Realized P&L
-$150
Unrealized P&L
+$496
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
20
Trades
24,839
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$598
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-30 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
44%
Other
38% 79% +$31
Sports
14% 17% $-181
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +160 $140 99¢ $159 +$19 06-14 21:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -92 $-56 58¢ $-54 +$2 06-15 21:48
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +339 $53 15¢ $49 $-4 06-30 18:44
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July? No +50 $40 96¢ $48 +$8 06-16 20:39
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +45 $40 95¢ $43 +$2 06-30 13:03
Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +994 $24 $30 +$7 06-29 23:59
Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +1,060 $27 $26 $-1 07-01 01:37
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +729 $18 $26 +$8 06-29 23:40
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +25 $23 96¢ $24 +$1 06-17 19:42
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1,167 $27 $23 $-4 06-30 16:01
Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +840 $22 $22 $-0 06-30 13:41
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $-0 06-30 22:38
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +773 $22 $15 $-7 06-30 12:00
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -328 $49 $-12 $-61 06-21 13:56
Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +463 $7 $12 +$5 06-30 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,800 $-478 $-12 +$466 06-14 22:45
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +109 $12 $9 $-2 06-24 17:10
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $-4 $6 +$11 06-30 12:00
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July? Yes +100 $-10 $4 +$13 06-16 20:53
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +69 $-19 $3 +$21 06-30 17:01
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +84 $-8 $1 +$10 06-30 08:59
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? Yes +20 $-0 $1 +$1 06-30 23:34