Realized P&L (7d)
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$631
Hit rate
8.9%
Resolved (7d)
56
Trades (7d)
0
2,925 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$61.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-26 14:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Other
61% 61% -$2,401
Politics
36% 63% +$359
Tech
2% 57% -$97
Sports
1% 75% -$231
Crypto
1% 100% +$56
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$27
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -283 -$207 95¢ $-269 -$62 06-20 12:36
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -225 -$34 100¢ $-224 -$190 06-20 14:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -215 -$195 96¢ $-208 -$13 06-20 12:36
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -154 -$91 92¢ $-141 -$50 06-20 12:46
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -146 -$103 96¢ $-139 -$36 06-20 12:39
NATO article 5 before 2027? No -135 -$123 95¢ $-128 -$5 06-20 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -135 -$108 94¢ $-128 -$20 06-20 12:39
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -129 -$63 92¢ $-119 -$56 06-20 12:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -121 -$110 98¢ $-119 -$9 06-20 12:39
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No -118 -$99 94¢ $-111 -$12 06-20 12:40
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -110 -$100 99¢ $-110 -$10 06-20 12:40
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -113 -$95 97¢ $-109 -$14 06-20 12:43
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -119 -$83 89¢ $-106 -$23 06-20 12:48
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -108 -$103 97¢ $-105 -$2 06-20 12:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$94 97¢ $-102 -$8 06-20 12:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -102 -$88 98¢ $-100 -$11 06-20 12:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No -105 -$92 95¢ $-99 -$7 06-20 12:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -100 -$52 90¢ $-90 -$38 06-20 14:12
US recession by end of 2026? No -96 -$83 94¢ $-90 -$7 06-20 12:49
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes -273 -$87 33¢ $-90 -$3 06-20 12:46
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -80 -$73 97¢ $-78 -$4 06-20 12:50
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -81 -$69 95¢ $-77 -$8 06-20 12:53
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -79 -$77 97¢ $-77 $0 06-20 12:50
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -86 -$74 87¢ $-75 -$1 06-20 12:49
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -76 -$53 97¢ $-74 -$21 06-20 14:12
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No -74 -$66 98¢ $-72 -$6 06-20 12:53
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -72 -$59 97¢ $-70 -$11 06-20 14:12
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -70 -$65 96¢ $-67 -$2 06-20 12:54
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -69 -$61 96¢ $-66 -$5 06-20 14:00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -96 -$69 68¢ $-65 +$3 06-20 12:53