Admired-Rice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,344

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-21 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

69% 93% $-6

Politics

22% 100% +$6

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+11	$10	96¢	$11	+$1	06-16 18:08
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-16 22:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$248	127	127	+0	open	—	04-02 16:12
bitboy convicted	1	$150	163	0	+163	open	—	03-30 18:01
will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt0 on march 27 2026	3	$139	160	0	+160	open	—	03-27 19:08
will trump post cnn fake news or fake news cnn on truth social this week	2	$122	137	0	+137	open	—	03-28 19:58
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 23corhigher	3	$121	130	0	+130	open	—	03-27 18:35
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$115	133	0	+133	open	—	04-03 18:01
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	1	$111	116	0	+116	open	—	04-02 18:01
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 17corhigher	6	$110	121	0	+121	open	—	04-03 18:25
will trump post impeach or impeachment on truth social this week	5	$108	115	0	+115	open	—	03-29 18:16
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$108	122	0	+122	open	—	03-28 18:20
will mrbeasts latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
will mrbeasts latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5	5	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
bitcoin above 68k on march 28	1	$103	109	0	+109	open	—	03-27 18:25
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$103	117	0	+117	open	—	03-30 18:31
bitcoin above 70k on april 9	2	$100	56	56	+0	open	—	04-09 14:15
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	04-02 16:12
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 100 119	1	$94	108	0	+108	open	—	04-02 18:11
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	2	$93	97	0	+97	open	—	04-03 18:35
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 18:04
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 20c	1	$87	98	0	+98	open	—	03-27 18:35
highest temperature in seoul on april 3 2026 14c	3	$83	88	0	+88	open	—	04-02 18:56
will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	3	$81	84	0	+84	open	—	03-28 19:38
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 12 be between 80 and 85	1	$80	84	0	+84	open	—	04-02 18:21
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 21c	1	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	04-02 18:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 5 2026 16c	3	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	04-04 18:43
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 78 79f	3	$79	84	0	+84	open	—	04-03 19:42
will trump say save act or save america act during the white house easter egg roll	1	$78	87	0	+87	open	—	04-05 18:02
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	1	$75	84	0	+84	open	—	04-01 18:14
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-28 19:31
highest temperature in wuhan on march 28 2026 22corhigher	3	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-27 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 21:19:07	will ge vernova gev q2 orders be above 26b 20260707031052776	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x13a4a9…
07-21 21:08:57	will texas instruments txn q2 analog revenue be above 4b 20260707025511712	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6fa54e…
07-18 21:41:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots on target rodri gte2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfc42f6…
07-18 20:19:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots on target pau cubarsi gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6181f9…
07-18 20:09:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots on target nahuel molina gte1	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1c2faf…
07-18 19:28:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots on target cristian romero gte1	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc6582d…
07-17 22:21:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots on target bradley barcola gte4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x690905…
07-17 22:00:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots on target marc guehi gte1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x832653…
07-17 21:29:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots on target jules kounde gte1	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6baf17…
07-17 18:06:28	will steve rogers die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259195	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x52136c…
07-13 19:24:56	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt5b	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x786bd0…
07-13 18:44:19	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xaa9899…
07-13 18:23:58	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt7b	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe966e6…
07-13 18:13:46	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt3b	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x33e026…
07-13 18:03:37	will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x805cf4…
07-03 18:24:13	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xdc6626…
07-03 18:09:14	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3df350…
06-30 20:17:22	will natus vincere make a roster change before july 231	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x571c61…
06-30 20:07:07	Will Aurora make a roster change before July?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x094338…
06-30 19:46:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd1a056…
06-29 22:11:13	will trump speak to maria corina machado in june	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8dff7f…
06-29 19:26:37	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa23089…
06-29 19:15:47	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc06dac…
06-29 18:54:38	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x970eb1…
06-29 18:44:01	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6a54f1…
06-29 18:33:50	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8766ce…
06-28 18:05:31	fda approves arcutis zoryve cream 06 29 2026	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x17a6fa…
06-25 21:33:04	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 goals kerem akturkoglu gte1	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x20ff86…
06-25 21:22:43	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 goals folarin balogun gte1	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe85be1…
06-24 18:52:59	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 goals julian quinones gte1	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x044c4c…
06-24 18:42:46	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 goals adam hlozek gte1	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc52420…
06-24 18:32:37	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 assists lee jaesung gte1	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2eec02…
06-24 18:12:16	will nike q4 nike branded footwear revenue be above 6pt8b	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9d0ad4…
06-23 18:03:08	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 27pt5b	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa5491a…
06-22 22:07:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals ruben neves gte1	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30807f…
06-22 20:33:04	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals bernardo silva gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x31e740…
06-22 18:49:35	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 assists antonio nusa gte1	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5119dd…
06-20 22:23:35	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 20	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbfabe9…
06-19 18:13:53	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 goals casemiro gte1	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc98ca6…
06-18 21:37:55	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 goals alvaro fidalgo gte1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8bc894…
06-17 20:22:46	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals oston urunov gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x68200f…
06-17 20:12:23	yerry mina 20260609175657515	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc93b34…
06-17 19:51:46	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals eldor shomurodov gte1	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x237a90…
06-17 19:41:28	camilo vargas 20260609175657514	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1095e7…
06-17 19:31:10	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals daniel munoz gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe1b0d9…
06-17 19:00:16	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals jorge carrascal gte1	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5ac91a…
06-17 18:50:04	cucho hernandez 20260609175657521	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x726a74…
06-17 18:29:35	andres gomez 20260609175657528	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6fc64d…
06-16 22:23:07	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 saves jose sa gte3	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x78b7d8…
06-16 22:02:49	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x643b74…
06-16 20:10:53	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals mousa tamari gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x96ce3e…
06-16 20:00:41	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals ali azaizeh gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9a6905…
06-16 19:50:29	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals valentin barco gte1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc758d…
06-16 19:40:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cedric bakambu gte1	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2bf2e4…
06-16 19:29:58	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals xaver schlager gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1c4641…
06-16 19:19:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals gael kakuta gte1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xef63cd…
06-16 19:09:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals yoane wissa gte1	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa7b1aa…
06-16 18:59:26	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals giuliano simeone gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9cead3…
06-16 18:49:19	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals riyad mahrez gte1	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5c3c74…
06-16 18:39:10	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals giovani lo celso gte1	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x17f774…
06-16 18:29:02	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals alessandro schopf gte1	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5d895a…
06-16 18:08:44	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9089bb…
06-15 20:54:00	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 assists dennis eckert gte1	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x369fe0…
06-15 18:28:28	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 goals amirhossein hosseinzadeh gte1	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb51d3d…
06-15 18:18:16	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 goals callum mccowatt gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xead082…
06-14 18:57:24	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 assists elias saad gte1	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5934ab…
06-14 18:47:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 assists gabriel gudmundsson gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9d5c9c…
06-14 18:26:31	will ethereum dip to 1600 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x39df67…
06-14 18:16:22	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 goals firas chaouat gte1	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdb6150…
06-14 18:06:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 goals anis ben slimane gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7e5b29…
06-13 22:08:42	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 assists scott mckenna gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x388c7b…
06-13 21:57:34	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 goals cristian volpato gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x646477…
06-13 20:09:16	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 goals connor metcalfe gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7bc7cc…
06-13 19:38:13	luiz henrique 20260609165807842	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x700c37…
06-13 19:27:45	lucas paqueta 20260609165807838	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x65ab31…
06-13 19:17:19	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 goals duckens nazon gte1	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x266688…
06-13 19:10:40	igor thiago 20260609165807841	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xd18069…
06-13 19:06:57	igor thiago 20260609165807841	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd99ea7…
06-13 18:56:36	alex sandro 20260609165807825	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9bc05b…
06-13 18:36:01	endrick 20260609165807839	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe0a326…
06-13 18:25:37	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 goals jackson irvine gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x93b802…
06-12 22:18:04	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 goals neymar jr gte1	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x70f87e…
06-12 21:15:16	will future perform real sisters at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530435	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xeee52d…
06-12 21:04:51	will future perform same damn time at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530429	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3e0108…
06-12 20:54:10	will future perform like that at 2026 fifa opening ceremony 20260610141530421	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb9764…
06-12 20:33:01	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists miguel almiron gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x122254…
06-12 20:22:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals manuel akanji gte1	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe9f452…
06-12 20:12:04	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc4139f…
06-12 20:01:52	will biology be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706085	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x539adb…
06-12 19:30:40	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals akram afif gte1	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x10966c…
06-12 18:59:51	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists antonee robinson gte1	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x41fae4…
06-12 18:49:40	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists gustavo velazquez gte1	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa94c61…
06-12 18:39:28	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 assists folarin balogun gte1	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x93c641…
06-12 18:29:16	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x421a0e…
06-12 18:09:03	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf07368…
06-11 21:40:06	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 goals kim jingyu gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x42716a…
06-11 21:29:46	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 goals jonathan david gte2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xabdf93…
06-11 21:19:21	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 assists edin dzeko gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x257858…
06-11 20:15:55	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 goals ismael kone gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0125a2…
06-11 20:05:37	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 assists amar dedic gte1	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2a7c54…