Gracious-Cayenne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,323

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-17 20:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% 17% +$11

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	43	$276	402	386	+16	open	—	06-03 22:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	37	$256	315	358	-43	open	—	05-30 00:10
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	38	$251	425	375	+50	open	—	06-11 05:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	28	$240	282	265	+17	open	—	06-11 06:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	38	$225	190	251	-61	open	—	06-08 15:11
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	43	$197	221	221	+0	open	—	06-11 07:44
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	26	$195	227	227	+0	open	—	06-11 07:44
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	30	$193	294	294	+0	open	—	05-29 20:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	27	$184	362	162	+200	open	—	06-10 16:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	26	$181	210	236	-26	open	—	06-09 20:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	21	$180	230	240	-10	open	—	06-10 17:59
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	27	$174	192	192	+0	open	—	06-11 00:56
will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	25	$170	196	196	-0	open	—	06-11 03:10
will openais valuation hit high 875b by june 30	15	$167	208	179	+30	open	—	06-05 21:08
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	47	$163	199	193	+7	open	—	06-04 06:33
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?	13	$140	335	135	+200	Yes	+$37	05-13 14:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?	15	$140	263	263	+0	open	—	06-05 22:07
will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	18	$139	169	169	+0	open	—	06-05 05:55
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	18	$137	182	170	+11	open	—	06-11 06:29
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	10	$133	174	174	+0	open	—	05-28 07:45
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	17	$129	154	154	+0	open	—	05-29 14:24
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	20	$128	152	152	+0	open	—	06-10 00:06
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	20	$126	188	196	-8	open	—	05-14 19:15
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	14	$124	156	156	+0	open	—	06-01 00:17
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 30	25	$123	131	131	+0	open	—	06-03 22:56
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	22	$121	248	106	+142	open	—	06-10 22:32
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	16	$120	142	142	+0	open	—	06-07 22:22
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	18	$117	132	133	-1	open	—	06-11 13:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	12	$109	167	167	+0	open	—	05-14 12:08
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	9	$108	121	96	+25	open	—	05-25 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 20:22:44	Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	191	0¢	$0	0x4dc2cd…
06-17 16:19:46	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x8a0fa5…
06-16 20:43:52	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xf8198e…
06-16 20:43:44	will cap launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	133	0¢	$0	0xdbd206…
06-16 20:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$1	0x8299a2…
06-16 20:43:43	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x62e012…
06-16 20:43:41	will papertrade launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x5b38bc…
06-16 20:43:40	Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xd2f2df…
06-16 20:43:37	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xb1ea2f…
06-16 20:43:35	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xbf7930…
06-16 20:43:35	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9d41c4…
06-16 20:43:34	Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	9¢	$5	0xc16861…
06-16 20:43:32	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by june 30	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$1	0xe34857…
06-16 20:43:31	will krakens valuation hit low 9b by december 31	No	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x0fdb97…
06-16 20:43:29	Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xb1e18e…
06-16 20:43:29	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x7aa599…
06-16 20:43:28	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xb2fcfd…
06-16 20:23:50	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x6afd23…
06-16 14:21:26	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xe21880…
06-16 12:23:39	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x188b81…
06-16 09:44:15	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xe7a317…
06-16 05:10:40	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x869bfd…
06-15 21:33:31	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xa79a01…
06-15 02:55:16	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x3dbb62…
06-14 20:46:57	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x39721c…
06-14 20:00:43	will papertrade launch a token by september 30 2027	No	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x61de9c…
06-14 19:28:15	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x530000…
06-14 16:16:40	Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0xf4b915…
06-14 15:17:39	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0xf1712d…
06-14 14:48:25	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xbab2fa…
06-13 22:01:52	Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xabef7e…
06-13 19:22:49	Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x8a6cc3…
06-13 15:23:16	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xa058a6…
06-13 14:41:04	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x924ca4…
06-13 14:23:39	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xd51eb4…
06-13 07:06:10	Will USD/KRW hit 1350 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x563ba0…
06-13 06:59:55	will russia capture borova by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0xd70f57…
06-13 03:08:51	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0xe6427b…
06-13 00:49:25	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x5f37c0…
06-13 00:23:07	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x46e3f2…
06-13 00:23:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xf6a149…
06-13 00:23:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xe23fab…
06-13 00:23:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x888709…
06-13 00:23:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x238e5e…
06-12 22:53:52	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x58e635…
06-12 21:40:22	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x0c18fd…
06-12 19:05:04	Will USD/KRW hit 1350 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xb4b0d4…
06-12 17:17:42	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x718d08…
06-12 17:14:58	grok 4pt4 released by june 15	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xb8217b…
06-12 17:01:36	Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	2¢	$2	0x2b43d9…
06-12 15:12:58	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x01a830…
06-12 15:12:52	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x246122…
06-12 14:46:45	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x5aa12f…
06-12 13:47:13	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0xb7c1e1…
06-12 13:10:28	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x6537bc…
06-12 13:10:22	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	9¢	$12	0x00816b…
06-12 12:46:39	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xe853d2…
06-12 12:36:45	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x732af4…
06-12 12:16:52	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x507724…
06-12 11:28:00	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x6ac70b…
06-12 11:05:57	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x85f3e9…
06-12 10:44:57	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xf87cf5…
06-12 10:15:13	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x3cdc41…
06-12 10:15:00	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	63¢	$42	0x16e32f…
06-12 09:32:22	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4df55e…
06-12 09:32:21	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x465ebe…
06-12 09:32:19	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x723538…
06-12 09:32:18	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x006dde…
06-12 09:32:16	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x40efbd…
06-12 09:31:00	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xa1524c…
06-12 09:20:42	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xddfd7d…
06-12 09:20:30	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xef3a53…
06-12 09:20:30	Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6d6f2f…
06-12 09:19:55	Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xcce8c1…
06-12 09:17:48	will noble launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xe01330…
06-12 09:17:48	Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x5acbce…
06-12 09:04:19	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	No	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xd1ae60…
06-12 08:05:18	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x7a9722…
06-12 07:31:03	will claude code commits hit low 350pt0k by june 30	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x616559…
06-12 05:52:37	will ecdsafail get at least 40 ahead of googles classified circuit by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd91cd6…
06-12 04:17:27	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xd36066…
06-12 02:41:52	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x8b58e8…
06-12 01:33:16	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x3657f3…
06-12 00:15:30	will bad bunny attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730809	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$1	0xd43be0…
06-11 22:51:31	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	20¢	$9	0x30c96a…
06-11 22:49:39	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by june 30	No	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xcf2a41…
06-11 21:30:42	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x2ae96a…
06-11 21:14:10	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd6c932…
06-11 19:44:52	will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x582e0a…
06-11 19:27:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x7d8dbb…
06-11 19:15:01	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 25b	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa2a799…
06-11 19:13:24	will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb737d4…
06-11 19:13:22	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x4efd57…
06-11 18:57:52	Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x08ff7f…
06-11 18:09:04	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x0bce32…
06-11 17:44:28	Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x26de77…
06-11 16:44:27	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x68d1fe…
06-11 16:44:25	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xc84bd1…
06-11 16:44:24	will noble launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xe6f960…
06-11 16:44:24	Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	92	20¢	$18	0xe60239…