Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$324
Trades
39
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$4,755
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-11 16:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $22 | $38 | $16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $26 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $17 | $10 | +$8 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | +145 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-11 15:56 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 15:51 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-11 16:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 16:21:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x86b662… |
| 06-11 16:21:07 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x86b662… |
| 06-11 16:10:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe8ad25… |
| 06-11 16:10:10 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xe8ad25… |
| 06-11 16:10:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xe8ad25… |
| 06-11 15:56:03 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcfafab… |
| 06-11 15:56:03 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcfafab… |
| 06-11 15:51:42 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31a469… |
| 06-11 15:51:42 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31a469… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 199 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-11 15:51:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x083cac… |
| 06-10 22:53:18 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 55 | 98¢ | $54 | 0x722623… |
| 06-10 22:53:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x722623… |
| 06-10 22:20:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x904087… |
| 06-10 22:20:15 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x904087… |
| 06-10 19:50:00 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x812564… |
| 06-10 19:50:00 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x812564… |
| 06-10 19:27:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc6b26… |
| 06-10 19:27:19 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc6b26… |
| 06-10 19:27:19 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdc6b26… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Fortunate-Scratch 0x5184…1363 | Yes | SELL | 376 | 5¢ | $21 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-10 19:27:13 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8ff7f7… |
| 06-09 11:38:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x0d112b… |
| 06-09 11:38:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x0d112b… |
| 06-09 11:38:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x8ca4f7… |
| 06-09 11:38:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x8ca4f7… |
| 06-09 11:38:12 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7c6100… |
| 06-09 11:38:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7c6100… |