Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
69
Trades
3,029
lifetime
Volume
$19.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$580
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-01 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
78% 62% $-36
Crypto
9% 100% +$2
Sports
8% 100% +$6
Politics
5%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 381 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +46 $40 97¢ $44 +$4 06-29 13:08
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? No +37 $35 100¢ $37 +$2 06-28 04:31
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +26 $20 99¢ $26 +$6 06-30 06:26
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +25 $20 99¢ $25 +$5 07-01 01:35
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 06-28 00:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +22 $20 100¢ $22 +$2 06-28 01:05
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-28 23:08
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-28 00:40
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-28 05:39
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 06-15 04:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 06-28 06:23
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-28 23:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +25 $20 77¢ $19 $-1 07-01 00:18
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-17 08:44
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-17 01:34
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-17 03:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +16 $15 100¢ $16 +$1 06-17 01:34
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-17 10:44
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 06-18 12:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +16 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 06-21 05:04
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$1 06-28 00:04
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-17 16:33
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 06-17 20:56
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-17 00:44
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-17 20:26
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-20 21:14
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-17 01:34
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-19 20:12
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-17 23:02
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-19 13:23