United-Slide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$970

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-08 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 31% $-122

Tech

38% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$366	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 22:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$112	370	370	+0	open	—	05-06 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	9	$71	70	70	+0	Up	+$55	05-08 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	17	$63	144	83	+61	Down	+$21	05-05 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$46	519	0	+519	Down	$-46	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$46	60	20	+40	Down	$-7	05-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	12	$37	370	0	+370	Down	$-37	05-08 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$31	26	26	+0	Down	+$21	05-08 23:05
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	13	$31	8,005	0	+8,005	open	—	03-16 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$30	186	0	+186	Up	$-30	05-05 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	6	$30	296	0	+296	Down	$-30	05-05 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$25	107	0	+107	Up	$-25	05-08 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$17	50	20	+30	Down	$-0	05-08 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$15	875	0	+875	Up	$-15	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$14	50	0	+50	Down	$-14	05-08 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$13	66	0	+66	Up	$-13	05-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$8	50	50	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$7	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	05-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-05 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 23:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x21f459…
05-08 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf729e1…
05-08 23:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf78d0…
05-08 23:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x00f827…
05-08 23:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb0cdaa…
05-08 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf19225…
05-08 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	76	10¢	$8	0xc0e110…
05-08 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x90d3c7…
05-08 23:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3e05f7…
05-08 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xc7d909…
05-08 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xc49820…
05-08 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xbeef84…
05-08 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8d46db…
05-08 23:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x4d3d41…
05-08 23:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xe0dd72…
05-08 23:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x12358d…
05-08 23:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xb98ed2…
05-08 23:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xdc75bc…
05-08 23:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2c52f7…
05-08 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xac0ddc…
05-08 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xa71a97…
05-08 23:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x090231…
05-08 23:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe7f754…
05-08 23:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xee45e2…
05-08 23:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7bc8c0…
05-08 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3846e5…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9a33ac…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x940078…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8cf5ca…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x5e8ec4…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x494bba…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x203765…
05-08 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x00065e…
05-08 23:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x4b8acd…
05-08 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8323fa…
05-08 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x88c585…
05-08 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3dbf38…
05-08 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xcca8fd…
05-08 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x62be3f…
05-08 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x25e28f…
05-08 23:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1deca1…
05-08 23:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x707402…
05-08 23:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9aaf1f…
05-08 23:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x5e81d3…
05-08 23:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xa6c5a9…
05-08 23:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x082956…
05-08 23:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x202c15…
05-08 23:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8b6ffa…
05-06 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	134	4¢	$5	0xbdd519…
05-06 22:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x30c090…
05-06 22:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xabcc0f…
05-06 22:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x168e3c…
05-06 22:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1ee378…
05-06 22:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfb5d8c…
05-06 22:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x85db0b…
05-06 22:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2fbaa3…
05-06 22:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xebef58…
05-06 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x496828…
05-06 22:05:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	15¢	$56	0xdf87b0…
05-06 21:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	370	15¢	$57	0x3d09f6…
05-05 20:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x67e021…
05-05 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x872da2…
05-05 20:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x192832…
05-05 20:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0370d1…
05-05 20:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1880d6…
05-05 20:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5e935c…
05-05 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x83f023…
05-05 20:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xca3455…
05-05 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xcf0703…
05-05 20:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x1c1e31…
05-05 20:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xeb4c5f…
05-05 20:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb971a6…
05-05 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7753ca…
05-05 20:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x37a41e…
05-05 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa2ba50…
05-05 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x412559…
05-05 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x833d72…
05-05 20:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x547743…
05-05 20:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1fea99…
05-05 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x8b05fd…
05-05 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xd00c72…
05-05 19:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xac1137…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe8daca…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xdd2a3d…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xc8eaba…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb2a6e9…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xb1b606…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x93fe76…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x776aa8…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x6c4c61…
05-05 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x09a868…
05-05 19:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0x8d44bb…
05-05 19:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xbcf20e…
05-05 19:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9aaf80…
05-05 19:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xa37783…
05-05 19:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x15275a…
05-05 19:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcc28ce…
04-26 22:34:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x85be71…
04-26 22:02:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xea4eb8…
03-16 10:32:41	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xb2be05…