Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b3b…e8b4d9
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$420
Unrealized P&L
-$320
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
16
Trades
12,076
lifetime
Volume
$2.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$6.14K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
61% 30% +$59
Other
32% 67% +$361
Tech
3% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,097 $2,421 68¢ $2.1K $-330 07-10 11:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -2,657 $-1,913 76¢ $-2032 $-120 05-29 14:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,316 $500 44¢ $586 +$86 07-10 10:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +384 $200 100¢ $383 +$183 06-20 13:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $390 36¢ $355 $-35 07-08 02:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,700 $621 12¢ $337 $-284 07-15 22:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +159 $100 78¢ $125 +$25 06-08 10:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +500 $115 20¢ $102 $-12 06-30 20:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +117 $100 85¢ $100 $-0 07-14 07:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,949 $-142 1¢ $26 +$168 07-11 20:22