Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a38…947bb2
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$115
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,851
lifetime
Volume
$18.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$455
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-10 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
76% 17% +$11
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Politics
6% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +67 $4 64¢ $43 +$39 06-01 22:59
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +85 $11 40¢ $34 +$23 05-30 13:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Yes -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-1 06-08 15:11
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-26 74¢ $-28 $-2 06-03 16:42
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-22 45¢ $-17 +$5 05-31 12:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-14 90¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 21:20
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +28 $14 58¢ $16 +$2 06-04 09:45
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -18 $-15 76¢ $-14 +$1 06-01 14:36
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -16 $-13 86¢ $-14 $-1 06-02 17:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -30 $-13 44¢ $-13 $-0 05-29 02:21
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +42 $8 31¢ $13 +$5 05-28 03:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +17 $6 74¢ $13 +$6 06-08 20:45
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $5 36¢ $12 +$7 06-04 03:32
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +18 $11 65¢ $12 +$1 06-01 06:29
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +15 $11 80¢ $12 +$1 06-09 19:48
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +15 $11 76¢ $12 +$1 06-04 03:54
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +46 $11 26¢ $12 +$1 06-09 18:14
Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +29 $7 40¢ $12 +$5 06-08 06:20
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +15 $11 76¢ $12 +$1 06-04 10:05
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? Yes +32 $7 36¢ $11 +$4 06-05 08:56
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +16 $11 72¢ $11 +$0 06-04 07:19
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +17 $11 68¢ $11 $-0 06-09 19:44
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +35 $7 32¢ $11 +$4 06-08 03:08
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? No +13 $11 86¢ $11 +$0 06-04 07:02
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +47 $8 24¢ $11 +$3 06-09 01:49
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +23 $8 47¢ $11 +$3 06-04 14:37
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +41 $7 26¢ $11 +$4 06-09 20:40
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $8 19¢ $11 +$3 06-01 22:59
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-12 64¢ $-11 +$1 06-04 03:32
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +16 $9 66¢ $10 +$1 06-08 01:31