Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,534
Trades
50
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,236
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-15 16:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $37 | $1 | +$36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $24 | $42 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $920 | $913 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $916 | $913 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | $7 | $45 | $38 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +900 | $826 | $826 | 4 | 07-10 17:37 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +254 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-10 17:37 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +120 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-15 04:29 |
| Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | +109 | $12 | $15 | 3 | 06-24 17:10 |
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 11:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 06-15 11:13 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +73 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-12 22:58 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 22:37 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +16 | $14 | $65 | 2 | 07-10 17:37 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 21:31 |
| Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 17:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 16:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 16:29:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xca32f1… |
| 07-15 16:29:49 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xca32f1… |
| 07-15 04:29:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1c03ca… |
| 07-15 04:29:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1c03ca… |
| 07-15 04:28:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xece57d… |
| 07-15 04:28:11 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xece57d… |
| 07-15 04:27:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x40e7aa… |
| 07-15 04:27:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x40e7aa… |
| 07-14 05:24:11 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb59194… |
| 07-14 05:24:11 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb59194… |
| 07-12 22:58:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9202b3… |
| 07-12 22:58:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9202b3… |
| 07-11 05:41:14 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9f511a… |
| 07-11 05:41:14 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9f511a… |
| 07-11 05:41:14 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9f511a… |
| 07-10 17:37:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcdea3b… |
| 07-10 17:37:44 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcdea3b… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 8¢ | $20 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x20b158… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 140 | 92¢ | $129 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x20b158… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 07-10 17:37:14 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 500 | 92¢ | $460 | 0x3b0ebf… |
| 06-28 08:33:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0xaa9d50… |
| 06-28 08:33:58 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0xaa9d50… |
| 06-24 22:37:05 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | Yes | SELL | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd75dec… |
| 06-24 22:37:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xd75dec… |
| 06-24 17:10:59 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf08416… |
| 06-24 17:10:59 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf08416… |
| 06-22 12:22:50 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x0b0cb7… |
| 06-22 12:22:50 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x0b0cb7… |
| 06-22 12:22:50 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | SELL | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0xe54b8f… |
| 06-22 12:22:50 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 300 | 92¢ | $276 | 0xe54b8f… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xb3ea19… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | Yes | BUY | 95 | 10¢ | $9 | 0x75a960… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x75a960… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x75a960… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xb3ea19… |
| 06-20 21:45:14 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 58 | 90¢ | $52 | 0x75a960… |
| 06-16 23:01:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf828c4… |
| 06-16 23:01:08 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 42 | 90¢ | $38 | 0xf828c4… |
| 06-16 23:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf828c4… |
| 06-15 11:13:55 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xc550b7… |
| 06-15 11:13:55 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xc550b7… |
| 06-11 21:31:43 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x597a58… |
| 06-11 21:31:43 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x597a58… |
| 05-28 17:04:43 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xdec9c8… |
| 05-28 17:04:43 | Soulful-Solitaire 0x5d10…b5e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xdec9c8… |