Wonderful-Disgust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

24,230

lifetime

Volume

$937.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-10 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

41% 79% +$31

Sports

15% 17% $-181

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,100	$198.6K	165,319	183,207	-17,888	open	—	03-04 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,613	$79.2K	324,759	177,405	+147,354	open	—	03-04 16:28
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	512	$36.4K	33,585	16,589	+16,995	No	+$7,780	04-12 05:17
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1,175	$26.1K	890,254	1,129,782	-239,528	open	—	04-11 23:03
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	89	$23.3K	16,334	9,367	+6,967	open	—	04-12 21:11
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	192	$21.3K	19,135	10,913	+8,222	open	—	03-20 20:32
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1,042	$21.0K	1,631,872	1,571,207	+60,664	open	—	03-14 18:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	269	$20.4K	17,253	9,726	+7,527	open	—	02-04 19:11
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	112	$20.1K	15,060	15,591	-531	open	—	01-23 23:55
spx opens up or down on january 30 2026	75	$17.4K	11,193	22,146	-10,952	open	—	01-30 23:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	582	$17.0K	33,985	16,923	+17,063	Yes	$-7,903	04-11 19:40
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	306	$16.7K	36,405	39,719	-3,314	open	—	02-02 17:25
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2,577	$16.3K	1,359,956	1,496,441	-136,485	open	—	04-11 19:55
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	205	$16.2K	10,785	13,502	-2,717	open	—	03-17 13:06
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	118	$14.9K	10,545	6,564	+3,980	open	—	01-18 09:32
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	68	$11.9K	9,047	14,363	-5,316	open	—	03-20 17:23
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	80	$11.8K	5,975	12,127	-6,152	open	—	03-10 20:00
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	125	$11.7K	9,523	8,868	+655	open	—	03-18 10:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	125	$11.2K	7,788	11,525	-3,737	open	—	04-09 16:57
spx up or down on february 2 2026	167	$11.2K	17,643	15,145	+2,498	open	—	02-02 21:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	45	$10.7K	9,742	3,071	+6,670	open	—	06-01 16:59
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	286	$9.8K	9,934	11,855	-1,921	open	—	01-26 20:50
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	268	$9.7K	118,652	189,327	-70,675	open	—	03-04 16:15
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	250	$9.1K	24,315	10,370	+13,945	open	—	03-20 17:12
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	235	$8.8K	45,972	118,503	-72,531	open	—	03-04 16:15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1,250	$8.6K	109,334	257,631	-148,298	open	—	03-04 16:26
spx up or down on january 21 2026	29	$8.0K	4,343	4,356	-13	open	—	01-21 20:56
spx up or down on january 20 2026	143	$7.1K	6,745	7,915	-1,170	open	—	01-20 23:19
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	72	$6.9K	6,123	7,413	-1,290	open	—	02-09 20:24
spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	210	$6.9K	15,923	8,152	+7,771	open	—	02-03 23:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:08:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	985	20¢	$198	0xe66fb0…
06-09 23:38:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	781	22¢	$172	0xa48e11…
06-09 23:36:33	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	477	23¢	$110	0xe72853…
06-09 23:03:15	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	225	29¢	$66	0xeb78ee…
06-09 22:56:42	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x65e593…
06-09 22:48:33	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	245	23¢	$57	0x4ffb7f…
06-09 22:47:33	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x870e3b…
06-09 22:47:00	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	4,660	28¢	$1,327	0x58e4a9…
06-09 22:34:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	650	44¢	$286	0x31ae97…
06-09 22:33:00	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x7dc7b3…
06-09 22:32:28	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x4ecaaf…
06-09 22:30:31	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	680	45¢	$306	0x6c6f84…
06-09 22:30:12	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1,422	44¢	$626	0x4674b6…
06-09 22:29:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xc285fd…
06-09 22:29:54	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	644	31¢	$199	0x0176d7…
06-09 22:29:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	10,958	21¢	$2,296	0x790263…
06-09 18:21:24	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x49cbd1…
06-09 18:16:49	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0xf8f44a…
06-09 18:09:55	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	199	7¢	$14	0x61a92f…
06-07 00:10:54	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0xadc5ee…
06-07 00:09:33	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x37f498…
06-07 00:09:13	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xfd6517…
06-07 00:09:13	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x870a64…
06-07 00:08:25	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x95d0de…
06-07 00:07:52	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	20¢	$15	0x9dcb46…
06-07 00:01:40	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x16b4d4…
06-06 23:34:00	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x762cd0…
06-06 23:29:58	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x9fb694…
06-06 23:28:28	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xfec603…
06-06 23:27:54	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	41¢	$30	0x1e9e9f…
06-06 23:26:39	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xe14c34…
06-04 13:29:31	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x160b7f…
06-04 13:29:24	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	526	0¢	$1	0x9a34f3…
06-04 13:28:48	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	1,920	0¢	$4	0x6a983b…
06-04 13:28:40	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x1c55db…
06-04 13:28:33	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x69719e…
06-04 13:28:30	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb2f95c…
06-04 13:28:15	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa6ec8c…
06-04 13:11:28	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x6a1386…
06-04 13:05:07	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x783772…
06-04 13:04:55	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xc90eff…
06-04 13:00:10	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe49fcf…
06-04 12:59:52	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x9edb73…
06-04 12:59:31	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7a3a69…
06-04 12:59:24	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xf23828…
06-04 12:59:01	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x077518…
06-04 12:54:03	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x45939b…
06-04 12:53:57	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x25e936…
06-04 11:42:19	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x7ec72a…
06-04 11:33:51	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xca1a01…
06-04 11:27:28	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	225	2¢	$4	0xff4b5e…
06-04 11:25:43	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0xa8f093…
06-04 11:18:06	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xde148c…
06-04 10:49:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	400	93¢	$374	0x9079d6…
06-04 06:10:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc9ecef…
06-04 04:53:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd62bf6…
06-03 19:51:03	spx up or down on june 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5864b8…
06-03 19:35:33	spx up or down on june 3 2026	Up	SELL	237	0¢	$1	0x1fe3ef…
06-03 18:51:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xa60bc4…
06-03 18:50:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfef84b…
06-03 18:50:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	489	1¢	$6	0xd774de…
06-03 17:11:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x27fa36…
06-03 16:59:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xcc09e7…
06-03 16:43:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x12a77a…
06-03 16:42:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb1d866…
06-03 16:42:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	853	1¢	$11	0x90c771…
06-03 16:42:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0x3a1bdf…
06-03 16:42:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8cfba5…
06-03 16:41:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcd064c…
06-03 16:41:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	853	1¢	$9	0x80ce0e…
06-03 16:40:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xdc6358…
06-03 16:32:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x9babd2…
06-03 16:32:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbc413f…
06-03 16:31:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x15c5c6…
06-03 16:30:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xc24a6a…
06-03 16:26:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x86557c…
06-03 16:26:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xeab0a2…
06-03 16:25:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x96fdbe…
06-03 16:25:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xb23b8b…
06-03 16:25:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xc1a076…
06-03 16:25:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x14a4d0…
06-03 16:18:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x9efe34…
06-03 16:13:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xef2728…
06-03 16:03:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd02765…
06-03 16:00:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc11725…
06-02 13:20:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	294	1¢	$4	0xc96eaf…
06-01 16:59:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8effcf…
06-01 15:30:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xfb3d58…
06-01 15:23:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6b2b3…
06-01 15:20:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	1,999	100¢	$1,997	0xcfd288…
06-01 15:17:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x5b4dfb…
06-01 14:58:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	408	100¢	$406	0xf3b3f1…
06-01 14:50:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x32dfcc…
06-01 14:49:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xdea7d5…
06-01 14:38:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc418da…
06-01 14:02:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x43a30e…
06-01 13:59:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x221237…
06-01 13:56:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x04fb2f…
06-01 13:40:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x6b3e1a…
06-01 13:39:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x0e8973…