Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
92
lifetime
Volume
$1.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$606
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-30 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% 100% +$0
Politics
21%
Crypto
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +84 $73 86¢ $72 $-1 06-27 22:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +65 $61 94¢ $61 +$0 06-26 08:27
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +46 $43 93¢ $43 +$0 06-26 08:27
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +45 $43 94¢ $43 $-0 06-26 08:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +48 $42 87¢ $42 $-1 06-28 07:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +39 $35 86¢ $34 $-1 06-30 07:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -30 $-30 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-22 08:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +27 $23 86¢ $23 +$0 06-27 01:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No +24 $22 92¢ $22 +$0 06-28 22:35
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $-0 06-26 08:27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +18 $17 92¢ $17 $-0 06-27 21:30
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 06-26 08:27
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 $-0 06-26 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +16 $14 86¢ $14 $-0 06-26 08:27
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 $-0 06-30 15:03
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-24 16:09
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 06-28 11:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 $-0 06-26 08:27
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +12 $11 94¢ $11 +$0 06-26 08:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 +$0 06-26 08:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-28 07:25
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-16 12:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-10 94¢ $-9 +$0 06-25 06:30
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +9 $9 96¢ $9 $-0 06-26 08:27
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +9 $8 96¢ $9 +$0 06-28 07:25
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 06-28 11:25
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +8 $8 94¢ $8 $-0 06-26 08:27
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 $-0 06-26 08:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 06-26 08:27
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 $-0 06-26 08:27