Submissive-Zipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$335

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-04 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

56% 91% -$9

Politics

42% 56% -$6

Crypto

2% 60% +$2

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-305	-$264	96¢	$-292	-$28	10-04 14:52
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	-16	-$19	98¢	$-15	+$3	09-14 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+14	$12	90¢	$12	+$0	07-29 03:15
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	06-16 02:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-4	-$4	94¢	$-4	+$0	09-14 06:59
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	07-14 02:28
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$2	96¢	$2	+$0	07-14 02:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$304	22	327	-305	open	—	10-04 14:52
US x China Military clash before 2027?	4	$239	119	135	-16	open	—	09-14 06:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	09-14 06:59
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	09-14 06:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	09-14 07:00
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	09-14 06:59
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 0 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-27 08:42
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-09 05:09
trump out as president by march 31	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	03-19 00:46
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$17	12	5	+7	No	+$0	02-28 09:52
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-03 10:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	07-29 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	3	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	06-02 02:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	10-04 14:52
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-29 03:15
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-04 14:52
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-14 02:27
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	-$10	06-02 02:50
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-16 02:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	08-26 02:07
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$8	2	7	-4	open	—	09-14 06:59
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-29 03:14
elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-23 03:31
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 80 99	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-18 01:34
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-03 07:34
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-03 07:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	06-02 02:54
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 02:12
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 02:17
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-09 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 14:52:59	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcf3bea…
10-04 14:52:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x932e53…
10-04 14:52:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x6d462b…
09-14 07:00:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x7aaabe…
09-14 06:59:57	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x671102…
09-14 06:59:48	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0xb3c4a9…
09-14 06:59:40	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0xba7d02…
09-14 06:59:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xf8f41d…
09-14 06:59:12	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	67	95¢	$64	0xcd818b…
08-26 02:07:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xbbc9b4…
08-26 02:07:09	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x2eebfb…
07-29 03:15:35	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x7de5aa…
07-29 03:15:20	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd585f1…
07-29 03:15:08	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x755138…
07-29 03:14:59	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2c41b3…
07-14 02:30:43	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0e7f55…
07-14 02:28:55	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x371be9…
07-14 02:27:56	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb85362…
06-16 02:17:19	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e7d88…
06-16 02:16:51	Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x25edea…
06-16 02:16:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfa982e…
06-16 02:15:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x85c966…
06-16 02:12:57	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf77202…
06-16 02:11:18	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x63086c…
06-16 02:10:10	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcfdda0…
06-16 02:09:31	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x183b36…
06-16 02:07:58	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xdd3b2b…
06-16 02:07:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe60ee9…
06-02 03:02:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x08f294…
06-02 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x601095…
06-02 02:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2796b4…
06-02 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96fa27…
06-02 02:56:22	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8c9295…
06-02 02:54:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa61573…
06-02 02:54:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa8db0b…
06-02 02:53:46	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x6054e5…
06-02 02:53:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x359279…
06-02 02:52:00	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc95f7a…
06-02 02:51:42	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c6a97…
06-02 02:50:46	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc7083a…
06-02 02:50:30	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x325c02…
06-02 02:50:04	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x956ad1…
06-02 02:49:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xcaa954…
06-02 02:49:27	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1ce025…
06-02 02:49:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x59670a…
06-02 02:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x806601…
06-02 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1fadd7…
05-19 06:47:51	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9db0a…
05-07 02:09:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	305	86¢	$262	0x84f51d…
05-07 02:08:38	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xbcc41d…
05-07 02:08:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2bb4c8…
04-02 02:29:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9f5a8e…
03-19 00:46:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe3b588…
03-09 08:12:37	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xc99bb2…
03-09 08:10:49	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x261d81…
03-09 08:10:33	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cab3d…
03-03 10:50:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x5d32f2…
02-28 09:52:11	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0766dd…
02-28 09:51:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x9d7b71…
02-23 03:32:48	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73f2ad…
02-23 03:31:50	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbad58…
02-18 01:34:01	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 80 99	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x301e27…
02-18 01:32:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x57e82c…
02-18 01:32:35	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc393ac…
02-09 05:09:37	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x922154…
02-03 07:36:20	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc715e1…
02-03 07:35:36	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b380b…
02-03 07:34:22	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 120 139	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa5cea7…
02-03 07:33:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x6a6f56…
01-27 09:04:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x55eac1…
01-27 09:01:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x24d5cc…
01-27 09:00:17	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f1d2e…
01-27 08:42:29	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 0 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7336ee…
01-06 02:27:23	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd7be0b…