Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b3b…e8b4d9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$420
Unrealized P&L
-$5.08K
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
16
Trades
9,161
lifetime
Volume
$2.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$225
Open exposure
$14.1K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
61% 30% +$59
Other
34% 67% +$361
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +24,481 $8,916 20¢ $5.0K $-3,897 06-09 18:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,657 $-1,913 72¢ $-1899 +$13 05-29 14:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +8,202 $1,518 16¢ $1.4K $-165 06-09 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,765 $1,120 30¢ $843 $-277 06-08 17:47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -743 $-661 86¢ $-635 +$26 06-04 12:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +5,314 $1,177 11¢ $585 $-592 06-07 22:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -955 $-563 60¢ $-578 $-14 05-31 02:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -738 $-553 76¢ $-557 $-4 06-09 10:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -775 $-605 68¢ $-523 +$81 05-29 11:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +801 $408 64¢ $508 +$100 06-09 13:46
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes -452 $-427 100¢ $-451 $-25 05-31 18:09
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -417 $-311 66¢ $-277 +$34 05-30 15:14
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -154 $-149 99¢ $-152 $-2 06-09 09:18
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -927 $-120 15¢ $-134 $-14 06-09 10:19
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -445 $-174 29¢ $-127 +$47 06-02 10:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +159 $100 72¢ $113 +$13 06-08 10:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +346 $100 32¢ $112 +$12 05-30 09:35
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,884 $139 4¢ $79 $-60 06-09 09:09
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +77 $20 100¢ $77 +$57 06-01 13:28
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +492 $100 9¢ $46 $-54 06-09 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +361 $375 10¢ $34 $-340 06-08 10:27
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +200 $39 9¢ $17 $-22 05-30 14:18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +90 $5 6¢ $5 $-0 06-08 18:35