Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a38…947bb2
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,323
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$348
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-17 20:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
74% 17% +$11
Tech
11% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Politics
5% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +47 $8 80¢ $38 +$30 06-09 01:49
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-26 77¢ $-29 $-3 06-03 16:42
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -31 $-14 92¢ $-29 $-14 06-10 15:52
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -30 $-13 68¢ $-20 $-7 05-29 02:21
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -18 $-15 84¢ $-15 $-0 06-01 14:36
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -24 $-16 61¢ $-14 +$1 06-11 09:43
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -31 $-5 46¢ $-14 $-9 06-09 19:17
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -92 $-18 16¢ $-14 +$4 06-11 16:44
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -17 $-12 79¢ $-13 $-1 06-04 03:32
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -14 $-13 96¢ $-13 $-0 06-11 14:09
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -110 $-9 12¢ $-13 $-4 06-09 18:46
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -16 $-13 80¢ $-13 +$0 06-16 20:43
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -16 $-13 82¢ $-13 $-0 06-02 17:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -19 $-15 65¢ $-12 +$3 06-10 13:15
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-9 75¢ $-10 $-1 06-02 19:01
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -11 $-9 88¢ $-10 $-1 06-11 07:19
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -47 $-12 20¢ $-9 +$2 06-12 15:12
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-10 14:18
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes -38 $-22 20¢ $-7 +$15 05-31 12:25
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +12 $8 57¢ $7 $-1 05-30 23:40
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -73 $-7 8¢ $-6 +$1 06-16 20:43
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? Yes -8 $-7 77¢ $-6 +$1 05-30 07:18
Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -6 $-4 76¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 01:29
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +13 $2 36¢ $5 +$3 06-01 18:16
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $3 15¢ $4 +$2 06-16 20:43
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 06-03 08:11
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? No +5 $-0 85¢ $4 +$4 06-02 05:16
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -21 $-4 15¢ $-3 +$1 06-11 07:44
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes -133 $-12 2¢ $-3 +$9 06-12 13:10
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-5 14¢ $-2 +$3 06-11 09:43