stabia (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	483	95¢	$459	0xfe40f5…
05-19 08:16:28	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	480	95¢	$456	0xdfaaf8…
05-19 06:23:25	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	480	95¢	$456	0xda7ef0…
05-08 03:58:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	300	35¢	$105	0x8b3cb6…
05-08 02:56:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	174	34¢	$59	0xe1baa6…
05-08 02:54:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	126	34¢	$43	0x307c26…
04-16 03:09:46	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x0f8885…
04-16 03:08:58	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	369	8¢	$30	0xf0fc57…
04-16 03:08:26	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	8¢	$27	0x245e59…
04-16 02:14:30	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	8¢	$30	0x91ddbc…
04-16 02:14:18	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	376	8¢	$30	0xb33ac5…
03-25 09:42:47	col1 ad1 llf 2026 03 25 spread away 2pt5	América de Cali	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x0d1d19…