Wonderful-Disgust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$150

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

25,230

lifetime

Volume

$1.04M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-07 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

38% 79% +$31

Sports

14% 17% $-181

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,100	$198.6K	165,319	183,207	-17,888	open	—	03-04 16:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1,613	$79.2K	324,759	177,405	+147,354	open	—	03-04 16:28
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	512	$36.4K	33,585	16,589	+16,995	No	+$7,780	04-12 05:17
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	100	$28.5K	36,785	31,031	+5,755	open	—	06-23 09:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	52	$26.1K	14,048	15,667	-1,619	open	—	06-15 21:41
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1,175	$26.1K	890,254	1,129,782	-239,528	open	—	04-11 23:03
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	89	$23.3K	16,334	9,367	+6,967	open	—	04-12 21:11
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	192	$21.3K	19,135	10,913	+8,222	open	—	03-20 20:32
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1,042	$21.0K	1,631,872	1,571,207	+60,664	open	—	03-14 18:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	269	$20.4K	17,253	9,726	+7,527	open	—	02-04 19:11
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	112	$20.1K	15,060	15,591	-531	open	—	01-23 23:55
spx opens up or down on january 30 2026	75	$17.4K	11,193	22,146	-10,952	open	—	01-30 23:23
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	582	$17.0K	33,985	16,923	+17,063	Yes	$-7,903	04-11 19:40
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	306	$16.7K	36,405	39,719	-3,314	open	—	02-02 17:25
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2,577	$16.3K	1,359,956	1,496,441	-136,485	open	—	04-11 19:55
will the fed decide differently in the next three decisions decjanmar	205	$16.2K	10,785	13,502	-2,717	open	—	03-17 13:06
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	118	$14.9K	10,545	6,564	+3,980	open	—	01-18 09:32
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	68	$11.9K	9,047	14,363	-5,316	open	—	03-20 17:23
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	80	$11.8K	5,975	12,127	-6,152	open	—	03-10 20:00
will the fed cutpausecut in the next three decisions decjanmar	125	$11.7K	9,523	8,868	+655	open	—	03-18 10:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	125	$11.2K	7,788	11,525	-3,737	open	—	04-09 16:57
spx up or down on february 2 2026	167	$11.2K	17,643	15,145	+2,498	open	—	02-02 21:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	45	$10.7K	9,742	3,071	+6,670	open	—	06-01 16:59
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	286	$9.8K	9,934	11,855	-1,921	open	—	01-26 20:50
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	268	$9.7K	118,652	189,327	-70,675	open	—	03-04 16:15
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	250	$9.1K	24,315	10,370	+13,945	open	—	03-20 17:12
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	235	$8.8K	45,972	118,503	-72,531	open	—	03-04 16:15
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1,250	$8.6K	109,334	257,631	-148,298	open	—	03-04 16:26
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	50	$8.3K	19,621	21,881	-2,260	open	—	06-15 17:08
spx up or down on january 21 2026	29	$8.0K	4,343	4,356	-13	open	—	01-21 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 23:28:10	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	399	77¢	$307	0x121d5f…
08-07 14:38:27	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	92	62¢	$57	0x5f8402…
08-06 15:42:57	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	127	36¢	$46	0xffa2e7…
08-06 05:22:08	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	380	32¢	$122	0x5563ee…
08-06 05:15:36	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xd76ae9…
08-05 18:10:00	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	62	79¢	$49	0x825e76…
08-05 15:36:11	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	68	60¢	$41	0xc992cf…
08-05 15:26:08	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0xbf9194…
08-05 15:23:56	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8c2336…
08-05 15:20:32	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xccc238…
08-05 13:06:45	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	165	36¢	$59	0x28cb4e…
08-05 13:00:11	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5fc8dd…
08-05 00:24:09	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	165	50¢	$83	0xd01336…
08-05 00:08:14	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	41	50¢	$20	0x756d6f…
08-05 00:07:14	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x804c52…
08-04 21:46:02	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	BUY	170	40¢	$69	0xc6e7cc…
08-04 21:14:12	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	SELL	302	41¢	$122	0x7a55c8…
08-04 21:08:54	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	No	BUY	1,207	31¢	$376	0x438c04…
08-04 21:08:39	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbe43ef…
08-04 20:54:47	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	Yes	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0x98c9f7…
08-04 20:51:30	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x76d61c…
08-04 20:51:15	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	541	63¢	$340	0xa8351b…
08-03 23:19:41	graham platner charged by august 31 20260706214559481	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x66f629…
07-30 13:36:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0xe77d14…
07-30 13:22:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	49	56¢	$27	0x55d6dc…
07-30 12:17:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x49ecb8…
07-30 12:09:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0x5ffa07…
07-26 02:07:33	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723225144066	No	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0x36de7c…
07-26 00:29:04	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723225144066	No	SELL	55	86¢	$47	0xd5d4fb…
07-26 00:28:57	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723225144066	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x1831e4…
07-25 23:58:09	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723225144066	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xe7cb37…
07-25 23:58:04	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723225144066	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x78462f…
07-25 23:57:46	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723225144065	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xaef12a…
07-25 11:45:43	net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt27	No	BUY	450	18¢	$81	0x6300fa…
07-24 23:57:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	151	5¢	$7	0xfdcd18…
07-24 23:40:49	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	195	1¢	$2	0x46faba…
07-24 23:01:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	528	0¢	$1	0x28a3d1…
07-19 20:14:18	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0xdc1ea3…
07-19 20:14:18	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x53fec1…
07-19 20:14:18	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x296fd1…
07-19 20:14:16	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xfa8fa9…
07-19 20:14:16	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$292	0x2ada40…
07-19 20:14:10	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xad647b…
07-19 20:14:10	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x09b962…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xd9608b…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x9da46f…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x9a3228…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x7a8034…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x783938…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x4d0665…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x2e4aec…
07-19 20:14:03	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x1137ce…
07-19 20:14:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xb08896…
07-19 20:14:01	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x339b07…
07-19 20:12:48	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xa5f1fe…
07-19 19:25:28	Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x027e6c…
07-19 18:33:01	Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x6b1622…
07-19 01:22:15	Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xaf1dd0…
07-17 14:12:27	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	54	77¢	$41	0x02d64b…
07-16 17:06:14	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x6be2d2…
07-16 16:22:35	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ze cheng dou	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xa97595…
07-16 16:21:40	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ze cheng dou	No	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0x188101…
07-16 14:08:07	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor moore	No	SELL	304	66¢	$201	0x402f20…
07-16 14:01:34	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xc119a1…
07-15 21:31:46	Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$3	0x25d425…
07-15 20:18:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x88b0a1…
07-15 13:57:58	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	SELL	241	0¢	$0	0xe5693f…
07-15 13:56:07	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	SELL	622	0¢	$1	0xf3f5d2…
07-15 12:35:07	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf87811…
07-15 12:34:08	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	663	10¢	$64	0x98cd2a…
07-15 12:32:07	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x6ca6d3…
07-15 12:23:52	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	195	65¢	$127	0xbec151…
07-15 12:23:34	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x03fd0a…
07-15 11:53:43	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x2c3c5f…
07-15 11:51:32	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xc78b13…
07-15 11:49:23	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	SELL	284	13¢	$37	0x19f6bc…
07-15 10:07:53	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,473	14¢	$207	0x7909fb…
07-15 07:34:41	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	SELL	258	26¢	$67	0x7c601b…
07-14 23:28:02	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xd1a99d…
07-14 23:27:47	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x46bb85…
07-14 23:25:38	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x0b47ef…
07-14 23:23:38	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xc8d945…
07-14 23:19:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,418	12¢	$168	0x1fad74…
07-14 23:09:46	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	SELL	504	15¢	$76	0x293286…
07-14 23:07:47	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	60	82¢	$50	0x1cc2d6…
07-14 23:07:11	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659 166	No	BUY	88	96¢	$85	0x3542e7…
07-14 23:06:49	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659 166	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x39b349…
07-14 23:06:46	over 80m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325659 166	Yes	BUY	331	2¢	$8	0xdc4dae…
07-14 23:01:56	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	67	82¢	$55	0x22c483…
07-14 23:01:01	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	127	16¢	$20	0x76d6f5…
07-14 23:00:55	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	Yes	BUY	789	14¢	$108	0x1ec482…
07-14 22:48:50	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x7f822d…
07-14 22:48:23	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	168	72¢	$121	0xdd406c…
07-14 22:48:17	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x971fc0…
07-14 22:48:07	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	SELL	287	27¢	$77	0x5a29ee…
07-14 22:47:46	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7aaf72…
07-14 22:47:41	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa0cacf…
07-14 22:47:40	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	Yes	BUY	885	23¢	$205	0xcdd66e…
07-14 16:06:34	dax up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16ef82…
07-14 15:15:08	Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x0bfa24…