Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
329
lifetime
Volume
$368
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$47
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-30 08:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
73% 0% $-1
Politics
18%
Sports
9% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-18 19:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 06-27 20:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-28 22:29
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 06-28 17:08
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 06-22 17:07
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-29 17:28
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-29 04:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-16 07:04
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 06-17 18:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-29 22:26
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-22 23:58
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-29 16:42
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-22 12:03
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-22 16:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-28 22:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $1 90¢ $0 $-0 06-30 08:13
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-29 22:23
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-29 15:41