Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b3b…e8b4d9
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$35.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$11.0K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
1,332
Trades
20,116
lifetime
Volume
$3.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$100.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 06:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Politics
60% 59% +$60,863
Other
34% 60% -$18,113
Tech
3% 67% -$21,267
Sports
3% 50% +$11,720
Crypto
0% 75% +$2,266
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$124
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +27,501 $19,927 76¢ $21.0K +$1,111 10-28 08:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12,293 -$9,712 94¢ $-11494 -$1,783 04-30 18:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20,106 $15,929 48¢ $9.7K -$6,279 10-28 01:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,312 -$7,783 82¢ $-8404 -$622 05-23 21:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,501 $9,357 72¢ $7.6K -$1,744 10-26 20:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -6,850 -$4,727 86¢ $-5925 -$1,198 05-29 14:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,428 $5,320 68¢ $5.7K +$369 10-26 13:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,072 $3,592 95¢ $3.9K +$277 10-27 01:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,956 $2,417 96¢ $3.8K +$1,368 10-26 18:47
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,605 $2,741 74¢ $2.7K -$55 10-23 23:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,329 $1,151 96¢ $2.2K +$1,073 10-26 20:09
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +5,818 $1,481 36¢ $2.1K +$642 10-18 21:56
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,847 $1,697 96¢ $1.8K +$68 10-27 20:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,660 $2,500 37¢ $1.4K -$1,146 09-27 18:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,200 $951 16¢ $1.3K +$320 10-03 11:54
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,557 $1,467 80¢ $1.2K -$222 10-22 09:08
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,226 $1,000 98¢ $1.2K +$208 10-27 21:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,365 -$941 79¢ $-1077 -$136 05-31 02:40
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,953 $1,533 34¢ $1.0K -$515 10-27 18:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,040 $2,436 16¢ $781 -$1,655 10-23 18:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,820 $959 28¢ $775 -$184 10-19 17:43
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +1,639 $842 46¢ $762 -$80 10-27 21:13
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +1,477 $788 50¢ $739 -$50 10-21 21:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,083 $750 34¢ $719 -$31 10-27 11:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,251 $600 52¢ $650 +$50 10-28 01:09
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,041 $497 56¢ $579 +$82 10-24 21:37
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +4,982 $1,071 12¢ $573 -$498 09-28 18:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -537 -$397 86¢ $-459 -$63 05-29 11:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +902 $797 50¢ $451 -$346 10-21 19:32
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,073 -$414 39¢ $-414 +$0 04-30 19:10