Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48ed…a5a96d
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Realized P&L
+$51
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$2.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$208
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-12 21:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
56% 100% +$13
Politics
42% 100% +$38
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +25 $20 86¢ $21 +$1 07-04 16:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +24 $21 86¢ $21 $-0 07-04 16:37
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No +22 $20 91¢ $20 +$0 07-04 16:35
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 07-04 16:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +16 $15 88¢ $15 $-0 06-27 12:45
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +18 $14 77¢ $13 $-1 07-12 21:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-16 22:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-02 21:17
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-27 12:50
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 07-04 16:37
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-04 16:56
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +13 $10 69¢ $9 $-1 07-12 21:01
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $10 36¢ $6 $-4 07-12 21:01
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 85¢ $6 +$1 05-30 21:14
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $5 64¢ $6 +$1 07-12 21:02
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-30 21:09
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 05-30 21:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-27 12:45
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 67¢ $4 $-1 06-02 21:15
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No +3 $2 86¢ $2 +$0 06-27 12:52
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 20¢ $1 $-3 05-30 21:18
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-27 12:51