(anonymous) 0x0e19b0…dc3f79
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
918
lifetime
Volume
$517
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$54
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-21 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-1
Politics
23% — —
Sports
7% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 06-27 20:09
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 07-17 20:06
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-16 15:40
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 07-22 00:05
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-22 17:07
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-19 06:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 +$0 07-18 11:49
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $-0 07-21 15:10
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 07-20 00:15
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-22 00:51
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 07-21 20:12
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-19 21:55
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $1 $-0 07-19 00:32
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-22 23:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-21 15:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-21 21:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-20 20:22
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 07-21 20:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-19 15:34
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 07-19 06:42
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $-0 07-13 14:09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-21 05:10
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-20 15:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 07-18 09:42