Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$222
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7,949
lifetime
Volume
$1.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$13.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 06-30 11:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Sports
40%
Politics
8%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 470 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +1,491 $1,238 100¢ $1.5K +$248 06-01 12:19
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1,334 $894 100¢ $1.3K +$434 06-01 07:27
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +1,235 $593 100¢ $1.2K +$638 05-31 02:15
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1,131 $958 99¢ $1.1K +$165 06-09 09:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +936 $642 98¢ $916 +$274 05-31 17:47
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +777 $738 100¢ $774 +$35 06-02 00:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +741 $689 100¢ $740 +$50 05-31 01:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +685 $630 99¢ $681 +$50 06-03 10:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +653 $477 100¢ $651 +$175 05-31 02:40
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +604 $525 99¢ $599 +$73 06-07 20:03
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +577 $404 97¢ $562 +$158 06-01 12:36
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +536 $478 92¢ $492 +$14 06-29 22:41
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +461 $277 99¢ $455 +$179 05-31 01:01
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +555 $422 78¢ $436 +$14 06-20 17:40
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +396 $309 98¢ $386 +$77 06-01 17:40
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +667 $460 56¢ $377 $-83 06-20 01:18
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +387 $364 97¢ $374 +$10 06-27 04:36
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +342 $329 100¢ $341 +$13 06-02 00:24
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +138 $136 100¢ $137 +$1 05-27 10:33
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +95 $76 99¢ $94 +$18 06-02 00:36
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No +92 $82 100¢ $91 +$9 06-02 00:38
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? Yes +5,191 $830 $47 $-783 06-21 14:10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +35 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 05-31 00:13
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +26 $25 100¢ $26 +$1 06-03 06:15
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 06-03 00:24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,346 $1,198 $9 $-1,189 06-02 16:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,275 $370 $6 $-364 05-31 00:25
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$1 06-16 00:58
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-01 02:49
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +22 $5 $1 $-5 06-16 11:59