Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet 0xe8c4d6…7d395d
whale hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$160.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$782
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
7,011
Trades
34,998
lifetime
Volume
$6.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$175
Open exposure
$34.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 10-28 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
57% 54% +$116,933
Sports
34% 54% +$67,052
Politics
7% 63% -$23,619
Crypto
2% 75% +$4,096
Tech
0% 50% -$3,662
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$134
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 628 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +12,280 $8,105 71¢ $8.7K +$614 09-06 23:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +3,092 $2,505 98¢ $3.0K +$510 10-10 01:57
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +4,445 $2,769 56¢ $2.5K -$279 10-10 11:30
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,333 $1,820 36¢ $1.6K -$238 10-09 13:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,862 $1,359 74¢ $1.4K +$28 10-05 12:10
Spread: Rockets (-8.5) Bucks — +2,403 $1,250 50¢ $1.2K -$36 10-28 10:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +3,376 $1,215 34¢ $1.2K -$51 10-07 01:26
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,836 $766 36¢ $1.0K +$241 10-06 07:06
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,077 $1,200 32¢ $969 -$231 10-05 12:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +967 $589 96¢ $923 +$334 10-02 18:40
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,217 $937 74¢ $907 -$30 10-05 12:09
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,284 $754 40¢ $902 +$148 10-05 12:08
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,089 $823 78¢ $854 +$30 10-07 16:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +880 $466 95¢ $836 +$370 09-30 13:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +2,300 $621 36¢ $821 +$200 10-06 02:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11,000 $2,919 6¢ $715 -$2,204 09-03 04:47
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +951 $467 70¢ $661 +$194 07-30 14:55
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +682 $327 84¢ $569 +$242 09-18 17:06
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +919 $441 62¢ $565 +$124 10-07 12:02
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +798 $626 66¢ $523 -$104 10-06 14:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,706 $971 29¢ $495 -$477 08-12 16:42
Thunder vs. Mavericks Mavericks +1,515 $500 32¢ $492 -$8 10-28 10:25
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +786 $503 60¢ $476 -$28 10-08 08:31
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +486 $330 96¢ $468 +$137 09-19 00:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +773 $502 60¢ $464 -$39 06-01 05:34
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +802 $465 56¢ $453 -$12 10-06 01:11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +451 $352 98¢ $442 +$91 10-08 14:03
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,516 $424 28¢ $417 -$7 10-05 12:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,031 $650 20¢ $416 -$234 10-08 19:50
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +638 $466 62¢ $396 -$70 10-22 04:29