Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1.51K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,245
lifetime
Volume
$682.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$161
Open exposure
$13.7K
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 06-09 18:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Sports
47%
Other
45%
Politics
7%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 470 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +1,491 $1,238 90¢ $1.3K +$104 06-01 12:19
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,346 $1,198 92¢ $1.2K +$47 06-02 16:38
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,334 $894 89¢ $1.2K +$293 06-01 07:27
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +1,191 $783 99¢ $1.2K +$399 06-02 00:26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1,131 $958 87¢ $982 +$24 06-09 09:21
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1,235 $593 67¢ $827 +$235 05-31 02:15
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +936 $642 81¢ $757 +$115 05-31 17:47
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +777 $738 96¢ $745 +$7 06-02 00:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +741 $689 95¢ $704 +$15 05-31 01:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +685 $630 94¢ $640 +$10 06-03 10:34
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +604 $525 95¢ $574 +$48 06-07 20:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +653 $477 86¢ $565 +$88 05-31 02:40
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +563 $394 95¢ $533 +$139 06-01 18:56
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +577 $404 80¢ $462 +$58 06-01 12:36
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +461 $277 90¢ $413 +$136 05-31 01:01
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +342 $329 99¢ $338 +$10 06-02 00:24
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +396 $309 78¢ $311 +$2 06-01 17:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +287 $258 86¢ $245 $-13 06-08 11:59
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +138 $136 100¢ $137 +$1 05-27 10:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,275 $370 10¢ $121 $-249 05-31 00:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +121 $77 80¢ $97 +$20 05-31 00:16
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +92 $82 98¢ $90 +$8 06-02 00:38
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +95 $76 90¢ $86 +$10 06-02 00:36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +35 $28 92¢ $32 +$5 05-31 00:13
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +26 $25 98¢ $26 +$1 06-03 06:15
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$1 06-03 00:24
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +17 $9 26¢ $5 $-5 05-31 03:36
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-01 02:49