Brown-Tragedy 0xb51b3b…e8b4d9
whale hot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$35.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.75K
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved
1,330
Trades
19,998
lifetime
Volume
$3.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$106.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 264 days
Categories
Politics
59% 59% +$60,727
Other
34% 60% -$18,113
Tech
3% 67% -$21,267
Sports
3% 50% +$11,740
Crypto
0% 75% +$2,266
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$124
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +26,144 $18,863 76¢ $19.9K +$1,007 10-26 18:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25,346 $17,311 74¢ $18.6K +$1,318 10-27 01:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -12,293 -$9,712 94¢ $-11494 -$1,783 04-30 18:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,312 -$7,783 82¢ $-8404 -$622 05-23 21:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +10,501 $9,357 72¢ $7.5K -$1,849 10-26 20:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -6,850 -$4,727 86¢ $-5856 -$1,129 05-29 14:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +8,428 $5,320 66¢ $5.6K +$285 10-26 13:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,072 $3,592 94¢ $3.8K +$236 10-27 01:25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,956 $2,417 88¢ $3.5K +$1,052 10-26 18:47
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,605 $2,741 74¢ $2.6K -$91 10-23 23:08
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,200 $951 28¢ $2.3K +$1,304 10-03 11:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,329 $1,151 92¢ $2.1K +$991 10-26 20:09
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +5,818 $1,481 34¢ $2.0K +$497 10-18 21:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3,660 $2,500 38¢ $1.4K -$1,127 09-27 18:54
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,847 $1,292 72¢ $1.3K +$29 10-26 15:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,557 $1,467 78¢ $1.2K -$245 10-22 09:08
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,365 -$941 82¢ $-1112 -$172 05-31 02:40
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,390 $1,000 72¢ $994 -$6 10-27 02:01
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,667 $1,433 33¢ $880 -$553 10-25 23:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,820 $959 30¢ $832 -$127 10-19 17:43
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +1,477 $788 56¢ $827 +$39 10-21 21:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,040 $2,436 15¢ $731 -$1,706 10-23 18:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,982 $1,071 12¢ $623 -$448 09-28 18:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,041 $497 54¢ $566 +$69 10-24 21:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +1,216 $642 46¢ $553 -$89 10-26 22:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +902 $797 53¢ $478 -$319 10-21 19:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -537 -$397 86¢ $-460 -$63 05-29 11:19
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +1,799 $688 24¢ $432 -$256 10-16 18:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,073 -$414 38¢ $-410 +$5 04-30 19:10
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +435 $400 92¢ $401 +$1 10-26 15:44