Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b3b…e8b4d9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$420
Unrealized P&L
+$3.18K
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
16
Trades
11,073
lifetime
Volume
$2.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$216
Open exposure
$40.2K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
62% 30% +$59
Other
33% 67% +$361
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +13,407 $10,574 90¢ $12.1K +$1,499 06-30 18:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +11,150 $9,307 100¢ $11.1K +$1,816 06-24 13:09
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +9,284 $8,621 95¢ $8.8K +$156 06-27 18:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,657 $-1,913 84¢ $-2218 $-305 05-29 14:57
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,075 $2,405 66¢ $2.0K $-360 06-25 19:03
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2,026 $2,000 100¢ $2.0K +$21 06-23 06:32
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +596 $354 98¢ $584 +$230 06-25 05:13
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +384 $200 100¢ $383 +$183 06-20 13:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2,647 $1,556 10¢ $263 $-1,293 06-30 16:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +699 $-242 30¢ $213 +$455 06-27 13:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +710 $231 28¢ $195 $-36 06-30 00:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +159 $100 90¢ $144 +$44 06-08 10:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +500 $115 28¢ $137 +$22 06-30 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3,662 $1,921 0¢ $16 $-1,905 06-27 15:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -2,684 $-2,774 0¢ $-7 +$2,767 06-19 17:16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +492 $100 1¢ $3 $-97 06-09 15:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -96 $17 0¢ $-0 $-17 06-23 06:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +90 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-08 18:35