Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207c4…29b81b
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$18.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.44K
Hit rate
78.9%
Resolved
916
Trades
37,947
lifetime
Volume
$2.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$10.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-27 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
55% 77% +$3,243
Other
35% 69% +$7,997
Sports
8% 83% +$6,683
Tech
2% 74% +$84
Pop-Culture
0% 25% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +3,286 $471 100¢ $3.3K +$2,811 06-23 09:01
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +1,393 $905 94¢ $1.3K +$411 06-17 20:34
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,714 $876 46¢ $1.2K +$359 06-03 09:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,200 $1,148 99¢ $1.2K +$46 09-19 12:58
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,114 $1,841 54¢ $1.1K -$692 06-02 22:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -600 -$65 46¢ $-274 -$209 06-03 13:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $171 68¢ $274 +$103 05-28 02:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,200 $614 20¢ $246 -$368 09-23 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -1,200 -$494 16¢ $-198 +$296 09-24 07:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +200 $136 70¢ $139 +$3 09-21 20:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes -200 -$116 66¢ $-133 -$17 09-21 18:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $236 32¢ $126 -$110 05-27 21:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +200 $135 50¢ $100 -$35 07-08 15:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $58 50¢ $100 +$42 07-08 12:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$2 09-18 12:52
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $78 96¢ $80 +$1 06-25 20:34
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +1,393 $221 6¢ $77 -$144 06-19 22:57
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +100 $58 68¢ $67 +$9 05-09 15:18
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +52 $41 90¢ $47 +$6 05-03 09:19
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +40 $30 98¢ $39 +$9 06-03 17:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +37 $35 99¢ $37 +$2 09-19 18:57
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +42 $35 80¢ $34 -$1 09-17 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +100 $41 32¢ $32 -$8 10-09 00:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes -1,199 -$17 2¢ $-28 -$11 09-22 17:37
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +200 $136 10¢ $21 -$115 05-05 20:07
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -200 -$114 10¢ $-21 +$93 05-12 02:29
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +42 $17 20¢ $8 -$9 09-17 18:08
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +20 $6 30¢ $6 $0 06-03 23:14
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +52 $10 10¢ $5 -$5 05-02 18:13
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +83 $34 4¢ $3 -$31 06-21 15:33