Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48ed…a5a96d
bot 17W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$278
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
140
Trades
291
lifetime
Volume
$4.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$511
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-25 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
59% 84% +$70
Politics
36% 89% +$180
Sports
3% 11% +$7
Tech
1% 50% -$1
Crypto
1% 100% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +158 $131 88¢ $140 +$9 09-14 12:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +64 $50 94¢ $60 +$10 08-14 16:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -58 -$56 98¢ $-57 $0 09-14 12:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -40 -$39 98¢ $-39 $0 10-25 03:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +42 $35 92¢ $38 +$3 05-18 21:54
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +28 $24 92¢ $26 +$2 10-25 03:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +24 $21 94¢ $23 +$2 07-04 16:37
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +16 $15 86¢ $14 -$1 07-04 16:52
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -12 -$12 96¢ $-12 +$0 09-14 12:18
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -11 -$11 100¢ $-11 $0 09-14 12:16
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -11 -$11 96¢ $-11 $0 09-14 12:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -11 -$11 98¢ $-11 $0 08-14 16:53
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 95¢ $11 +$1 07-04 17:05
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-25 03:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 08-03 22:43
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 05-30 21:14
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 05-30 21:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-02 21:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-27 12:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $0 07-12 20:58
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +30 $20 13¢ $4 -$16 08-03 22:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No -4 -$4 98¢ $-4 $0 09-14 12:18
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +6 $5 55¢ $3 -$2 07-04 16:38
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +10 $5 8¢ $1 -$4 06-27 12:44
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 05-30 21:18