Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,755

lifetime

Volume

$55.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-26 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

61% 73% +$13

Politics

36% 69% +$172

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	15	$351	603	0	+603	open	—	04-07 16:32
will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	4	$349	395	0	+395	open	—	03-20 16:49
another us bank failure by march 31	4	$330	372	0	+372	open	—	03-20 21:09
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?	14	$268	487	0	+487	open	—	04-07 11:41
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	5	$259	344	0	+344	open	—	04-07 08:52
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	1	$258	0	268	-268	open	—	06-20 12:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 23corhigher	8	$255	325	0	+325	open	—	04-07 19:21
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	8	$220	285	0	+285	open	—	04-07 16:02
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	4	$219	388	0	+388	open	—	04-07 14:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$217	0	222	-222	open	—	06-20 12:35
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$217	0	221	-221	open	—	06-20 12:36
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	7	$213	325	0	+325	open	—	04-10 17:46
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$213	266	0	+266	open	—	04-07 14:55
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	4	$213	349	0	+349	open	—	04-07 12:33
highest temperature in singapore on april 8 2026 31c	5	$207	286	0	+286	open	—	04-07 15:40
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$207	0	283	-283	open	—	06-20 12:36
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$206	0	207	-207	open	—	06-20 12:36
will trump meet with nicols maduro in march 2026 554	4	$201	204	0	+204	open	—	03-21 04:20
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	7	$197	260	0	+260	open	—	04-07 08:25
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 20c	4	$197	307	0	+307	open	—	04-07 15:12
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 8 2026 22c	7	$196	285	0	+285	open	—	04-07 17:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$195	0	197	-197	open	—	06-20 12:37
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	4	$195	238	0	+238	open	—	03-21 04:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	1	$195	0	215	-215	open	—	06-20 12:36
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$194	589	0	+589	open	—	04-07 17:36
will russia enter borova by march 31	4	$189	195	0	+195	open	—	03-20 16:49
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$187	0	190	-190	open	—	06-20 12:37
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	3	$187	246	0	+246	open	—	04-07 16:41
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$185	237	0	+237	open	—	04-07 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$185	308	0	+308	open	—	04-07 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 14:04:09	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xeae8b3…
06-20 14:36:40	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xc78e06…
06-20 14:36:34	Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x2aadc3…
06-20 14:36:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x685cb6…
06-20 14:36:17	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	6¢	$4	0x958930…
06-20 14:36:16	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x2179bb…
06-20 14:34:43	Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x13e946…
06-20 14:33:50	Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x600d6c…
06-20 14:32:44	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe24c56…
06-20 14:32:41	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xe8b320…
06-20 14:32:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x8dc028…
06-20 14:32:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0fa3db…
06-20 14:32:32	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x6acb96…
06-20 14:32:29	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0xe44d7d…
06-20 14:32:28	Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x921810…
06-20 14:32:16	Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x3c1683…
06-20 14:32:10	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x3d4dd4…
06-20 14:32:07	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xe65716…
06-20 14:32:05	US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x52448f…
06-20 14:31:58	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x6ce645…
06-20 14:31:49	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x577ccc…
06-20 14:31:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x151014…
06-20 14:31:43	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	37	92¢	$34	0x7f4551…
06-20 14:31:41	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xe7877a…
06-20 14:31:40	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xeec449…
06-20 14:31:38	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x38a7e1…
06-20 14:31:37	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x85117b…
06-20 14:31:35	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	45	92¢	$41	0x12d215…
06-20 14:31:29	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x620db1…
06-20 14:31:26	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0xd42405…
06-20 14:31:13	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0x3fa7a6…
06-20 14:31:08	Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0x15b8e2…
06-20 14:31:07	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$57	0xa35498…
06-20 14:31:04	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	63	91¢	$58	0x819f07…
06-20 14:28:41	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xdffc32…
06-20 14:28:04	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xd9f09d…
06-20 14:27:28	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x83b44a…
06-20 14:26:55	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x7f1dc2…
06-20 14:26:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?	No	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x8972a7…
06-20 14:26:41	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x423ac3…
06-20 14:26:40	Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	215	5¢	$11	0xfca923…
06-20 14:26:40	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x322ba9…
06-20 14:26:38	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa85788…
06-20 14:26:38	Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x9d2527…
06-20 14:26:38	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x3143b2…
06-20 14:26:37	Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	55	32¢	$18	0xc710d1…
06-20 14:26:35	Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?	No	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0x34045c…
06-20 14:23:11	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x9c5422…
06-20 14:21:19	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xe9188c…
06-20 14:21:17	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x0fc295…
06-20 14:21:16	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x82180e…
06-20 14:21:13	Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x933c94…
06-20 14:21:05	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x813b73…
06-20 14:21:04	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x1b9e21…
06-20 14:20:58	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x37d554…
06-20 14:20:56	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xc5c1fa…
06-20 14:20:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0xff2b19…
06-20 14:20:49	GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe00ead…
06-20 14:20:40	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x77c815…
06-20 14:20:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x1a2429…
06-20 14:20:34	Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x5525b4…
06-20 14:20:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x19c21f…
06-20 14:20:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe120a5…
06-20 14:20:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x023b68…
06-20 14:20:26	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x63110a…
06-20 14:20:23	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x65aa04…
06-20 14:20:23	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x50dc74…
06-20 14:20:22	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0xacc600…
06-20 14:20:20	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0x3a6fc8…
06-20 14:20:17	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1cec2d…
06-20 14:20:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	9¢	$7	0x7515e6…
06-20 14:20:08	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5c5cb5…
06-20 14:20:07	FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x245ae0…
06-20 14:19:58	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x2dfb81…
06-20 14:19:56	Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x3a6102…
06-20 14:19:55	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0x2d79cf…
06-20 14:19:52	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xbe07e2…
06-20 14:19:49	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x171515…
06-20 14:19:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x76bfa0…
06-20 14:19:47	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x48fcce…
06-20 14:19:41	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	63	15¢	$9	0x5c8dfe…
06-20 14:19:34	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x8d9d93…
06-20 14:19:32	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	13¢	$10	0xbc116d…
06-20 14:19:29	H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x309544…
06-20 14:19:26	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe9d679…
06-20 14:19:22	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa9e075…
06-20 14:19:20	Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xec5434…
06-20 14:19:11	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xda7c34…
06-20 14:19:05	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc921a9…
06-20 14:19:01	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x599f57…
06-20 14:18:59	Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0xe0c6c4…
06-20 14:18:58	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x5f3422…
06-20 14:18:52	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x166485…
06-20 14:18:50	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x38aa1d…
06-20 14:18:49	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x90a0a3…
06-20 14:18:47	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xcd86f6…
06-20 14:18:46	Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x61aafa…
06-20 14:18:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd4d7dd…
06-20 14:18:41	Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x594fac…
06-20 14:18:38	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	38	46¢	$18	0xc4c101…