Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a38…947bb2
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,323
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$438
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-17 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
74% 17% +$11
Tech
11% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Politics
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -36 $-2 98¢ $-35 $-33 06-14 20:46
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +47 $8 74¢ $35 +$27 06-09 01:49
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-26 75¢ $-28 $-2 06-03 16:42
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -31 $-14 78¢ $-24 $-10 06-10 15:52
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -92 $-18 24¢ $-22 $-4 06-11 16:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -30 $-13 69¢ $-21 $-8 05-29 02:21
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -31 $-5 62¢ $-19 $-14 06-09 19:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +17 $6 100¢ $17 +$11 06-11 06:21
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -24 $-16 69¢ $-16 $-0 06-11 09:43
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -18 $-15 82¢ $-15 +$0 06-01 14:36
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -110 $-9 14¢ $-15 $-6 06-09 18:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-15 77¢ $-14 +$0 06-10 13:15
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -14 $-13 96¢ $-13 $-0 06-11 14:09
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -16 $-13 80¢ $-13 $-0 06-16 20:43
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -16 $-13 79¢ $-13 +$0 06-02 17:52
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-22 34¢ $-13 +$9 05-31 12:25
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -73 $-7 16¢ $-11 $-4 06-16 20:43
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -133 $-12 8¢ $-11 +$1 06-12 13:10
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-12 62¢ $-11 +$1 06-04 03:32
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-9 79¢ $-10 $-1 06-02 19:01
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$2 06-09 02:47
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -11 $-9 86¢ $-9 $-1 06-11 07:19
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -47 $-12 19¢ $-9 +$3 06-12 15:12
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $3 30¢ $9 +$6 06-16 20:43
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +11 $8 76¢ $9 +$1 06-03 10:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-04 01:52
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 74¢ $8 $-0 06-10 14:18
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +12 $8 57¢ $7 $-1 05-30 23:40
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes -8 $-7 77¢ $-6 +$1 05-30 07:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June? No +6 $-4 100¢ $6 +$9 06-07 18:16