Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
176
Trades
2,354
lifetime
Volume
$1.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$58
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-30 08:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
61% 33% +$44
Politics
34% 50% +$3
Sports
4% 17% -$19
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +8 $7 94¢ $8 +$1 07-22 03:46
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 96¢ $6 $0 07-17 20:06
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 93¢ $6 $0 10-23 08:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $0 10-27 20:40
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No +4 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 10-22 18:37
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 06-22 17:07
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-30 05:07
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 08-17 11:34
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-28 16:36
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-22 00:51
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-19 21:55
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-22 23:58
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 $0 07-09 00:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-21 15:45
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-23 20:37
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 $0 07-13 11:55
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 10-15 01:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 10-13 20:35
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-27 18:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 07-21 09:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-29 16:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-29 16:55
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-18 22:35
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-21 05:10
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +0 $0 86¢ $0 $0 08-07 17:30
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $0 07-24 08:57
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 10-27 20:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 07-18 09:42