Curvy-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

112

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 02:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

96% 56% +$6

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 23:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-29 02:35
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 21:02
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-05 13:41
israel closes its airspace by june 12	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-12 12:53
Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 01:05
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 200plus	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-21 06:03
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:45
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:54
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 10:59
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:20
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-31 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-29 23:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 17:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-28 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 14:41
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 88 89f	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 20:08
highest temperature in moscow on april 22 2026 16corhigher	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-14 21:13
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	06-29 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	4	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	06-23 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-07 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-30 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 3?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-03 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-14 06:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 15?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-14 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 02:35:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x90e9a9…
06-29 00:02:44	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xe489d8…
06-28 03:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xcd304a…
06-28 03:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x75bfa9…
06-28 02:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9b5a1c…
06-27 04:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x48117f…
06-27 04:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa40faa…
06-26 06:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9d181c…
06-26 06:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1861a2…
06-25 12:45:07	Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf5c9ae…
06-25 05:13:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x84dbab…
06-25 05:13:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70062b…
06-24 11:14:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x05a094…
06-24 10:43:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x96965e…
06-23 06:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe8b665…
06-23 05:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x030a29…
06-23 05:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x37858a…
06-23 04:47:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4ddf16…
06-21 17:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6fa0d3…
06-21 16:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe5a9d5…
06-20 09:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xbe0620…
06-20 09:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2edbd2…
06-20 05:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd6259f…
06-19 23:54:56	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb4f4ca…
06-19 12:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94fcbb…
06-17 08:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2f6127…
06-17 08:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8feb8c…
06-17 08:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xce4994…
06-17 08:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x51e70f…
06-16 05:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x94d4fb…
06-16 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfb95d3…
06-14 22:19:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x66a097…
06-14 21:45:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0343b5…
06-14 21:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4c7798…
06-13 21:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x68ae33…
06-13 21:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x264e62…
06-12 20:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4859ae…
06-12 19:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x470bf7…
06-12 14:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x905834…
06-12 12:53:22	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x986863…
06-12 02:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd9b501…
06-12 02:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x94038c…
06-11 06:04:09	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xe71402…
06-09 07:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xda59cd…
06-09 06:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9bacb6…
06-08 09:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x77fce2…
06-08 09:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe4e2aa…
06-07 15:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x61bbc3…
06-07 13:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 8?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x972e3a…
06-06 23:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x53cea8…
06-06 23:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x466780…
06-06 19:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6cbc8c…
06-06 15:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59cccb…
06-06 12:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90b5f5…
06-06 00:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x77c971…
06-05 12:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf8f49d…
06-05 01:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xc9682c…
06-04 23:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb1466c…
06-04 05:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7b5ac3…
06-04 05:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1a622a…
06-03 01:05:10	Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe94e14…
06-03 00:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd8e4ca…
06-02 23:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3cf28d…
06-02 16:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x955774…
06-02 16:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x005016…
06-02 16:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf43740…
06-02 12:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe88992…
06-02 00:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd540ca…
06-01 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdb2536…
06-01 12:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa8ca51…
06-01 03:18:52	Will Rebecca Bennett be the Democratic nominee for NJ-07?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x942a1e…
05-31 22:16:18	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xedd29a…
05-31 17:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xfba7fa…
05-31 12:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x290834…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd4248f…
05-30 14:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf1657d…
05-30 12:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbe62ad…
05-29 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc9767f…
05-29 23:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2e79dc…
05-29 22:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd637cf…
05-29 21:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc6e059…
05-29 19:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd0a108…
05-29 19:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x13afda…
05-29 08:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x177f6b…
05-29 07:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8d9ed0…
05-29 03:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7db870…
05-28 23:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d211c…
05-28 13:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa70721…
05-28 12:57:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf04e85…
05-28 12:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xf6c4bb…
05-27 22:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x63ec78…
05-27 20:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5671e1…
05-27 16:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf7ff6e…
05-27 16:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8fd100…
05-27 12:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x793c00…
05-26 23:58:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x154a89…
05-26 23:58:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x871bf0…
05-26 20:20:42	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d72b9…
05-26 14:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xc565d5…
05-26 14:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xef4567…