(anonymous) 0xc6b23a…c63caa
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$185
Unrealized P&L
-$251
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
61
Trades
2,755
lifetime
Volume
$55.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-26 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
61% 73% +$13
Politics
36% 69% +$172
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -268 $-258 99¢ $-264 $-6 06-20 12:35
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -283 $-207 83¢ $-235 $-28 06-20 12:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -215 $-195 88¢ $-189 +$6 06-20 12:36
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -151 $-43 92¢ $-138 $-95 06-20 14:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -135 $-123 92¢ $-125 $-2 06-20 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -135 $-108 86¢ $-117 $-9 06-20 12:39
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -146 $-103 77¢ $-112 $-9 06-20 12:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -121 $-110 93¢ $-112 $-2 06-20 12:39
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -309 $-107 34¢ $-105 +$2 06-20 12:35
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -118 $-99 89¢ $-105 $-6 06-20 12:40
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -108 $-103 97¢ $-105 $-2 06-20 12:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -110 $-100 92¢ $-101 $-2 06-20 12:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -113 $-95 88¢ $-100 $-5 06-20 12:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -106 $-97 93¢ $-99 $-2 06-20 12:40
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -154 $-91 64¢ $-99 $-7 06-20 12:46
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -102 $-88 96¢ $-97 $-9 06-20 12:46
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -100 $-95 97¢ $-97 $-2 06-20 12:43
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -98 $-96 99¢ $-97 $-1 06-20 12:43
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -105 $-94 92¢ $-97 $-3 06-20 12:41
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -119 $-83 78¢ $-93 $-9 06-20 12:48
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No -102 $-84 90¢ $-91 $-7 06-20 12:48
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes -273 $-87 32¢ $-86 +$1 06-20 12:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -129 $-63 66¢ $-86 $-23 06-20 12:54
US recession by end of 2026? No -96 $-83 88¢ $-84 $-1 06-20 12:49
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -86 $-74 94¢ $-80 $-6 06-20 12:49
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -84 $-79 95¢ $-80 $-1 06-20 12:49
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -79 $-77 98¢ $-77 $-1 06-20 12:50
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -80 $-73 95¢ $-76 $-2 06-20 12:50
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -81 $-69 88¢ $-71 $-2 06-20 12:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -100 $-52 70¢ $-70 $-17 06-20 14:12