Defiant-Limb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

121

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-01 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

96% 65% -$20

Politics

4% 67% -$14

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 23:54
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	06-28 08:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 53 million views on day 3?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-19 15:44
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-05 11:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-16 04:51
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-25 12:45
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-06 02:43
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 30?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	05-29 11:00
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:49
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-02 12:52
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-05 13:41
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-11 23:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 13:00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-24 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-20 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-07 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on May 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-04 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-24 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 16:21
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 23c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-22 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 15?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-14 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	06-29 12:03
highest temperature in jakarta on april 21 2026 31c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 01:49:20	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5f8d13…
06-29 12:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1172be…
06-29 02:36:29	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x59135d…
06-29 00:05:35	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x78458e…
06-28 15:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xce8ff8…
06-28 15:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x00fe2d…
06-28 08:25:31	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8539f4…
06-28 06:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x34f683…
06-27 12:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x774199…
06-27 12:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x46cb88…
06-27 12:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x21a1b8…
06-26 18:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8f566e…
06-26 18:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b0489…
06-26 01:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2b6c82…
06-26 00:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x352c53…
06-26 00:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8fe553…
06-25 14:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb9d7ff…
06-25 12:45:07	Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ff40c…
06-24 16:04:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6ee898…
06-24 12:27:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcc258f…
06-24 00:05:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x675237…
06-24 00:04:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0e9d8d…
06-24 00:04:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac7b0c…
06-23 20:48:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x049fd3…
06-23 10:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbca625…
06-22 16:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0ea924…
06-22 16:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x10303f…
06-22 15:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa0f2b4…
06-21 08:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbbfd45…
06-21 08:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x66f203…
06-21 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab3b00…
06-20 04:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3ed378…
06-20 04:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9e329e…
06-20 03:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 20?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x721d5d…
06-19 23:54:52	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x576a2c…
06-19 12:21:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x011208…
06-19 07:00:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc5a88…
06-16 22:24:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x676742…
06-16 21:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x211341…
06-16 04:51:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1caf55…
06-15 17:48:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x1afe89…
06-15 00:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x15532b…
06-14 23:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8ca8b0…
06-14 22:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa671d9…
06-14 21:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb716c2…
06-14 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6e7665…
06-14 03:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdbd459…
06-14 03:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xfb79e0…
06-14 03:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8feb6e…
06-14 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4bae0a…
06-14 03:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4fc7f6…
06-13 10:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x47fa76…
06-13 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9dde9…
06-12 18:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x502151…
06-12 12:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7482d8…
06-12 01:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x114f83…
06-12 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x909f3b…
06-11 23:16:04	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe45c88…
06-11 11:04:04	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa30310…
06-10 23:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3ffe49…
06-10 13:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xde8c9a…
06-08 16:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xddb116…
06-08 12:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0ec88c…
06-08 06:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x557fc9…
06-08 06:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9a10f4…
06-08 00:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd73462…
06-07 06:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x905dd8…
06-07 06:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x31201c…
06-07 00:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x723f14…
06-07 00:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x89ad6b…
06-06 20:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x001635…
06-06 12:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ebe15…
06-05 12:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe91e3e…
06-05 12:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1af8ab…
06-04 18:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x6439c1…
06-04 12:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc7c7ae…
06-03 16:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0ecb77…
06-03 12:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x54e2d7…
06-02 18:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xac20c1…
06-02 14:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa1a104…
06-02 12:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 3?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x17f557…
06-02 12:52:11	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8fde1b…
06-02 10:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xceeba2…
06-02 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc1728e…
06-02 09:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x59cb4e…
06-01 14:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa57343…
06-01 06:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfb0880…
06-01 06:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc4783d…
05-31 16:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x244590…
05-31 16:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd8a5a5…
05-31 16:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9ff30b…
05-31 12:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe23bad…
05-31 00:02:56	Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x093adb…
05-30 13:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0c9a40…
05-30 10:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x46cfc2…
05-30 01:16:11	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1b3303…
05-29 11:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa10bc1…
05-29 10:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x237516…
05-28 17:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x7b3c06…
05-28 16:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x983204…