Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
96.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
54
lifetime
Volume
$901
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$279
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-21 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
67% 57% -$1
Other
31% 42% -$4
Crypto
2% 60% -$4
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -179 -$167 95¢ $-171 -$4 09-16 01:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 10-21 05:04
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -18 -$17 96¢ $-17 -$1 08-28 08:46
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -17 -$17 98¢ $-17 $0 08-28 08:46
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$12 96¢ $-12 $0 08-05 09:07
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 08-05 09:08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $0 10-21 05:02
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 10-21 05:03
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-21 05:02
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-10 03:07
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $0 10-21 05:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 05-09 07:30
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 08-05 09:09
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-21 05:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $0 10-21 04:59
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 27¢ $1 -$1 08-05 09:09