Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$349
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$182
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-17 02:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
Crypto
39%
Politics
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +99 $90 92¢ $91 +$1 06-17 02:09
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-03 04:10
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 06-17 02:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $9 $-1 06-03 04:09
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:07
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:09
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:06
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:06
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 06-17 02:04
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-03 04:08
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-17 02:07
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +5 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 06-17 02:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $-0 06-03 04:08
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +3 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 06-03 02:49
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 06-03 02:48