Realized P&L
-$2.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$587
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
1,065
Trades
2,925
lifetime
Volume
$61.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-26 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
61% 65% -$2,204
Politics
36% 64% +$217
Tech
2% 57% -$97
Sports
1% 75% -$231
Crypto
1% 100% +$56
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$27
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -283 -$207 93¢ $-263 -$56 06-20 12:36
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -225 -$34 98¢ $-221 -$188 06-20 14:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -215 -$195 95¢ $-205 -$11 06-20 12:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes -243 -$146 58¢ $-142 +$4 06-20 12:38
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -146 -$103 96¢ $-139 -$36 06-20 12:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -154 -$91 88¢ $-136 -$44 06-20 12:46
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -135 -$123 95¢ $-129 -$6 06-20 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -135 -$108 94¢ $-128 -$20 06-20 12:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -121 -$110 98¢ $-118 -$8 06-20 12:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -129 -$63 92¢ $-118 -$55 06-20 12:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -110 -$100 100¢ $-110 -$10 06-20 12:40
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -118 -$99 92¢ $-109 -$10 06-20 12:40
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -119 -$83 91¢ $-109 -$26 06-20 12:48
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -113 -$95 96¢ $-108 -$13 06-20 12:43
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -108 -$103 97¢ $-105 -$2 06-20 12:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$94 97¢ $-102 -$8 06-20 12:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -102 -$88 97¢ $-99 -$11 06-20 12:46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -100 -$95 97¢ $-98 -$3 06-20 12:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -105 -$92 91¢ $-96 -$3 06-20 12:46
US recession by end of 2026? No -96 -$83 92¢ $-88 -$5 06-20 12:49
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes -273 -$87 32¢ $-86 +$1 06-20 12:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -100 -$52 84¢ $-84 -$32 06-20 14:12
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -80 -$73 97¢ $-78 -$4 06-20 12:50
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -79 -$77 97¢ $-77 $0 06-20 12:50
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -81 -$69 91¢ $-74 -$5 06-20 12:53
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -76 -$53 97¢ $-74 -$20 06-20 14:12
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -86 -$74 86¢ $-74 +$1 06-20 12:49
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -74 -$66 98¢ $-72 -$6 06-20 12:53
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -72 -$59 97¢ $-70 -$11 06-20 14:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -96 -$69 72¢ $-68 +$0 06-20 12:53