Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,077
$43 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$4,518
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 06:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $2 | $324 | $322 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $8 | $101 | $93 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $324 | $324 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 6 | — | $46 | $46 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 13 | $7 | $54 | $47 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +446 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 10:47 |
| Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | +331 | $324 | $324 | 1 | 06-08 07:26 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +262 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-09 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x0bb8…4147 | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-09 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9741…7956 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-04 18:20 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +42 | $-0 | $1 | 3 | 06-14 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4670…05b0 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-05 18:35 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +3 | $0 | $1 | 7 | 06-09 10:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 06:53:28 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x321cb6… |
| 06-14 06:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x3de8…2447 | No | SELL | 110 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x321cb6… |
| 06-10 22:25:42 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 71 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x23c61a… |
| 06-10 22:25:42 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | SELL | 71 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x23c61a… |
| 06-09 10:47:36 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x900003… |
| 06-09 10:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x0bb8…4147 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x900003… |
| 06-09 10:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x6cc1…6375 | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x900003… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x8738…e1c5 | No | SELL | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x5730…5cff | Yes | SELL | 863 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 223 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | Parthenope 0xbf93…6e4f | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 37 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 446 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-09 10:47:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ad314… |
| 06-08 10:27:00 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x199f6d… |
| 06-08 10:27:00 | (anonymous) 0x60b6…fa26 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x199f6d… |
| 06-08 08:35:00 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 262 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x57dca3… |
| 06-08 08:35:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57dca3… |
| 06-08 08:35:00 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | SELL | 205 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x57dca3… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x138a…de2a | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x5871…7c2e | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | Pleasant-Councilor 0x42fa…1fc7 | No | BUY | 331 | 98¢ | $324 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x35d2…b3c1 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x68ed…8132 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x226e…4fe5 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-08 07:26:00 | (anonymous) 0xb2d0…d374 | No | SELL | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x998c7b… |
| 06-05 18:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x762d…bfb5 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe6305f… |
| 06-05 18:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x4670…05b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe6305f… |
| 06-04 18:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x60b6…fa26 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe06be9… |
| 06-04 18:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x4670…05b0 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe06be9… |
| 06-04 18:20:04 | (anonymous) 0x9741…7956 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xe06be9… |
| 06-02 08:56:56 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x53b7c1… |
| 06-02 08:56:56 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…e65a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x53b7c1… |
| 05-28 13:33:31 | Mundane-Hood 0x5e73…6697 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xe18e4b… |
| 05-28 13:33:31 | Firm-Supporter 0x28ed…e06f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe18e4b… |