(anonymous) 0xc6b23a…c63caa
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$185
Unrealized P&L
-$170
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
61
Trades
2,755
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-26 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
61% 73% +$13
Politics
36% 69% +$172
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 554 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -268 $-258 97¢ $-259 $-0 06-20 12:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -222 $-217 100¢ $-221 $-4 06-20 12:35
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -221 $-217 99¢ $-220 $-3 06-20 12:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -283 $-207 74¢ $-209 $-3 06-20 12:36
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No -207 $-206 99¢ $-205 +$0 06-20 12:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -197 $-195 100¢ $-197 $-1 06-20 12:37
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -190 $-187 100¢ $-189 $-2 06-20 12:37
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -215 $-195 77¢ $-166 +$29 06-20 12:36
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -309 $-107 52¢ $-162 $-55 06-20 12:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -161 $-155 100¢ $-161 $-6 06-20 12:38
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -151 $-43 95¢ $-144 $-101 06-20 14:16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -140 $-135 100¢ $-140 $-4 06-20 12:38
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -131 $-130 100¢ $-131 $-1 06-20 12:38
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -135 $-123 92¢ $-124 $-1 06-20 12:38
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? No -116 $-112 99¢ $-114 $-2 06-20 12:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -135 $-108 80¢ $-109 $-1 06-20 12:39
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -118 $-99 90¢ $-106 $-6 06-20 12:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -121 $-110 87¢ $-105 +$5 06-20 12:39
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -108 $-103 97¢ $-105 $-2 06-20 12:40
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -105 $-104 100¢ $-105 $-1 06-20 12:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -102 $-96 100¢ $-101 $-5 06-20 12:42
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No -102 $-97 100¢ $-101 $-4 06-20 12:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -106 $-97 94¢ $-100 $-3 06-20 12:40
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No -99 $-98 100¢ $-99 $-1 06-20 12:41
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -110 $-100 90¢ $-99 +$1 06-20 12:40
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026? No -98 $-97 100¢ $-98 $-0 06-20 12:41
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? No -98 $-97 100¢ $-98 $-1 06-20 12:42
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -113 $-95 86¢ $-97 $-2 06-20 12:43
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -146 $-103 66¢ $-96 +$7 06-20 12:39
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -105 $-94 92¢ $-96 $-2 06-20 12:41