Quarterly-Warrant 0x0e4e7d…975bf4
hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$346
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved
14
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$6.43K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-25 15:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
57% 67% +$143
Politics
26% 100% +$3,833
Sports
17% 75% -$230
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -2,491 -$2,067 96¢ $-2379 -$311 09-12 14:02
EU dissolves before 2027? No -1,800 -$1,751 98¢ $-1770 -$19 10-16 08:26
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -351 -$303 89¢ $-312 -$9 10-24 14:50
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -300 -$287 97¢ $-290 -$3 10-16 08:26
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No -221 -$213 98¢ $-216 -$3 10-16 08:27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -203 -$200 99¢ $-201 -$1 10-16 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 -$195 98¢ $-196 -$1 10-24 12:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -200 -$195 96¢ $-192 +$3 10-22 13:49
Trump out as President before 2027? No -200 -$191 96¢ $-192 $0 10-24 12:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -200 -$186 94¢ $-189 -$3 10-24 12:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -128 -$116 88¢ $-113 +$3 10-24 12:53
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -104 -$100 97¢ $-100 $0 10-24 15:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -105 -$98 94¢ $-98 -$1 10-24 14:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -100 -$91 92¢ $-92 $0 10-24 15:01
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -70 -$69 98¢ $-69 +$0 10-24 20:10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -50 -$16 34¢ $-17 $0 10-24 20:09