Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$13,039
$206 in 24h
Trades
568
Unique wallets
171
Liquidity
$3,015
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 06:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $567 | $1.7K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $1.7K | $571 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $761 | $1.6K | $864 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 82 | $845 | $1.8K | $921 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $257 | $739 | $482 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $50 | $100 | $50 |
| Median | 14 | $63 | $337 | $274 |
| Below median | 19 | $93 | $557 | $464 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $7 | $692 | $685 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $646 | $340 | +$306 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $411 | $175 | +$236 |
| unranked | 84 | $2.3K | $2.7K | $351 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Avenue 0x5999…ae94 | Yes | +1,729 | $1,074 | $1,099 | 4 | 06-27 09:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,664 | $251 | $251 | 25 | 07-01 04:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x934f…8f63 | No | +1,020 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-29 21:39 |
| Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | No | +777 | $645 | $645 | 6 | 06-26 17:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +711 | $260 | $260 | 9 | 06-29 15:32 |
| Mad-Standing 0xd697…def2 | Yes | +596 | $256 | $256 | 3 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b…b4d9 | No | +596 | $354 | $354 | 3 | 06-25 05:13 |
| Grown-Billion 0x0da4…edde | No | +400 | $252 | $252 | 2 | 06-23 17:06 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +395 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 06-27 01:52 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | +387 | $364 | $364 | 2 | 06-27 04:36 |
| Lopsided-Scotch 0x4214…6c68 | Yes | +300 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 06-23 17:06 |
| Sympathetic-Shutdown 0xffe7…89bf | No | +290 | $79 | $97 | 6 | 06-25 11:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 4 | 07-01 06:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +199 | $144 | $150 | 4 | 06-29 21:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +181 | $67 | $153 | 13 | 06-29 21:39 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | No | +154 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 06-23 16:17 |
| Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | +150 | $134 | $134 | 2 | 06-26 19:58 |
| Gifted-Rancher 0xe338…64ad | No | +130 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-23 05:39 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | Yes | +125 | $10 | $10 | 6 | 06-29 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x75f4…974b | No | +118 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-18 02:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | +118 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 21:39 |
| Charming-Representative 0x973f…72cc | Yes | +112 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-09 21:37 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +112 | $6 | $51 | 4 | 06-06 14:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +112 | $100 | $393 | 7 | 06-07 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x07a6…48f5 | No | +106 | $100 | $236 | 9 | 06-29 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3387…c3f7 | No | +102 | $52 | $52 | 5 | 06-21 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x70ce…dd52 | Yes | +101 | $43 | $43 | 5 | 06-25 13:46 |
| Roasted-Whirlpool 0x5e89…6c42 | Yes | +80 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-23 05:39 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +67 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-25 11:17 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +67 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 06-25 07:12 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +55 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-25 20:18 |
| Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | No | +54 | $42 | $53 | 7 | 06-28 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0126…b3cc | Yes | +52 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 03:36 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | No | +51 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6851…bc38 | No | +51 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 06-21 21:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +50 | $37 | $129 | 5 | 06-22 10:33 |
| Dapper-Baseball 0xa6b7…d5f3 | Yes | +50 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-18 03:21 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 15:34 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:53 |
| Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | +42 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-27 01:52 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | +32 | $27 | $40 | 3 | 06-22 10:33 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | Yes | +32 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 06-21 20:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-21 16:44 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-21 02:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaed…19c4 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-22 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +24 | $4 | $13 | 7 | 06-18 02:23 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | +24 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-22 00:00 |
| Orderly-Gator 0x6191…5d4d | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-23 23:43 |
| Partial-Cultivator 0x3687…d8fc | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-17 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd085…addb | Yes | +20 | $4 | $8 | 5 | 06-26 06:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb394…e4f5 | Yes | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 18:01 |
| Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-29 00:02 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +15 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-22 21:12 |
| Quixotic-Fusarium 0xd1c9…203f | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-29 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8636…81d8 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-23 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x248b…c826 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-23 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6135…715a | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 21:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 06:20:44 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x589b72… |
| 07-01 06:20:44 | Meaty-Culvert 0x4035…7e1c | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x589b72… |
| 07-01 06:20:41 | Glamorous-Chicken 0xb526…83c6 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2f41ac… |
| 07-01 06:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2f41ac… |
| 07-01 06:20:41 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f41ac… |
| 07-01 04:53:07 | Aggressive-Parcel 0x4ed7…c4fe | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x35957d… |
| 07-01 04:53:07 | Good-Regime 0x5504…6364 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2434b4… |
| 07-01 04:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x35957d… |
| 07-01 04:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2434b4… |
| 07-01 04:53:05 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c429f… |
| 07-01 04:53:05 | (anonymous) 0x6a48…7d3b | No | BUY | 221 | 100¢ | $221 | 0x0c429f… |
| 07-01 04:53:05 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c429f… |
| 07-01 04:53:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 143 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c429f… |
| 07-01 04:53:05 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x0c429f… |
| 06-30 22:01:47 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb54339… |
| 06-30 22:01:47 | (anonymous) 0x5fbc…796f | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb54339… |
| 06-30 11:32:47 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaab2f6… |
| 06-30 11:32:47 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaab2f6… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x934f…8f63 | No | BUY | 1,020 | 98¢ | $1,000 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x65cf95… |
| 06-29 21:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x07a6…48f5 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x515c11… |
| 06-29 21:32:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x515c11… |
| 06-29 18:44:01 | Admired-Rice 0x2fd2…5997 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x6a54f1… |
| 06-29 18:44:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x6a54f1… |
| 06-29 18:00:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x7f4e28… |
| 06-29 18:00:19 | Creative-Governance 0x4a9b…ceb6 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x7f4e28… |
| 06-29 16:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x70cb…99eb | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xc6b2dd… |
| 06-29 16:00:31 | Decimal-Ginseng 0xc2ca…4419 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xc6b2dd… |
| 06-29 15:32:11 | Famous-Tea 0x633b…ff9e | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x67ef63… |
| 06-29 15:32:11 | Another-Commotion 0xbeec…707b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x67ef63… |
| 06-29 15:32:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x67ef63… |
| 06-29 15:32:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x67ef63… |
| 06-29 15:31:38 | Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb9636d… |
| 06-29 15:31:38 | Imperfect-Warren 0x23fb…c52b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb9636d… |
| 06-29 13:59:29 | Glamorous-Snap 0x640c…9681 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xc60f08… |
| 06-29 13:59:29 | Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc60f08… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x3b39af… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Good-Regime 0x5504…6364 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3b39af… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Aggressive-Parcel 0x4ed7…c4fe | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x46fe8e… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb0b8b7… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbffc23… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Quixotic-Fusarium 0xd1c9…203f | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xbffc23… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe489d8… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Meaty-Culvert 0x4035…7e1c | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xb0b8b7… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3e4e21… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb0b8b7… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x46fe8e… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Glamorous-Chicken 0xb526…83c6 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x3e4e21… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3b39af… |
| 06-29 00:02:44 | Curvy-Fortune 0x87b2…30ec | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xe489d8… |
| 06-28 07:27:50 | Formal-Sunrise 0x2d62…0a41 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0e37d6… |
| 06-28 07:27:50 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x0e37d6… |
| 06-28 07:27:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0e37d6… |
| 06-27 23:25:19 | Famous-Audience 0x21d5…6f93 | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x443b8f… |
| 06-27 23:25:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x443b8f… |
| 06-27 14:42:29 | Bruised-Retrospectivity 0xbdf9…0e7c | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x9ba843… |
| 06-27 14:42:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x9ba843… |
| 06-27 14:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x9ba843… |
| 06-27 13:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x07a6…48f5 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x84f5da… |
| 06-27 13:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84f5da… |
| 06-27 13:06:22 | Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x84f5da… |
| 06-27 12:08:46 | Knobby-Crayfish 0x0966…514b | No | SELL | 27 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xae17c1… |
| 06-27 12:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x07a6…48f5 | No | BUY | 84 | 95¢ | $80 | 0xae17c1… |
| 06-27 12:08:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xae17c1… |
| 06-27 12:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae17c1… |
| 06-27 12:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xae17c1… |
| 06-27 09:05:50 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x59b833… |
| 06-27 09:05:50 | Empty-Avenue 0x5999…ae94 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x59b833… |
| 06-27 04:36:40 | Useless-Defense 0xf112…2d0c | No | SELL | 128 | 94¢ | $121 | 0xa701ab… |
| 06-27 04:36:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xa701ab… |
| 06-27 04:36:40 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xa701ab… |
| 06-27 04:36:40 | Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | BUY | 78 | 94¢ | $73 | 0xa701ab… |
| 06-27 01:52:17 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x590a18… |
| 06-27 01:52:17 | Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4…395d | No | BUY | 309 | 94¢ | $290 | 0x590a18… |
| 06-27 01:52:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x590a18… |
| 06-27 01:52:17 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 320 | 6¢ | $19 | 0x590a18… |
| 06-26 21:02:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xfe9569… |
| 06-26 21:02:49 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xfe9569… |
| 06-26 19:58:35 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x336f98… |
| 06-26 19:58:35 | Livid-Loft 0x7ed3…27aa | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x336f98… |
| 06-26 19:58:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xf502ea… |
| 06-26 19:58:26 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xf502ea… |
| 06-26 19:58:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf502ea… |
| 06-26 19:58:26 | (anonymous) 0x07a6…48f5 | No | SELL | 78 | 87¢ | $68 | 0xf502ea… |
| 06-26 17:07:41 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x67192c… |
| 06-26 17:07:41 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x67192c… |
| 06-26 17:07:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x67192c… |
| 06-26 17:07:41 | Squeaky-Polyp 0x7e1d…4d41 | No | BUY | 220 | 78¢ | $172 | 0x67192c… |
| 06-26 17:07:41 | Empty-Avenue 0x5999…ae94 | Yes | BUY | 701 | 17¢ | $118 | 0x67192c… |
| 06-26 15:34:35 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x1c8708… |
| 06-26 15:34:35 | Subtle-Creditor 0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x1c8708… |
| 06-26 15:34:05 | Green-Recruit 0x22db…190f | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x50a297… |
| 06-26 15:34:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x50a297… |
| 06-26 15:34:05 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 46 | 91¢ | $42 | 0x50a297… |
| 06-26 15:34:05 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x50a297… |