Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
41
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$1.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$332
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 09-15 07:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
54% 85% -$8
Politics
46% 59% -$20
Crypto
0% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -227 -$211 96¢ $-217 -$7 09-15 07:05
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$53 96¢ $-54 -$1 08-04 02:04
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -17 -$16 98¢ $-16 $0 09-15 07:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 06-05 02:01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -11 -$10 96¢ $-11 $0 09-15 07:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -7 -$6 94¢ $-6 $0 09-15 07:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -8 -$5 57¢ $-4 +$0 08-04 02:00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-21 02:34
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 05-21 02:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -23 -$1 5¢ $-1 $0 08-28 02:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -7 -$1 16¢ $-1 +$0 08-28 02:25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 08-28 02:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes -1 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-22 01:17