Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
192
lifetime
Volume
$1.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$423
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-21 05:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
65% 100% +$0
Politics
27%
Crypto
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +84 $73 86¢ $72 $-1 06-27 22:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +46 $44 95¢ $44 $-0 07-16 03:51
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +29 $28 97¢ $28 +$0 07-16 03:51
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +30 $28 92¢ $27 $-0 07-21 05:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +26 $24 90¢ $23 $-1 07-17 02:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +23 $22 92¢ $21 $-1 07-20 16:33
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +23 $20 88¢ $20 +$0 07-06 09:34
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 92¢ $18 $-0 06-26 08:27
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 06-26 08:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No +17 $16 92¢ $16 $-0 07-17 02:53
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 07-02 19:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +14 $12 95¢ $13 +$1 07-19 21:49
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 06-28 11:25
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-08 15:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +11 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 07-02 15:10
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +9 $8 95¢ $9 +$0 06-28 07:25
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +9 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 07-05 09:06
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 06-26 08:27
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 07-08 04:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 +$0 06-26 08:27
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-17 02:53
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-26 08:27
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-26 08:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 07-20 13:52
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-15 07:04
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-16 05:13
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 07-06 05:10
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +4 $3 88¢ $4 +$0 07-07 05:34