Admired-Rice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,242

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

67% 93% $-6

Politics

23% 100% +$6

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$248	127	127	+0	open	—	04-02 16:12
bitboy convicted	1	$150	163	0	+163	open	—	03-30 18:01
will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt0 on march 27 2026	3	$139	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 19:08
will trump post cnn fake news or fake news cnn on truth social this week	2	$122	137	0	+137	open	—	03-28 19:58
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 23corhigher	3	$121	130	0	+130	open	—	03-27 18:35
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$115	133	0	+133	open	—	04-03 18:01
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	1	$111	116	0	+116	open	—	04-02 18:01
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 17corhigher	6	$110	121	0	+121	open	—	04-03 18:25
will trump post impeach or impeachment on truth social this week	5	$108	115	0	+115	open	—	03-29 18:16
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$108	122	0	+122	open	—	03-28 18:20
will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
will mrbeasts latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5	5	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	1	$103	109	0	+109	open	—	03-27 18:25
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$103	117	0	+117	open	—	03-30 18:31
bitcoin above 70k on april 9	2	$100	56	56	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	04-02 16:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	1	$94	108	0	+108	open	—	04-02 18:11
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	2	$93	97	0	+97	open	—	04-03 18:35
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 18:04
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 20c	1	$87	98	0	+98	open	—	03-27 18:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 14c	3	$83	88	0	+88	open	—	04-02 18:56
will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	3	$81	84	0	+84	open	—	03-28 19:38
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	1	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	04-02 18:21
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 21c	1	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	04-02 18:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 5 2026 16c	3	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	04-04 18:43
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 78 79f	3	$79	84	0	+84	open	—	04-03 19:42
will trump say save act or save america act during the white house easter egg roll	1	$78	87	0	+87	open	—	04-05 18:02
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	1	$75	84	0	+84	open	—	04-01 18:14
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-28 19:31
highest temperature in wuhan on march 28 2026 22corhigher	3	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-27 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:26:28	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 500b	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc6ae7f…
06-09 18:05:34	will oracle q4 cloud revenue be above 9pt75b	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3572e2…
06-08 20:32:49	will trumps remarks not air 20260608165428979	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd1be85…
06-07 22:05:10	will solana dip to 60 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb9a452…
06-07 21:34:42	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xaefcf0…
06-07 19:42:48	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x541885…
06-07 18:51:54	will apple announce a standalone siri app during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x92c822…
06-07 18:01:04	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x5b4489…
06-05 20:14:25	ethereum above 1700 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe29498…
06-05 18:01:36	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 6	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfdd113…
05-17 20:09:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe994d3…
05-17 19:13:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x43a7f4…
05-17 18:08:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x912793…
05-16 21:58:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 16?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x31cfa8…
05-15 05:26:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xdabf04…
05-15 05:23:28	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xb06d1a…
05-14 23:07:09	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x9f5c13…
05-14 22:06:56	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xa461c0…
05-14 21:46:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x941595…
05-14 21:26:23	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x272398…
05-14 21:16:11	Will Situational Awareness add Qualcomm to its March 31, 2026 13F?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x44dabc…
05-14 21:06:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe23890…
05-14 20:45:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8d4b3e…
05-14 20:35:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xc04bad…
05-14 20:25:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0837ce…
05-14 20:04:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x1d3b6d…
05-14 18:25:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$37	0xf9c2ce…
05-14 18:23:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xb99dc6…
05-13 18:08:58	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0615f7…
05-12 18:18:07	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xe8ac6b…
05-08 19:39:27	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 8?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7c3aed…
05-07 21:13:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x6e3534…
05-07 21:03:42	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x1294a3…
05-07 20:43:24	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0f10bd…
05-07 20:34:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb35c89…
05-07 20:33:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x1e4cce…
05-07 20:12:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xb5b263…
05-07 20:02:41	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x9c23a4…
05-07 18:26:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x0dbc30…
05-07 18:11:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xdef478…
05-05 20:02:28	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc3bdc6…
05-05 18:01:14	DoorDash total orders above 980M in Q1?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xac2d02…
05-05 00:55:40	Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xae3f12…
05-05 00:23:24	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x1d0c87…
05-04 21:16:10	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x6a11e5…
05-04 18:44:00	Will JD Vance say "Iowa" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x65e6f2…
05-04 18:13:32	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x797d27…
05-04 06:40:06	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$32	0x3e3b67…
05-03 22:21:32	Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7a1ad9…
05-03 22:11:22	Palantir total customers above 980 in Q1?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xcf9ae3…
05-03 22:01:14	Paramount+ subscribers above 82M in Q1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x11d9c9…
05-03 19:18:18	Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x884db5…
05-03 18:57:56	Will Zendaya be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x11f135…
05-03 18:47:40	Will Zoë Kravitz be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xaa585b…
05-03 18:37:28	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xc6f8e3…
05-03 18:27:16	Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x87e75b…
05-03 18:17:04	Will Beyoncé be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7994bd…
05-03 18:06:54	Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x38a60e…
05-02 23:45:46	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xbc1b16…
05-02 22:27:10	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4abfa8…
05-02 18:03:16	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Strait of Hormuz", "Strait", or "Hormuz" this week?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xb64e07…
05-01 19:10:46	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x942688…
04-30 22:32:44	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x49e232…
04-30 22:11:00	Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x697c19…
04-30 22:08:00	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x107f49…
04-30 22:00:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x353fc0…
04-30 21:50:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x68f192…
04-30 21:46:04	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x326200…
04-30 21:40:26	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x3f7291…
04-30 21:30:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x74eb7d…
04-30 21:20:16	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x6c5c20…
04-30 21:10:06	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3ff049…
04-30 20:39:36	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5b41dd…
04-30 20:29:24	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $147 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x23368d…
04-30 20:19:16	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xdc8b69…
04-30 20:09:10	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x1b8d9e…
04-27 22:42:54	Will King Charles say "Ballroom" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x5aaaef…
04-27 22:12:36	Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xa2d12d…
04-27 22:00:26	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xb728c3…
04-27 21:52:12	Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xea8534…
04-27 19:39:02	Will King Charles say "Colony" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	37	94¢	$34	0x4029e0…
04-27 19:28:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x30ce7b…
04-27 19:08:12	Will King Charles say "Historic" or "History" or "Historical" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x7e28ad…
04-27 18:57:58	Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xbab446…
04-27 18:37:26	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xac29c9…
04-27 18:27:14	Will King Charles say "Ballroom" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x3d250f…
04-27 18:16:44	Will King Charles say "Colony" during the joint meeting of Congress?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x31eb6d…
04-27 18:06:32	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x4a9745…
04-26 20:38:30	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x2eddbc…
04-26 20:35:08	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x88c04a…
04-26 20:26:28	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xc81061…
04-26 18:39:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x08eead…
04-26 18:24:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x897c79…
04-26 18:13:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfa8221…
04-26 18:09:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xec88fd…
04-26 01:40:12	Will Trump say "Death to America" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xb54d3a…
04-26 00:37:42	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x0f4dd3…
04-26 00:07:42	Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0x5c6955…
04-25 23:07:26	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x367b35…
04-25 23:03:46	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Leo" this week? (April 20 - 26)	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x8c8711…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	531	$634.1K	53,073	05-04 10:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	437	$15.8M	29,422	06-07 11:09
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	425	$153.5K	15,758	06-08 21:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	421	$47.8K	11,640	06-07 05:01
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	395	$61.3K	14,290	05-08 03:28
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	389	$45.3K	2,649	06-09 06:02
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	379	$322.9K	30,939	04-06 21:44
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	371	$1.14M	24,394	06-07 18:20