(anonymous) 0x33878f…b9c3f7
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$431
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
826
lifetime
Volume
$22.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.36K
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-08 22:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60% — —
Other
24% — —
Tech
16% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +581 $273 46¢ $264 $-9 07-09 04:17
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +613 $245 34¢ $211 $-34 06-15 18:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +245 $181 68¢ $168 $-13 07-05 08:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +400 $291 34¢ $134 $-157 06-28 14:38
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +414 $238 32¢ $130 $-108 06-30 15:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +146 $127 88¢ $128 +$1 06-21 08:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +112 $100 84¢ $94 $-6 07-05 20:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +182 $109 23¢ $42 $-67 06-19 21:06
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No +169 $50 23¢ $40 $-10 06-24 19:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +106 $63 34¢ $36 $-27 06-16 21:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -192 $-46 15¢ $-28 +$18 06-16 21:27
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +27 $24 100¢ $27 +$3 06-20 14:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +84 $39 30¢ $25 $-14 07-02 17:53
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +35 $13 40¢ $14 +$1 07-05 10:29
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +154 $18 6¢ $10 $-8 06-15 19:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 $-0 06-21 04:13