Half-Currant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

349

Trades

747

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

73% 71% +$0

Crypto

18% 93% +$0

Politics

4% 56% $0

Sports

3% 56% $0

Tech

2% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No		-11	-$11	100¢	$-11	$0	04-29 13:46
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-27 06:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	7	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$0	08-10 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	6	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-14 10:06
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	3	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	08-24 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-11 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-22 22:22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-31 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-27 02:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 13?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-13 13:14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 26?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-26 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-29 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-06 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-27 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-27 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 11?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-11 09:21
bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-06 14:26
bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 24?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 28?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	06-28 11:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-09 07:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C on July 14?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-14 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-28 08:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-11 01:32
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 29?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-07 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	08-10 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 15?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-15 19:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:58:03	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x082abc…
09-01 13:17:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6bd313…
09-01 03:20:40	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x36cc5e…
09-01 02:58:54	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf2734a…
09-01 02:52:58	Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfb1d91…
09-01 02:13:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc517df…
09-01 02:06:46	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x64ede1…
08-31 22:19:45	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf7aa24…
08-31 22:15:04	Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x059099…
08-31 22:02:36	Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa94856…
08-31 18:36:25	Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3bebe7…
08-31 17:52:40	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x50debf…
08-31 15:36:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xeebb44…
08-31 15:35:07	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xfb3043…
08-31 15:26:03	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf0a433…
08-31 12:17:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x449dd5…
08-31 03:01:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1e5600…
08-31 01:46:33	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x8df880…
08-31 01:11:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf447de…
08-31 01:10:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x45cea2…
08-30 20:42:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on August 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x23cc26…
08-30 19:00:34	Iran leadership change by August 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7cdd7c…
08-30 17:22:03	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x26ea46…
08-30 06:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe00520…
08-29 23:41:40	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7ed238…
08-29 23:40:52	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94808c…
08-29 21:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe86b43…
08-29 18:02:48	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x270d5b…
08-29 12:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9b5d1…
08-29 12:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x42e445…
08-29 09:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x85608b…
08-28 10:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x32a645…
08-28 09:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc796bc…
08-28 08:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd79784…
08-28 02:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x542d4c…
08-28 00:35:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x679712…
08-28 00:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xe796ed…
08-28 00:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd496ac…
08-27 18:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x95b823…
08-27 18:21:10	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x736d37…
08-27 17:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 28?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd98103…
08-27 13:28:30	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59b0b2…
08-27 10:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4b7f63…
08-27 04:58:27	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7e97f1…
08-27 02:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x4eade7…
08-26 23:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3735b1…
08-26 19:56:36	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ff768…
08-26 19:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xad6773…
08-26 19:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb2ae66…
08-26 12:19:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6dda2d…
08-26 09:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x26cb71…
08-25 15:48:19	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x88b258…
08-25 15:07:01	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7e6d7…
08-25 05:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaffce6…
08-25 05:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28439c…
08-25 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c5b1f…
08-25 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x88d00f…
08-25 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x58833d…
08-25 04:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5f356b…
08-24 23:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe9f382…
08-24 22:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf31c24…
08-24 21:20:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x045bfb…
08-24 16:49:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x4e1040…
08-23 22:10:07	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x508147…
08-23 16:36:40	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94a5f6…
08-23 15:29:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3ae0b9…
08-23 11:01:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfe93e…
08-14 19:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdbd2eb…
08-14 11:16:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x29d198…
08-14 10:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2bd1c1…
08-14 10:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1c2cf9…
08-14 10:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc79b35…
08-14 09:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8672b1…
08-14 09:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcd3e39…
08-14 07:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x12610f…
08-14 05:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9f7b02…
08-14 04:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x034a1f…
08-13 19:00:21	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2f0db4…
08-13 18:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x25e60f…
08-13 08:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3f6ad7…
08-13 08:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x83affa…
08-13 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x90b773…
08-13 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd8823a…
08-13 08:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa7e89e…
08-13 00:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x22ae74…
08-12 23:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a8561…
08-12 21:18:01	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb8565c…
08-12 18:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x75e32e…
08-12 16:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe024d3…
08-12 16:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x225e90…
08-12 15:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x26c278…
08-12 12:26:37	bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x900482…
08-12 12:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf223da…
08-12 10:50:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1861ea…
08-12 10:01:33	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2a2477…
08-12 09:45:07	bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9b8df6…
08-12 08:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on August 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x80d221…
08-12 08:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x23e906…
08-12 04:50:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf90222…
08-12 02:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcc3c53…